November 07, 2018

There's a new No. 1 in Herald's NFL QB rankings!; plus quick political comment, latest Pix 'n Fantasy results, ESPN 'Greg Cote Tuesday' link, my 'State Of Shock' column, Cote's State of the State rank, still-Perfect '72 Fins & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 7. Visit Greg Cote Tuesday for the podcast from yesterday's Le Batard Show on ESPN Radio. Contained therein: the latest 'Back In My Day.' 2) Football season means it's the perfect time to delight Dolfans you know with our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins beats Jets wirh DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10, your most-disappointing-team verdict & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

"I try to avoid overt political comments here. Let's just say that, with the mid-term election results, I'm grateful that so much of the country is so much more progressive than my own state of Florida, which apparently is OK continuing to slide into the embrace of 'Deep South' beyond geography. You are free to disagree. God bless America!" --Greg Cote

ShulaSTILL PERFECT AFTER ALL THESE YEARS: Quietly came an annual rite of football passage on Sunday. The NFL's last unbeaten team (the L.A. Rams) lost, preserving the 1972 Dolphins' 17-0 as still the only Perfect Season in NFL history. That's 46 years and counting weathering the storm and standing alone for Don Shula and his boys. In honor of the accomplishment, a photo (at right) taken before Sunday's Dolphins-Jets game at Hard Rock Stadium. Far left and right are iconic fullback Larry Csonka with the thumbs-up sign and of course Shula in his mustard Pro Football Hall of Fame jacket. In between them: Joe Namath and Shula's wife, Mary Anne. #StillPerfect

LATEST COLUMN: Canes, Gators, Noles make dubious history: Miami, Florida and Florida State have a current combined seven-game losing streak, the first time in almost a half-century that each has simultaneously lost at least two in a row. It's an historical quirk, but indicative of the broader struggles and challenges for the state's erstwhile Big 3. To dive into my latest column, visit State of Shock For Canes, Gators and Noles.

Select other recent columns: From the stadium on Sunday's game: Dolphins Win, But Under Cloud, Not Rainbow. Also: Time For Faith In Richt, And PatienceMoving Beyond Tannehill Smart But Not Easy For DolphinsDolfans, Your Team Is Not Easy To Love (fans vent). Snakebit Adam (on Gase). Family Tradition (N'Kosi Perry's $$ video). And Victory-y, Miami! (Marlins sign Victor Victor Mesa).

MahomesBREES WINS WEEK BUT MAHOMES OVERTAKES SEASON LEAD / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 9: The Saints' Drew Brees scored a 48.30-point game to win Week 9 honors in the Herald's latest NFL quarterback rankings. The bigger news: The Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes (pictured) overtakes Viking Kirk Cousins for the season lead in what evolves for now as a three-man race along with Brees. Because our rankings are cumulative, players on a bye week take a temporary hit that evens out over the course of a season. Dolphin Brock Osweiler, filling in again for injured Ryan Tannehill, did not play well (again) and languishes in 30th place. This is our 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL QB rankings. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. The Top 15 table (plus Dolphins) entering Week 10:

MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 9
RK    LW    Player, Team                        WK9          Season

1       2       Patrick Mahomes, KC            43.75         354.05

2       1       Kirk Cousins, MIN                  27.20        352.75

3       3       Drew Brees, NO                    48.30        349.80

4       4       Jared Goff, LAR                    41.55        327.80

5       5       Matt Ryan, ATL                     45.50        327.20

6       7       Tom Brady, NE                      31.70        301.70

7       9       Ben Roethlisberger, PIT         33.50        282.00

8       6       Andrew Luck, IND                  BYE          277.35

9       8       Philip Rivers, LAC                 22.40         273.80

10     12     Deshaun Watson, HOU           31.65        264.45

11     13     Aaron Rodgers, GB                23.95        255.60

12     18     Cam Newton, CAR                 36.35        248.65

13     17     Matthew Stafford, DET          23.95        247.55

14     15     Derek Carr, OAK                    19.55        246.90

15     16     Joe Flacco, BAL                    19.30        246.25

29     28     Ryan Tannehill, MIA                DNP         112.60

30     32     Brock Osweiler, MIA               17.95        109.70

Bubble: Eli Manning, NYG, 244.85. Week 9 best: Brees, NO, 48.30 (25-36, 346, 4-0 in win). Week 9 worst: Sam Darnold, NYJ, 2.45 (21-39, 229, 0-4 in loss).

Picks LobosNFL WEEK 9 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: SOLID AGAIN, BAD AGAIN: Every Tuesday in the blog I update you on how I did the past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. The latest: Herald picksSolid again. We went 9-4 straight-up and a stout 9-4 against the spread in Week 9. That included yet another Upset of the Week bull's-eye with Steelers winning in Baltimore ("Aawwk!"), a mini-upset with Texans winning in Denver, and Titans-with-points last night. Also hit the Dolphins' seven-point winning margin on the button. (See Week 9 Gems for proof I ain't lyin'). Greg's LobosBad again. Got spanked by Guillermo 134-71, a score too brutal to mention, really, for a second straight loss dropping us to a disappointing 3-6 on the year. Got 20.3 points from Deshaun Watson and not much else of note. With four weeks left in the regular season I may need to run the table or at least win three to make the playoffs. So let's do it then! #WeAreTheLobos

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday I rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The latest: 1. UCF (8-0); 2. Florida (6-3); 3. Miami (5-4); 4. South Florida (7-2); 5. Florida State (4-5); 6. FAU (4-5); 7. FIU (6-3).

Other select recent columns: Wade Reminds Us Why We'll Miss HimNo More Excuses, Florida PanthersTannehill: Requiem For A QuarterbackWhatever Happened to Kenyan Drake? NFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 01, 2018

Time for faith in Canes' Richt, and patience, not doubt. My latest column; plus Dolphin-slayer wins week in Herald NFL QB rankings, Pix 'n Fantasy results, Fins' Tannehill dilemma, Cote's college State of State rank & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

Haphall 1) It's THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 1. Hope y'all had a safe and happy Halloween. Happy new month, all! Welcome, November. Seems like we've been waiting a year! 2) Visit Greg Cote Tuesday for the best-of podcast of this week's LeBatard Show on ESPN Radio/ESPNews. 3) Football season means it's the right time to delight Dolfans you know with our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out on Amazon. 4) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Hot Button Top 10 & more. 5) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Newest column: Defending Mark Richt. Two losses in row not time to recalibrate faith: The Hurricanes coach is feeling a little heat for the first time in his 2 1/2 seasons with UM. It is unwarranted. For my latest column, visit Time For Faith In Richt, And Patience.

