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Dolfan Satisfaction Meter: 4.1% (season-low); plus Fins blow late lead, fall at Indy 27-24 as playoff hope fades; also, my Tanny litmus-test column, latest Hot Button Top 10 (updated), NFL Week 12 picks & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's MONDAY, NOVEMBER 26. Results are in on the latest Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll. Find them directly here. 2) Football is raging and the holidays are upon us. That means it's the perfect time to delight Dolfans you know with the gift of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Canes-Pitt and CSM poll, Tannehill/Litmus test column, other state Collball, Elton-in-Sunrise concert review & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Latest column: Tannehill has 5 games left to earn his Miami future: Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill returned Sunday at Indianapolis from his latest injury and played well, but Miami's loss and subsequent 5-6 records leaves the Fins likely needing at least four wins in the final five games to make the playoffs. This is Tannehill's Litmus test. No excuses. He must stay healthy, and perform like the highly paid, top-10-drafted passer he is. This is my latest column. Visit Tannehill's Litmus Test Is Pass or Fail.

Other select recent columns: On LeBron's return to Miami with Lakers: Oh What We Had, And What We Lost. And NASCAR Needs A Next Big Thing / Wade's World Bigger Than Hoops, And Good For Him / Honeymoon Over: How Collapsing Seasons Put Heat on Gase, Richt.

DsmDOLFAN SATISFACTION METER: G11: 4.1%: Results are certified in the latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll, and they show a season-low 4.1 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Sunday's 27-24 loss at Indianapolis putting Miami's season record at 5-6. The DSM is a continuous weekly gauge of how Dolfans are feeling about the team and its direction. Right after each game I invite you to share your overall degree of satisfaction. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest fans consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, season as a whole, direction the club is heading and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 6:45 a.m. today/Tuesday. (The DSM also takes place on our Twitter site @gregcote. The approval there was 21%).

2018 DSM game-by-game results

G1: 86.8% following 27-20 victory vs. Tennessee.

G2: 93.4% following 20-12 victory at N.Y. Jets.

G3: 96.2% following 28-20 victory vs. Oakland.

G4: 17.2% following 38-7 loss at New England.

G5: 6.4% following 27-17 loss at Cincinnati.

G6: 75.0% following 31-28 OT victory vs. Chicago.

G7: 8.9% following 32-21 loss vs. Detroit.

G8: 5.8% following 42-23 loss at Houston.

G9: 29.6% following 13-6 victory vs. N.Y. Jets.

G10: 5.8% following 31-12 loss at Green Bay.

G11: 4.1% following 27-24 loss at Indianapolis.

Next poll: Dec. 2 following game vs. Buffalo.

MiaindG11: INDIANAPOLIS 27, DOLPHINS 24: TANNEHILL GREAT IN COMEBACK, BUT IT ISN'T ENOUGH: Final thoughts: A heartbreaking loss on a 32-yard last-second FG drops Miami to 5-6 and sends playoff hopes tumbling further. Tannehill was really solid in his eturn from injury: 17-for-25, 204 yards, two TDS. But had a 24-14 fourth quarter lead it failed to protect. A competitive loss. But still a loss ..... Halftime thoughts: Tannehill is sharp in his return: 11-for-15, 179 yards, two TDs, and the defense has three takeaways (including two picks of Luck) in an even game at the half. A winnable game both teams need to win. Tannehill's performance thus far is encouraging to say the least. But can Miami, without a great track record on the road, finish strong? ..... Original post: Ryan Tannehill’s much-awaited comeback after five games out comes in a 4:25 p.m./CBS matchup between two of five Fortune .500 teams (both 5-5) currently jockeying for the sixth and last AFC playoff ticket. (Second billing to No. 17’s return: Frank Gore facing the team he ran Kidqbsfor before coming to Miami). The betting line skied to 10 before settling down to a sane 7 1/2 favoring the hot Colts. The fat bet-number pays homage to Indy’s four-game win streak during which Andrew Luck has looked better than ever — adding pressure on Tannehill to outduel the QB drafted No. 1 overall in 2012, the same year Tanny went eighth to the Fins. (The two are pictured left in February 2012 at the NFL pre-draft Scouting Combine). Miami has won six of its past eight trips to Indy, but there are other reasons to not like the Dolphins’ upset chances. Luck has not been sacked in five straight games, and Fins are 1-4 away this year and 1-9 in past 10 roadies. And Tannehill may need to top 30 points to hang with a Colts’ offense fifth in NFL in scoring. But won’t he be rusty? And is his shoulder fully healed? (Really?) For me, the home field, Luck playing great and Miami’s notorious tendency to wither on the road make this a clear pick. I do like Miami, coming off a bye, against the spread getting 7-plus points, but an outright upset seems a longshot. Tannehill coming back from (another) injury and his team on the unsteady road leave Miami with much to prove here. My pick: Indianapolis, 30-23.