Our other most recent stuff: Moving Beyond Tannehill Smart But Not Easy For Dolphins. Also: Dolphins fans vent frustration: Dolfans, Your Team Is Not Easy To Love. On Fins head coach: Snakebit Adam. On N'Kosi Perry's lap-cash video: Family Tradition. And on Marlins signing Victor Victor Mesa and Victor Jr.: Victory-y, Miami!

DwatsonDOLPHIN-SLAYING WATSON WINS WEEK / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 8: The Texans' Deshaun Watson (pictured) scored a 43.95-point game Thursday night in beating Miami and it held up for Week 8 honors (edging Chief Patrick Mahomes by less than one point) in the Herald's latest NFL quarterback rankings. Viking Kirk Cousins maintains his season lead and Mahomes rises to second overall. Because our rankings are cumulative, players on a bye week take a temporary hit that evens out over the course of a season. Dolphin Brock Osweiler, filling in for injured Ryan Tannehill, slumped to his worst game of three and sticks in 32nd place. This is our 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL QB rankings. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. The Top 15 table (plus Dolphins) entering Week 9:

MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 8
RK    LW    Player, Team                        WK8          Season

1       1       Kirk Cousins, MIN                 41.95         325.55

2       4       Patrick Mahomes, KC            43.15         310.30

3       3       Drew Brees, NO                   24.00         301.50

4       5       Jared Goff, LAR                   31.75         286.25

5       2       Matt Ryan, ATL                     BYE           281.70

6       7       Andrew Luck, IND                38.95         277.35

7       8       Tom Brady, NE                      34.20         270.00

8       6       Philip Rivers, LAC                 BYE           251.40

9       10     Ben Roethlisberger, PIT        32.85         248.50

10     9       Eli Manning, NYG                  25.80         244.85

11     13     Andy Dalton, CIN                  33.00         235.10

12     17     Deshaun Watson, HOU          43.95         232.80

13     12     Aaron Rodgers, GB                23.30         231.65

14     14     Carson Wentz, PHI                37.30         230.40

15     15     Derek Carr, OAK                   35.20         227.35

28     27     Ryan Tannehill, MIA              DNP           112.60

32     32     Brock Osweiler, MIA             14.05           91.75

Bubble: Joe Flacco, BAL, 226.95. Week 8 best: Watson, HOU, 43.95 (16-20, 239, 5-0 in win). Week 8 worst: Jameis Winston, TB, 5.80 (18-35, 276, 1-4 in loss).

Picks LobosNFL WEEK 8 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: EXCELLENCE AND HEARTACHE: Every Tuesday in the blog I update you on how I did the past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. The latest: Herald picks: Excellence! Spun a terrific 12-2 mark straight-up and an even more impressive 11-3 against the spread in Week 8. That included another Upset of the Week bull's-eye on Seahawks winning at Lions ("Aawwk!"), a pair of 'dogs-with-points in Packers and Bucs, and a couple of mini-upsets with wins by Cardinals and Saints. Also was spot-on with Dolphins' Thursday loss. (See Week 8 Gems for proof). Greg's Lobos: Heartache. Built a 22-point lead over Roy entering Monday night led by 31 from Deshaun Watson and 26.6 from Adrian Peterson -- only to see Roy get a combined 27 on MNF from Tom Brady and Stephen Gostkowski for a 122.7 to 117.3 win. We're 3-5 now, but still only one game off playoff pace with five weeks left in the regular season. #WeAreTheLobos

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday I rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The latest: 1. UCF (7-0); 2. Florida (6-2); 3. Miami (5-3); 4. South Florida (7-1); 5. Florida State (4-4); 6. FIU (6-2); 7. FAU (3-5).

Other select recent columns: When the Dolphins D Was A Letter GradeWade Reminds Us Why We'll Miss HimNo More Excuses, Florida PanthersTannehill: Requiem For A QuarterbackKid QB Passes His Big TestWhatever Happened to Kenyan Drake? NFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

October 24, 2018

Osweiler's (modest) climb in Herald Week 7 NFL QB rankings; plus Radio Tuesday, Go Red Sox!, Pix 'n Fantasy results (Go Lobos!), Cote's college State of the State rank & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 24. Football season means it's the right time to delight Dolfans you know with our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out on Amazon. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins fall at home to Detroit with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10, your Perry vs. Rosier verdict & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Most recent columns: On Marlins' big signings, Dolphins' defensive collapse, Wade's home debut: On Monday's big Marlins signings: Victor-y as Marlins Land Victor Victor and Victor! On Sunday's Dolphins home loss: When the Dolphins D Was A Letter Grade. And on Saturday's home-opening Heat loss: Wade Reminds Us Why We'll Miss Him.

WsGO RED SOX! BEAT THE DODGERS!: This is a perfectly impartial note from a neutral journalist as the World Series begins tonight at Fenway Park. Please understand. Though I'm a South Floridian since early childhood, I was born in Massachusetts. The Patriots were never big with me as a kid. Neither were the Bruins. The Celtics were second. But it was the Red Sox, clearly, that had me. Carl Yastrzemski and that 1967 Impossible Dream season hooked me. I named my first cat Yaz. That season and that team and that man kindled the love of sports that would, somehow, lead to a lifelong career writing about it. So, yeah: Go Red Sox!

RYAN SNATCHES WEEK FROM MAHOMES / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 7: Falcons' Matt Ryan (pictured) scored a 49.95-point game Monday night to narrowly win Week 7 honors Mryanover Chief Patrick Mahomes' 48.90 in the Herald's latest NFL quarterback rankings. Viking Kirk Cousins maintains his season lead and Ryan bumps up into second ahead of Saint Drew Brees. Because our rankings are cumulative, players on a bye week take a temporary hit that evens out over the course of a season. Dolphin Brock Osweiler, filling in for injured Ryan Tannehill, scored a 30.95-point game tto move up three spots to 32nd overall. This is our 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL QB rankings. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. (Formula detailed below). Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. The Top 15 table (plus Dolphins) entering Week 8:

MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 7
RK    LW    Player, Team                        WK7           Season

1       1       Kirk Cousins, MIN                  33.05         283.60

2       3       Matt Ryan, ATL                     49.95         281.70

3       2       Drew Brees, NO                    35.60         277.50

4       5       Patrick Mahomes, KC            48.90         267.15

5       4       Jared Goff, LAR                   33.10          254.50

6       7       Philip Rivers, LAC                 38.30         251.40

7       9       Andrew Luck, IND                 35.80         238.40

8       10     Tom Brady, NE                      38.85         235.80

9       14     Eli Manning, NYG                  38.95         219.05

10     6       Ben Roethlisberger, PIT          BYE           215.65

11     13     Joe Flacco, BAL                    26.95         215.35

12     8       Aaron Rodgers, GB                 BYE           208.35

13     11     Andy Dalton, CIN                    8.40          202.10

14     21     Carson Wentz, PHI                44.50          193.10

15     12     Derek Carr, OAK                     BYE           192.15

27     27     Ryan Tannehill, MIA                DNP          112.60

32     35     Brock Osweiler, MIA               30.95         77.70

Bubble: Matthew Stafford, 191.10. Week 7 best: Ryan, ATL, 49.95 (31-39, 379, 1-0 in win). Week 7 worst: Sam Darnold, NYJ, minus-3.70 (17-42, 206, 1-3 in loss). Points formula: Accuracy—Completions times two minus attempts. Ex: 17 for 28 = 6 points. Yardage—Five percent of total. Ex: 202 yards = 10.10 points. TD-interception ratio—Difference times three. Ex: Four TDs and one pick = 9 points. Team result—Winning QB of record = 5 points.

Picks LobosNFL WEEK 7 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: STUMBLE, RISE: Every Tuesday in the blog I update you on how I did the past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. The latest: Herald picks: Stumble. Endured our worst showing both ways in Week 7, going 8-6 overall and 4-9-1 against the spread, with the Bucs win pushing at 3. Miserable misfire on our Upset of the Week (Jets) and also blew the Dolphins game. Not much to do but move on. Fast! Greg's Lobos: Rise. Improved to 3-4 and ended a 4-game losing streak with a 132.4 to 95.5 obliteration of Dan's team. The Lobos got 24 points from the Rams defense, 22.8 from Zach Ertz and 20.6 from Tyreek (Money) Hill to lead the parade. Still time for that majestic run to the playoffs! #WeAreTheLobos

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday I rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The latest: 1. UCF (7-0); 2. Florida (6-1); 3. Miami (5-2); 4. South Florida (7-0); 5. Florida State (4-3); 6. FIU (5-2); 7. FAU (3-4).

Other select recent columns: Dolphins Are Fun For A Change, and Playoff-GoodNo More Excuses, Florida PanthersTannehill: Requiem For A QuarterbackWith All D.Wade Has Meant, One Year to Say Goodbye Might Not Be EnoughKid QB Passes His Big TestWhatever Happened to Kenyan Drake? NFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

October 10, 2018

Requiem for a Quarterback: Our Ryan Tannehill column; plus new Back In My Day video (Soap!), latest Herald NFL QB chart, Pix 'n Fantasy results, Cote's State of the State college ranking & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 10. Latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter results (they're gutter-low) may be found in the previous blogpost. 2) Football's here and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins' utter collapse in Cincinnati with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

RtREQUIEM FOR A QUARTERBACK: OUR RYAN TANNEHILL COLUMN: It felt Sunday as if we were witnessing a seismic fault in the foundation under Ryan Tannehill’s future in Miami. Like we were seeing the beginning of the end of the Tannehill era. It isn’t just the consecutive awful games. Far from it. It is the cumulative effect. It is seven years of this. Of enough upside to tease us that he’s the guy, and enough of much less to make us know he isn’t. At some point, if your quarterback does not enact change, it is time to change your quarterback. That is the synopsis of my latest column. For the full read: Tannehill: Requiem For A Quarterback.

Other recent columns: From Hurricanes' comeback over Seminoles led by N'Kosi Perry's four touchdown passes: Kid QB Passes His Big Test. Also: Whatever Happened to Kenyan Drake? and With All D.Wade Has Meant, One Year to Say Goodbye Might Not Be Enough.

NEW 'BACK IN MY DAY': SOAP!: Dirt hasn't changed much over time. Our skin hasn't, either. So why has soap changed so much? I'm seldom sure how these BIMDs are going to go over on the LeBatard Show on ESPN Radio and ESPNews. For what's it worth, this one was very well-received:

BreesBREES ON TOP AGAIN, TANNEHILL CONTINUES SLIDE / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 5: Saints' Drew Brees (pictured) scored a 55.15-point game Monday night (his third weekly title already this season) to fortify his overall No. 1 ranking in the Herald's latest NFL QB Rankings. (Also of note, he broke the all-time record for career passing yards!). This is our 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL quarterback rankings. The Dolphins' Ryan Tannehill, after a second straight lousy game, tumbles two more spots to 22nd. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. (Exact formula detailed below). Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. The Top 15 table entering Week 6:

MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 5
RK    LW    Player, Team                        WK5           Season 

1       1       Drew Brees, NO                    55.15         241.90

2       3       Kirk Cousins, MIN                  46.05         219.90

3       2       Jared Goff, LAR                    32.05         209.35

4       5t      Philip Rivers, LAC                 44.95         192.75

5       4       Patrick Mahomes, KC            20.65         184.65

6       8       Andrew Luck, IND                 38.25         181.55

7       5t      Matt Ryan, ATL                     31.25         179.05

8       16     Aaron Rodgers, GB                43.10         172.10

9       13     Ben Roethlisberger, PIT         32.50         171.20

10     9       Derek Carr, OAK                    28.40         170.05

11     12     Andy Dalton, CIN                   27.40         166.25

12     11     Eli Manning, NYG                   24.30         164.05

13     19     Tom Brady, NE                       49.05         158.95

14     7       Joe Flacco, BAL                    13.90         158.50

15     18     Deshaun Watson, HOU           45.75         158.05

22     20     Ryan Tannehill, MIA               11.25         112.60

        Bubble: Matthew Stafford, DET, 155.25. Week 5 best: Brees, NO, 55.15 (26-29, 363, 3-0 in win). Week 5 worst: Marcus Mariota, TEN, 5.45 (14-26, 129, 0-1 in loss). Herald PASS Championships: 7—Brees (2008-11, '14-16); 6—Peyton Manning (2000, '03-04, '06, '12-13); 2—Kurt Warner (1999, '01) and Tom Brady (2007, '17); 1 each—Steve Young (1998), Rich Gannon (2002) and Carson Palmer (2005). Points formula: Accuracy—Completions times two minus attempts. Ex: 17 for 28 = 6 points. Yardage—Five percent of total. Ex: 202 yards = 10.10 points. TD-interception ratio—Difference times three. Ex: Four TDs and one pick = 9 points. Team result—Winning QB of record = 5 points.

PicksNFL WEEK 5 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: SOLID AGAIN ON PICKS, BUT OH-NO-LOBOS: Every Tuesday in the blog I update you on how I did the past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. The latest: Herald picks: Very, very stout again as our strong start to the season continues. We were 12-3 overall and 10-5 against the spread. That includes nailing our Upset of the Week with Cardinals winning at 49ers ("Aawwk!"). Greg's Lobos: Ouch again. The Lobos fell to 2-3 with a third straight loss, falling to Mike Ryan. I am too distraught to provide further details at the moment.