Visit Week 12 Gems for all of our latest NFL picks.

HOT BUTTON TOP 10 (UPDATED): WHAT SOUTH FLORIDA SPORTS FANS ARE TALKING ABOUT: Our blog-exclusive every-Sunday feature, updated Mondays, is part week-in-review, part look-ahead. Hot Button means what's on our minds, locally and nationally, from a Miami perspective, as the sports week just past pivots to the week ahead. This week's HB10:

Hotbutton1. DOLPHINS: Tannehill returns but Fins collapse late in Indy: Ryan Tannehill came back Sunday from five games' absence and Miami led 24-14 in the fourth quarter but somehow lost 27-24. Now there is a mountain to climb. Miami at 5-6 must win four of its last five games and maybe all five to make the playoffs. The odds of that? I'm not sure numbers go that high.

2. HURRICANES: UM beats Pitt, awaits bowl invite: The Canes beat Pitt 24-3 with terrific defense Saturday to finish 7-5, and now await a mid-level bowl invitation. It was a tough week in which Mark Richt had a top QB cancel a visit and had star receiver Jeff Thomas quit the team. The program needed what Manny Diaz's defense delivered.

3. HEAT: Miami struggling as Wade returns: Dwyane Wade is back from an extended paternity leave after the surrogate-birth of a daughter but Heat is stumbling at 7-12 after Sunday's loss in Toronto -- despite Wade's 35 off the bench. Team is home now for four in a row. Spark needed. And if 35 from Wade ain't enough, that's a bad sign.

4. GOLF: Phil beats Tiger in 'The Match': Phil Mickelson beat Tiger Woods on the 22nd hole of their charity pay-per-view match-play event Friday in Arizona to take the $9 million pot. I think the course won. The play was not scintillating. Or, as analyst Charles Barkley said: "This is some crappy golf." Imagine that? You pair two guys in their 40s well past their primes and you're disappointed. Shocking!

5. COLLEGE FOOTBALL: Michigan loss shakes up playoffs' top 4: Alabama, Clemson, and Notre Dame were 1-2-3 and all won Saturday. But No. 4 Michigan got clobbered by No. 10 Ohio State. No. 5 Georgia should now bump up into the coveted top four ... but might the Buckeyes make the big leap instead? Hmm.

6. UM HOOPS: Canes men fall in Wooden final: Miami's men reached the final of the Wooden Legacy Tournament in Fullerton, Cal., Sunday vs. Seton Hall, but fell 83-81 after beating Fresno State 78-76 in the semis. Team Larranaga is now 5-1, while he UM women are 6-1 and ranked no 24. Good start for Canes hoops all round.

7. PANTHERS: Cats continue struggling, lose Trocheck: Panthers lost star Vincent Trocheck to a bad ankle injury, and now are 8-13 after Saturday's 5-4 overtime home loss to Chicago. That was first of eight straight games at the Sunrise rink. Turn it on in this homestand, or the season's hopes could start skating away.

8. CANTON: Zach Thomas among 25 Hall finalists: Dolphins stalwart middle linebacker Zach Thomas finally made it to the round of 25 finalists for the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton. Is Greg Cote taking credit because of this column urging Zach's induction? Sure, why not!

9. COOPERSTOWN: Baseball's 2019 Hall of Fame ballot is out: Baseball's 2019 hall ballot was sent to voters (including me) and Mariano Rivera may be the only you'd-bet-your-life lock. One of the first timers includes ex-Marlin Juan Pierre. He won't make it, but I don't rule out his getting the 5 percent minimum to remain on ballot.

10. MARLINS: J.T. Realmuto and the long goodbye: The Marlins are expected to trade away their all-star catcher for prospects sometime soon, because Miami is rebuikind g from the farm system up, and because prospects cost a lot less to keep than established players about to command huge contracts.

Missing the HB10 cut: Gulfstream Park's championship meet opens in six days, on Dec. 1. Gentlemen (and ladies), start your betting! ..... I trust y'all had a lovely long Thanksgiving Weekend including a hectic, stressful Black Friday? ..... Gators beat Noles but the big news in state Collball was UCF QB McKenzie Milton's awful knee injury. Knights will still get a major bowl invite, but now probably see their 24-game win streak end ..... Joey Logano won the NASCAR championship at Homestead last week despite winning only one regular-season race. Time to tinker with the playoff format again? ..... First leg of the MLS playoffs semifinals is today. Soon, Miami. Soon ..... Update: Countdown now 2,766 days (give or take) until Miami hosts its first match in the 2026 World Cup.

Select other recent columns: Dolfans, Your Team Is Not Easy To LoveNo More Excuses, Florida PanthersNFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

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