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday I rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The latest: 1. UCF (5-0); 2. Miami (5-1); 3. South Florida (5-0); 4. Florida (5-1); 5. Florida State (3-3); 6. FIU (3-2); 7. FAU (3-3). 

Other select columns: NFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

October 03, 2018

Tannehill takes hard fall in Herald's Week 4 QB rankings; plus new 'Back In My Day' video, latest column (Dolphins/Kenyan Drake), NFL Pix 'n Fantasy results, college State of the State rankings, 4-Man Outfield (season final) & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 3. Happy new month, y'all. Welcome to autumn. Can't stop the holidays now. 2) See the latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter results (they're ugly) in the blogpost directly below. 3) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 4) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins fall flat in New England with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 5) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram. 

Latest column: Dolphins' problem. And solution: Miami was exposed as a team without an identity in Sunday's blowout loss in New England. One main reason? Adam Gase has turned Kenyan Drake into a missing person. That column: Whatever Happened to Kenyan Drake?

Other most recent columns: For The Dolphins, The Moment Of Truth Is HereFinding Great QB is Now Richt's Holy GrailWith All D.Wade Has Meant, One Year to Say Goodbye Might Not Be Enough.

THE NEW 'BACK IN MY DAY': DISAPPEARING CARS!: Our latest BIMD video made its debut Tuesday on the LeBatard Show on ESPN Radio and ESPNews. Here it is: 

 

GoffGOFF MAKES HIS MOVE, TANNEHILL TAKES MAJOR TUMBLE / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 4: Rams' Jared Goff (pictured) wins Week 4 with a big season-high 62.25-point game to make a move on season leader Drew Brees in the Herald's latest NFL QB Rankings. This is our 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL quarterback rankings. The Dolphins' Ryan Tannehill, after a subpar game in New England, tumbles eight spots from 12th place overall to 20th. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. (Exact formula detailed below). Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. The Top 15 table entering Week 5:
 
MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 4
RK    LW    Player, Team                        WK4            Season

1       1       Drew Brees, NO                    19.85         186.75

2       6       Jared Goff, LAR                    62.25         177.30

3       4       Kirk Cousins, MIN                  52.10         173.85

4       3       Patrick Mahomes, KC            34.20         164.00

5t      11     Matt Ryan, ATL                     48.95         147.80

5t      7       Philip Rivers, LAC                 34.50         147.80

7       10     Joe Flacco, BAL                    43.15         144.60

8       17     Andrew Luck, IND                 53.20         143.30

9       13     Derek Carr, OAK                    44.85         141.65

10     2       Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB              3.30          140.80

11     9       Eli Manning, NYG                  36.75         139.75

12     14     Andy Dalton, CIN                  44.85         138.85

13     5       Ben Roethlisberger, PIT         20.70         138.70

14     15     Matthew Stafford, DET          39.35         133.10

15     21     Mitch Trubisky, CHI               52.70         129.25

20     12     Ryan Tannehill, MIA               4.00          101.35

39     --       Brock Osweiler, MIA              7.75            7.75

        Bubble: Aaron Rodgers, GB, 129.00. Week 4 best: Goff, LAR, 62.25 (26-33, 465, 5-0 in win). Week 4 worst: Josh Allen, BUF, 0.55 (16-33, 151, 0-2 in loss). Herald PASS Championships: 7—Brees (2008-11, '14-16); 6—Peyton Manning (2000, '03-04, '06, '12-13); 2—Kurt Warner (1999, '01) and Tom Brady (2007, '17); 1 each—Steve Young (1998), Rich Gannon (2002) and Carson Palmer (2005). Points formula: Accuracy—Completions times two minus attempts. Ex: 17 for 28 = 6 points. Yardage—Five percent of total. Ex: 202 yards = 10.10 points. TD-interception ratio—Difference times three. Ex: Four TDs and one pick = 9 points. Team result—Winning QB of record = 5 points.

Picks LobosNFL WEEK 4 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: SOLID AGAIN ... AND NOT: Every Tuesday in the blog I update you on how I did the just-past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. The latest: Herald picks: Very solid again as our strong start to the season continued. We were 11-4 overall and 8-5-2 against the spread, with the Raiders and Seahawks wins both pushing on 3-point lines. We misfired badly on our Upset of the Week (way to not compete, Dolphins), but did hit an outright upset with Texans and also had three 'dogs with points in Bengals, Titans and 49ers. (Hate like hell to miss a Dolphins game, but, keep in mind, Miami is only 3 percent of the total teams I'm predicting...). Greg's Lobos: Ouch. The Lobos fell to 2-2, betting crushed by Amin Elhassan, 141.6-111.1. We got 31.1 points from Deshaun  Watson, but for naught. Running back play is killing us as the continuing Le'Veon Bell mess is beginning to take its toll.

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday I rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The latest: 1. UCF (4-0); 2. Miami (4-1); 3. South Florida (4-0); 4. Florida (4-1); 5. Florida State (3-2); 6. FIU (3-2); 7. FAU (2-3).

4manof'THE FOUR-MAN OUTFIELD' (SEASON FINAL): YELICH DOMINATES!: Periodically throughout this MLB season -- just for fun -- I compared and updated the ongoing performances of the three Marlins outfield starters traded away during the offseason and current Marlins center fielder Lewis Brinson, the most highly regarded prospect to arrive in the deals. Unfair to compare three established stars with a rookie? Boo hoo. Who said life was fair! Plus, remember: Just for fun! We based our rankings on OPS (on-base plus slugging). The final 4-Man Outfield tally for 2018:

Player, Team                                  OPS     G   AB   R    H    BI     D-T-HR    AVG. 

1. Christian Yelich, Brewers          1.000 147  574 118 187  110   34-7-36   .326

2. Giancarlo Stanton, Yankees       .852  158   617 102 164  100   34-1-38  .266

3. Marcell Ozuna, Cardinals           .758  148  582   69 163    88   16-2-23   .280

4. Lewis Brinson, Marlins               .577  109  382   31  76     42   10-5-11   .199

Other select recent columns: NFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 26, 2018

Emotional Dwyane Wade gets real on his 'last dance' with Heat. My latest column; plus new 'Back In My Day' video, Tannehill soars in Herald NFL QB rankings, Week 3 Pix 'n Fantasy results (Go Lobos!), Cote's State of the State rankings & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 26. Results are complete in the latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll -- and they are buoyant! Scroll to the previous blogpost or find them directly HERE. 2) Football's back meaning it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins rally past Oakland with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10, The List & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Dwade DWYANE WADE GETS EMOTIONAL AS HE ENTERS FINAL HEAT SEASON: MY NEW COLUMN: Dwyane Wade was introspective at Monday's Heat media day as he ceremonially entered his final NBA season --just a few days after opting in for "one last dance" rather than retiring. I particularly loved this reflection by him: "In class I was shy. Never raised my hand because I didn’t want to get the answer wrong. [But] when I was on the basketball court I was a different person. I liked that person." One more season of that, one more chance for us to say goodbye to Wade, and for him to say goodbye to his fans, too. We never got that chance with Dan Marino; we'll have it now. No matter how good, bad or in-between the Heat do in 2018-19, Wade's farewell will be The Reason For The Season. I wrote an unabashedly sentimental, from-the-heart column on Wade. To read: With All D.Wade Has Meant, One Year to Say Goodbye Might Not Be Enough.

BREES ROCKS THE WEEK, TANNEHILL MAKES BIG LEAP / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 3: Saints' Drew Brees wins Week 3 with a season-high 62.80- Tannypoint game to regain the overall season lead in the Herald's latest NFL QB Rankings. This is our 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL quarterback rankings. The Dolphins' Ryan Tannehill (pictured) scored a season-best 38.45-point game vs. the Raiders to move up five big spots, to No. 12 in the chart. (Pats' Tom Brady, if you wondered, tumbles to 20th). Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. (Exact formula detailed below). Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. The Top 15 table entering Week 4:
 
MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 3
RK    LW    Player, Team                        WK3            Season

1       2       Drew Brees, NO                    62.80         166.90

2       1       Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB             30.55         137.50

3       3       Patrick Mahomes, KC            39.70         129.80

4       5       Kirk Cousins, MIN                  39.80         121.75

5       12     Ben Roethlisberger, PIT         50.15         118.00

6       14     Jared Goff, LAR                    50.70         115.05

7       4       Philip Rivers, LAC                 23.30         113.30

8       6       Aaron Rodgers, GB                29.25         105.10

9       18     Eli Manning, NYG                  46.85         103.00

10     9       Joe Flacco, BAL                    31.85         101.45

11     24     Matt Ryan, ATL                     50.70           98.85

12     17     Ryan Tannehill, MIA              38.45           97.35

13     13     Derek Carr, OAK                   29.25           96.80

14     7       Andy Dalton, CIN                 23.60           94.00

15     19     Matthew Stafford, DET         39.10           93.75

        Bubble: Alex Smith, WAS, 93.35. Week 3 best: Brees, NO, 62.80 (39-49, 396, 3-0 in win). Week 3 worst: Tyrod Taylor, CLE, minus-5.05 (4-14, 19, 0-0 in win).

        Herald PASS Championships: 7—Brees (2008-11, '14-16); 6—Peyton Manning (2000, '03-04, '06, '12-13); 2—Kurt Warner (1999, '01) and Tom Brady (2007, '17); 1 each—Steve Young (1998), Rich Gannon (2002) and Carson Palmer (2005). Points formula: Accuracy—Completions times two minus attempts. Ex: 17 for 28 = 6 points. Yardage—Five percent of total. Ex: 202 yards = 10.10 points. TD-interception ratio—Difference times three. Ex: Four TDs and one pick = 9 points. Team result—Winning QB of record = 5 points.

Picks LobosNFL WEEK 3 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: SOLID ... AND HEARTBREAK: Every Tuesday in the blog I update you on how I did the just-past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. The latest: Herald picks: Solid again. We navigated a tough week full of upsets for a 10-6 record overall and 8-8 against the spread, including an Upset of the Week bull's-eye ("Aawwk!") on Saints winning at Falcons, a checkmark on Dolphins winning, and Giants with the points at Houston. Cost myself a game ATS with a clerical error on my part. I wrote, "Like Tennessee with points," but then had a score not reflecting that. DumbGreg's Lobos: The Lobos fell to 2-1 with a 129.4-112 loss to Randy Scott, thanks to a disappointing Monday. We had a very narrow lead entering the game, and it was my DeSean Jackson vs. his Mike Evans. Well, Evans' game shouted. My guy's ... didn't. So 25 points from Deshaun Watson and 24 from Adrian Peterson go for naught.

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday I rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The latest: 1. UCF (3-0); 2. Miami (3-1); 3. South Florida (4-0); 4. Florida (3-1); 5. Florida State (2-2); 6. FAU (2-2); 7. FIU (2-2).

LATEST 'BACK IN MY DAY': GROCERY STORE SHOPPING!: When an army clad in olive green plays active defense against our shopping experience...

Other select recent columns: Give Dwyane Time And He'll Make Right CallWhy Drake/Gore Will Work, And Why That's Crucial to FinsSomehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth ItSoft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QBNFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 20, 2018

Herald NFL QB rankings though Week 2: A new No. 1, and why Dolphins' Tannehill improved yet drops in chart; plus tonight's Jets-Browns pick, 'FitzMagic,' Marlins Man, NFL Week 2 Pix 'n Fantasy results (Lobos!), Cote's State of the State rankings & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 20. Results are complete in the latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll (and they are sizzlin'!) Scroll to the previous blogpost or find them directly HERE. 2) Football's back meaning it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins win at Jets with DSM poll & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Personal news: As many know from following me on Twitter and social media, I had my thoracic surgery to remove a tumor from my chest and am now in recovery mode. I'm on pain medication and on rest and no-drive orders all this week. That is why I'm cutting back on a bunch of stuff such as a temporary reduction in Herald workload and no LeBatard Show Tuesday. Thanks for the understanding.

Tonight's Jets-Browns pick: Could be a no-lose for Dolphins fans tonight. Y'all might either get to see the Browns' first regular-season win in 21 months, or see the Stinkin' Jets lose. Again. For tonight: Week 3 Thursday Gem.

Most recent columns: On D.Wade's decision, Dolphins running game: Dwyane Wade (unsurprisingly) has decided on one more season with the Heat. I explored the delay in his decision, why it wasn't bad and what Wade would do: Give Dwyane Time And He'll Make Right Call. And: Ryan Tannehill is better when he throws less, and running more leads to Dolphins success. Enter Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore: Why Drake/Gore Will Work, And Why That's Crucial to Fins.

Marlinsman FitzmagicAND IN TODAY'S EDITION OF DUELING RIDICULOUS MIAMI SPORTS STORIES...: Marlins Man ends feud and returns to good graces with ballclub vs. Dolphins rookie Minkah Ftzpatrick files trademark application for phrase "FitzMagic" even though Bucs QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is already called that.

 

MahomesMAHOMES SWEET 'HOMES! / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 2: Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes (pictured) wins Week 2 while the Bucs' Ryan Fitzpatrick nudges ahead of Saint Drew Brees for the overall season lead in the Herald's latest NFL QB Rankings entering Week 3. This is the Miami Herald's 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL quarterback rankings. Dolphin Ryan Tannehill improved in Week 2 yet falls four spots to 17th. That's because it was a higher scoring week in which several QBs improved by even more. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. (Exact formula detailed below). Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. Here we go!
 
MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 2
RK    LW    Player, Team                        WK2            Season

1       2       Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB             55.10          106.95

2       1       Drew Brees, NO                    44.15          104.10

3       10     Patrick Mahomes, KC             57.30           90.10

4       3       Philip Rivers, LAC                 45.80            90.00

5       14     Kirk Cousins, MIN                  54.75            81.95

6       6       Aaron Rodgers, GB                37.55           75.85

7       9       Andy Dalton, CIN                  36.25           70.40

8       8       Alex Smith, WAS                   34.60           70.35

9       5       Joe Flacco, BAL                    27.80           69.60

10     4       Andrew Luck, IND                 24.95            68.90

11     7       Tom Brady, NE                      30.70            68.55

12     20     Ben Roethlisberger, PIT         49.60            67.85

13     16     Derek Carr, OAK                    43.40            67.55

14     15     Jared Goff, LAR                    38.70            64.35

15     18     Cam Newton, CAR                 41.75            62.80

17     13     Ryan Tannehill, MIA               30.40           58.90

        Bubble: Blake Bortles, JAC, 62.65. Week 2 best: Mahomes, KC, 57.30 (23-28, 326, 6-0 in win). Week 2 worst: Sam Bradford, ARI, 8.50 (17-27, 90, 0-1 in loss).

        Herald PASS Championships: 7—Brees (2008-11, '14-16); 6—Peyton Manning (2000, '03-04, '06, '12-13); 2—Kurt Warner (1999, '01) and Tom Brady (2007, '17); 1 each—Steve Young (1998), Rich Gannon (2002) and Carson Palmer (2005).

        Points formula: Accuracy—Completions times two minus attempts. Ex: 17 for 28 = 6 points. Yardage—Five percent of total. Ex: 202 yards = 10.10 points. TD-interception ratio—Difference times three. Ex: Four TDs and one pick = 9 points. Team result—Winning QB of record = 5 points.

Picks LobosNFL WEEK 2 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: GOOD AND GOOD ... AGAIN!: Every Tuesday in the blog I update you on how I did the just-past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. The latest: Herald picks: Another solid week! Went 10-5-1 overall again (Vikings-Packers tied) and went a stout 9-7 against the spread, including outright upset calls on Dolphins over Jets and Titans over Texans, plus 'dog Chiefs and Lions with points. Greg's Lobos: The mighty Lobos are now 2-0 with a 134.7-90 rout of Sarah Spain. Consistent scoring described the day, with Deshaun Watson, Tyreek Hill, Zach Ertz and DeShaun Jackson all tallying in the 20-23 point range. Still being held hostage by the Le'Veon Bell mess, but surviving the mess nicely thus far.

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday I rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The latest: 1. UCF (2-0); 2. Miami (2-1); 3. South Florida (3-0); 4. Florida (2-1); 5. FAU (2-1); 6. FIU (2-1); 7. Florida State (1-2).

Other select recent columns: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth ItSoft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QBNFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 17, 2018

Canesfan Satisfaction Meter: 76.7%; plus No. 21 Hurricanes ride Rosier's 5 TDs at Toledo, NFL Week 2 picks, Bachelor Dan gets engaged & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 15. Football's back meaning it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Herald debuts weekly NFL QB rankings, Week 1 Pix 'n Fantasy results, Cote's State of the State rankings, new Back In My Day video & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Newest columns: On D.Wade's decision, Dolphins running game: Dwyane Wade is taking longer than most (including Pat Riley) would like to make his Heat-or-retire decision. I explore the delay, why it isn't bad and what Wade will do: Give Dwyane Time And He'll Make Right Call. And: Ryan Tannehill is better when he throws less, and running more leads to Dolphins success. Enter Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore. To read: Why Drake/Gore Will Work, And Why That's Crucial to Fins.

CsmCANESFAN SATISFACTION METER: G3 76.7%: Results are certified in the latest Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll, and they show 76.7 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Saturday's 49-24 road victory at Toledo putting No. 21-ranked Miami's season record at 2-1. The CSM is your invitation after every Canes football game -- no matter the result or opponent -- to vote on your overall satisfaction with the team and season in a continuing weekly gauge of how UM football fans are feeling. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest you consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, the season as a whole, the program's direction and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 10:45 a.m. today/Monday. (You may also vote on my Twitter site @gregcote; the CSM vote there for this game was 62%).

2018 CSM game-by game results

G1: 9.2% following 33-17 loss to LSU.

G2: 73.8% following 77-0 victory vs. Savannah State.

G3: 76.7% following 49-24 victory at Toledo.

Next poll: Sept. 22 following game vs. FIU.

G3: NO. 21 HURRICANES (2-1) WINS AT TOLEDO (1-1), 49-24: Original Post: Guaranteed: Saturday's noon matinee in Ohio will not be nearly the breeze Miami enjoyed Toledo Theuwith last week's 77-0 home rout of woefully overmatched Savannah State. Toledo is an actual competitive team. Smaller than The U. But competitive. Miami is only a 10-point favorite. Toledo's little 26,000-seat stadium will be jammed and this will be a season-maker for them. As Canes coach Mark Richt said: "We'll get everything they've got." His Toledo counterpart John Candle: "I think everybody on our team wanted to play this game on June 1. This is not just another game." Toledo beat VMI 66-3 in its opener and is coming off a craftily positioned bye week. In last year's meeting at Hard Rock the Canes trailed Toledo 16-10 at the half and were only up 38-30 in the middle of the fourth quarter before pulling away to win 52-30. None of this is to suggest Miami should be worried. As Candle put it: "Whoever made that saying up, 'You always get better from Week 1 to Week 2,' didn't have to play the Hurricanes in Week 2." Still, unlike last week, this is not a game where Richt will likely enjoy the luxury of playing all four quarterbacks. Malik Rosier will start and I doubt any other QB will play unless Rosier is struggling. Richt: "Bottom line is we're going to play who we think gives us the best chance of winning. As long as [Rosier] is that, he'll start. If we think someone else gives us a better chance, we'll start that guy." Not exactly a resounding vote of confidence for Malik. This is a game that must not slip away from UM if the Canes are to rebound from that opening loss to LSU and still make this a special season. My pick: Hurricanes, 34-23.

OTHER STATE COLLBALL: There are seven FBS-level college teams in Florida. With Saturday's Miami game previewed above, here's chronological Week 2 schedule (all Saturday) for the rest:

No. 18 UCF (2-0) at North Carolina (0-2), POSTPONED: No game as scheduled on account of Hurricane Florence. Schools are discussing makeup date.

Syracuse (3-0) beats FSU (1-2), 30-7: After barely beating lowly Samford, humbled 'Noles were mere 3-point road faves. Can Willie Taggert survive this?

South Florida (3-0) beats Illinois (2-1), 25-19: Off nice win over Georgia Tech, Bulls should be headed for Top 25 od at least rappin' on the door.

Florida (2-1) beats Colorado State (1-3), 48-10: Gators seem to be finding their a feet after slow start.

FAU (2-1) beats Bethune-Cookman (1-2), 49-28, 6: Fowl Owl on the Prowl! The Lane Train is back on track.  

FIU (2-1) beats UMass (1-3), 63-24: Panthers off nice win at Old Dominion were narrow home faves but showed up big.

Week 3 national Top 25 matchups: No. 12 LSU beats No. 7 Auburn, 22-21; 24-Oklahoma State beats 17-Boise State, 44-21; and 4-Ohio State beats 15-TCU, 40-28.

PicksDOLPHINS-JETS AND ALL THE REST OF OUR NFL WEEK 2 PICKS: The Dolphins are going to go on the road and upset the Jets on Sunday. I explain why at the top of my latest NFL predictions. They include my Game of the Week, Upset of the Week ("Aaawwwk!") and all the rest. Our 28th season of Friday (but online Thursday) NFL picks launched with a bang last week as we rolled a nifty 10-5-1 mark against the spread. That's solid. Strong. Now we need to keep it going. Dive into Week 2 Gems for all my latest picks. (Included there is a separate link to Thursday night's Ravens-Bengals pick). Pictured at right, our "How the Darts Landed" shield, the bull's-eye representing wishful thinking.

DanvalerieBACHELOR DAN FINALLY GETS ENGAGED!: As you may know I broke the news on Thursday of Dan Le Batard's recent engagement to girlfriend Valerie Scheide. Go to Le Batard Headed to the Altar for the controversial full story -- controversial in the sense that I didn't warn Dan I was writing it or get his permission and he was less than pleased at being scooped on his own announcement. (Oops!) I think he'll forgive me. I may have to rethink that if you don't hear me on the air this coming Tuesday. Meantime here is the lovely couple and congrats to them both!  

Other select recent columns: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth ItSoft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QBNFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 13, 2018

On Dwyane Wade's big (and delayed) Heat decision. New column; plus Dolphins' Tannehill makes Top 15 in Herald NFL QB rank debut, tonight's Ravens-Bengals pick, latest Back In My Day, Week 1 Pix 'n Fantasy results, Cote's State of the State ranking & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

Never1) It's THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 13. There are some thing we never forget. Hope you took a moment to reflect this week, but not just on 9/11. 2) Scroll to our previous blogpost or get there directly HERE for the Dolfan Satisfaction Meter season-debut results. They're strong! 3) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 4) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins win lightning-delayed season opener with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 5) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Tonight's Week 2 NFL Thursday pick: Bengals are mere 1-point home favorites over Ravens this week in a Thursday night matchup that should interest Dolfans. For my pick: Thursday Gem.

DwadeNEW COLUMN: ON DWYANE WADE'S BIG DECISION: The Heat venerable No. 3 is about to decide (or to reveal) whether he is returning for another NBA season in Miami ... or retiring. Pat Riley has said he hoped for a decision by mid-August. One month later, still no word. What does it mean? Some fans and media have begun to criticize Wade for his delay. That's unjustified, and I explain why in my latest column, which explores the likely what-and-when of Wade's pending decision. While South Florida immerses itself in football, its single most beloved athleteis about to make a decision affecting Miami's only three-time champion pro franchise. For my latest column: On Dwyane Wade's Big Decision.

Most recent other columns: Why Drake/Gore Will Work, And Why That's Crucial to Fins. Also: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth It (on Fins' season-opening win) and Soft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QB (on Hurricanes' home-opening win).

BreesBREES-FITZPATRICK SHOOTOUT LEADS THE WAY! / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 1: You'd think the Saints' Drew Brees would look happier about leading the Herald's NFL QB Rankings after Week 1, but I guess the glum look comes from having lost the game to standings runnerup Ryan Fitzpatrick. This launches the Miami Herald's 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL quarterback rankings. Dolphins Ryan Tannehill lands a respectable 13th in the initial Top 15. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. (Exact formula detailed below). Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. Here we go!
 
MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 1
RK    '17    Player, Team                    Week 1/Season

1       2       Drew Brees, NO                    59.95

2       34     Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB             51.85

3       6       Philip Rivers, LAC                 44.20

4       NR    Andrew Luck, IND                 43.95

5       13     Joe Flacco, BAL                    41.80

6       26     Aaron Rodgers, GB                38.30

7       1       Tom Brady, NE                      37.85

8       4       Alex Smith, WAS                   35.75

9       18     Andy Dalton, CIN                  34.15

10     50     Patrick Mahomes, KC            32.80

11     7       Case Keenum, DEN               32.45

12     NR    Sam Darnold, NYJ                 28.90

13     NR    Ryan Tannehill, MIA              28.50

14     9       Kirk Cousins, MIN                 27.20

15     11     Jared Goff, LAR                   25.65

        Bubble: Derek Carr, OAK, 24.15. Week 1/season best: Brees, NO, 59.95 (37-45, 439, 3-0 in loss). Week 1/season worst: Nathan Peterman, BUF, minus-12.80 (5-18, 24, 0-2 in loss).
        Herald PASS Championships: 7—Brees (2008-11, '14-16); 6—Peyton Manning (2000, '03-04, '06, '12-13); 2—Kurt Warner (1999, '01) and Tom Brady (2007, '17); 1 each—Steve Young (1998), Rich Gannon (2002) and Carson Palmer (2005).
        Points formula: Accuracy—Completions times two minus attempts. Ex: 17 for 28 = 6 points. Yardage—Five percent of total. Ex: 202 yards = 10.10 points. TD-interception ratio—Difference times three. Ex: Four TDs and one pick = 9 points. Team result—Winning QB of record = 5 points.

ThillNFL WEEK 1 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: GOOD AND GOOD!: Every Tuesday in the blog starting today I'll update you on how I did the just-past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and Picks Loboswith my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. So let's get it started in here! Herald picks: Solid week!. Went 10-5-1 overall (Steelers-Browns tied) and also a nifty 10-5-1 against the spread (Seahawks-Broncos pushed at 3). Nailed our Upset of the Week with Bengals over Colts ("Aaawwwk!"). Also called mini-upset by Dolphins, had underdog Bears and Jets with the points, and hit a rare Exacto with Patriots' 27-20 win. Greg's Lobos: What a comeback! Trailed deep into Sunday before heroically rallying to trounce Lorenzo 141-121, behind a giant 42 points from Tyreek Hill (pictured). Also got 23 from old Adrian Peterson, a last-minute start for me. I'm one of the millions of fantasy owners being held hostage by the Le'Veon Bell situation. Given that, we survived opening week nicely.

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday starting today I'll rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The kickoff: 1. UCF (2-0); 2. Miami (1-1); 3. South Florida (2-0); 4. Florida (1-1); 5. FAU (1-1); 6. FIU (1-1); 7. Florida State (1-1).

NEW 'BACK IN MY DAY': BINOCULARS!: This debuted on Tuesday's LeBatard Show on ESPN Radio and ESPNews:

Other select recent columns: Don't Bail On Canes Yet, But... NFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownDolphins Must Make Us BelieveFinally, a Chance to Say ThanksNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireGore Back In Miami Is The Perfect End RunDolphins Need a Better Tannehill, Not Just A Healthy OneTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 06, 2018

Verdict in! See how you ranked teams in LeBatard Show/League of Lobos fantasy draft (and you won't believe won won!); plus tonight's Falcons-Eagles pick, MLS/Miami's new name and logo, latest Back In My Day video (Collecting!) & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 6. See the previous blogpost for the result of the season's first Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll. It ain't pretty. 2) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Canes fall hard to LSU in opener with CSM poll and results, other State Collball Week 1, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Picks Upsetbird"Aaawwwk!" NFL Friday predix are back! Here's tonight's pick: Our Friday NFL predictions (posted online Thursdays beginning late this afternoon) return starting this week. For tonight's Falcons-Eagles pick: Thursday Night Gem. Pictured: Our Friday picks shield, and an artist rendering of the Upset Bird, the never-photographed raven and trusted prognosticatory sidekick. "Aaawwwk!"

Latest column: Don't bail on Canes yet, but time for UM to remind us why we all thought The U was back: Here's my column off UM's 33-17 season-opening football loss to LSU: Don't Bail On Canes Yet, But... Other recent Canes columns: Canes Have the Hype. Now the Proving StartsCanes Could Go 12-0 and Still Have Mountain to ClimbNow We See How Hurricanes Handle Burden Of ExpectationsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This Town.

Annual NFL team rankings: Dolphins higher than you think: It's NFL Opening Week, here are my annual NFL Team Rankings, and who's No. 1 might surprise you. So might how low the Patriots are ranked and how high the Dolphins are. Check it out, 1 through 32: NFL 2018 Team Rankings.

Wolfmoon TardshowHOW'D I DO? (VERY WELL, THANKS!) HERE'S HOW YOU RANKED THE LEBATARD SHOW'S 'LEAGUE OF LOBOS' FANTASY DRAFT IN A BLIND POLL: The NFL regular season starts Thursday night, so if you haven't done your league's fantasy draft yet, WAKE UP! ESPN's Dan LeBatard Show With Stugotz had its League Of Lobos online draft Tuesday afternoon, a snake draft in a PPR league whose 14 members, alphabetically, are Roy Bellamy, Chris Cote, Greg Cote (that's me!), Amin Elhassan, Domonique Foxworth, Guillermo (Billy) Gil, Mina Kimes, Dan LeBatard, Lorenzo Rodriguez, Mike Ryan, Randy Scott, Sarah Spain, Allyson Turner and Jon (Stugotz) Weiner. In this poll, I listed every team's first four picks, in the draft order, without telling you (until after the vote) who the selector was. So you were ranking the teams 1 through 14 based on which of the first four picks you'd most want to have. Note: A few days ago I Tweeted out my first three picks in my other league, a friends 'n family deal. This is a different league, different draft. By the way, four Dolphins went in our 14-round, 196-player LeBatard Show draft: Kenyan Drake in the 3rd round (31st overall), Kenny Stills in the 8th round (109th), Danny Amendola in the 9th (114th) and DeVante Parker in the 9th (120th). You may still vote below, but we cut it off and made it official right at 1 p.m. after almost 1,000 votes (984) had been counted. Your verdict:

Lobos

 

 

 

 

CHAMPION!: GREG COTE (Team #2 led by Le'Veon Bell)--17.07%.

CONTENDERS: Guillermo "Billy" Gil (#10/Kareem Hunt)--14.23%; Jon "Stugotz" Weiner (#1/Todd Gurley)--13.11%; Chris Cote (#11/Christian McCaffrey)--12.70%.

PRETENDERS: Amin Elhassen (#8/Alvin Kamara)--6.50%; Mina Kimes (#14/Dalvin Cook)--5.18%; Domonique Foxworthy (#12/Leonard Fournette)--4.98%; Sarah Spain (#4/Antonio Brown)--4.78%.

ALSO-RANS: Randy Scott (#7/Ezekiel Elliott)--4.57%; Allyson Turner (#6/DeAndre Hopkins)--4.37%; Roy Bellamy (#5/Saquon Barkley)--4.17%; Dan LeBatard (#13/Julio Jones)--3.66%.

DREGS: Mike Ryan (#9/Odell Beckham)--2.95%; Lorenzo Rodriguez (#3/David Johnson)--1.73%.

Thanks to all who voted! #WeAreTheLobos!

MlsmiamiMLS MIAMI HAS A NAME AND LOGO: What we've been calling "MLS Miami" or "the Miami expansion soccer team fronted by David Beckham" now has a name and a shield/logo/crest. With an announcement this morning, Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami is born. It will begin play in Major League Soccer in 2020 at various sites, and move into its new stadium at the Melreese site (supposedly) in 2021. The new 13-syllable full name does not exactly roll off the tongue but Inter Miami will be the quickie version. The name reflects Miami's diversity. Said managing owner Jorge Mas: "Our city and our fans draw their strength from the dreams of a global population that calls Miami home. It is only fitting that our name pays tribute to the inclusiveness that makes us who we are." The circular crest depicts two tropical birds back to back with the sun behind them, and the Roman numeral MMXX, for 2020. The raised legs suggest the birds are flamingos, and there's an ibis flavor, too. But enough aviary talk. The Miami Flamingos (!) hit the field in about 18 months.

LATEST 'BACK IN MY DAY': COLLECTING!: This debuted on yesterday's LeBatard Show on ESPN Radio. Not my favorite BIMD, but they can't all be, right?

Other select recent columns: Dolphins Must Make Us BelieveFinally, a Chance to Say Thanks (Stanton's return). NFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireGore Back In Miami Is The Perfect End RunDolphins Need a Better Tannehill, Not Just A Healthy OneTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The Shades (death of Tony Sparano). Soccer Stadium Progress, But Much Work LeftReasons For Hope As Jeter Plan Takes RootTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote