GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.
1) It's SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13. Football's here and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins-Bears and other NFL Week 6 picks, Heat/Jimmy Butler poll, Panthers drop home opener & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.
Our most recent columns: No More Excuses, Florida Panthers and Tannehill: Requiem For A Quarterback. Also: Kid QB Passes His Big Test (N'Kosi Perry), Whatever Happened to Kenyan Drake? and With All D.Wade Has Meant, One Year to Say Goodbye Might Not Be Enough.
NFL Week 6 picks: Dolphins-Bears and the rest: Get 'em all right here. Dive into Week 6 Gems.
CANESFAN SATISFACTION METER: G7: 13.0%: Results are certified in the latest Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll, and they 13.0 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Saturday night's 16-13 loss at Virginia putting No. 16 UM's season record at 5-2 overall and 2-1 in the ACC. The CSM is your invitation after every Canes football game -- no matter the result or opponent -- to vote on your overall satisfaction with the team and season in a continuing weekly gauge of how UM football fans are feeling. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest you consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, the season as a whole, the program's direction and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 9:30 a.m. today/Monday. (The CSM also takes place on my Twitter site @gregcote. The approval there was 19.0%).
2018 CSM game-by game results
G1: 9.2% following 33-17 loss to LSU.
G2: 73.8% following 77-0 victory vs. Savannah State.
G3: 76.7% following 49-24 victory at Toledo.
G4: 84.0% following 31-17 victory vs. FIU.
G5: 98.7% following 47-10 victory vs. North Carolina.
G6: 91.1% following 28-27 victory vs. FSU.
G7: 13.0% following 16-13 loss at Virginia.
Next poll: Oct. 26 (after bye) following game at Boston College.
G7: @VIRGINIA BEATS NO. 16 HURRICANES, 16-13 AT VIRGINIA: NEITHER PERRY NOR ROSIER CAN AVERT BAD ROAD LOSS: Postgame thoughts: N'Kosi Perry stunk in his first career road start, threw two interceptions, and was benched. Deposed starter Malik Rosier came in, threw an interception and also was largely ineffective. The offensive line didn't enhance either QB's chances. We called it a danger game for UM, a letdown risk, and we were right. Original post: It isn't as dire as an official Upset Alert, no, but I issue a Nervous-Night Alert because so many tea leaves are telling me 5-1 UM may be in for a real fight at 3-2 Virginia Saturday night at 7. It's a road ACC division game at night, the Cavaliers aren't that bad and are 3-0 at home, Miami has lost three of the past four meetings in Charlottesville, and this will be N'Kosi Perry's first career game and start away from the friendly confines of Hard Rock. And those aren't even the main reasons for concern. This is: A letdown. For me, despite all of Mark Richt's preaching to his Canes, UM is at risk of a we-can-coast-a-little mindset in the wake of all the ballyhoo leading up to last week's FSU game and then Miami's dramatic comeback for a 28-27 win. It's tough to get up like that two weeks in a row. UM won't need that same level on Saturday, but neither can it afford to come out flat and hope to win on cruise-control. The U bumped up only one spot in the polls, so that rally past the Noles didn't impress the ranker-nerds all that much. Now UM is a modest 6 1/2-point favorite. (Florida is full of state FBS games designed to make fans nervous this week. Like UM, the Gators, UCF and South Florida all are ranked road favorites -- but by a single score. And FIU is favored at home by a scant 2 points). I see the Canes defense humbling a Cavaliers offense averaging 30 points. But this is another big test in Perry's development, and a turnover or two by him could keep it close. My pick: Hurricanes, 27-17.
OTHER STATE COLLBALL: There are seven FBS-level college teams in Florida. With Miami-Virginia above, here's chronological Week 7 schedule for the rest (all Saturday but where noted):
No. 23 South Florida (6-0) beats Tulsa (1-5), 25-24: Under the Friday lights on ESPN, Bulls needed a big fourth quarter road rally to escape a Tulsa squad not as bad as its record suggests.
No. 14 Florida (6-1) beats Vanderbilt (3-4), 37-27: Hot Gators risked road letdown after huge upset of No. 5 LSU last week, and needed 24-0 second half to rally poast Vandy.
No. 10 UCF (6-0) beats Memphis (4-3), 31-30: Knights were modest 4 1/2-point pick in AAC matchup, perhaps because Tigers were 4-0 at home, but rallied in second half.
FIU (4-2) beats Middle Tennessee State (3-3), 24-21: Panthers, a 2-point fave, rallied in fourth quarter to overtake the Conference USA East division lead.
Off this week: FAU (3-3; next at Marshall) and FSU (3-3; next vs. Wake Forest).
Week 7 national Top 25 matchups (3): No.13 LSU beats No. 2 Georgia, 36-16; 17-Oregon beats 7-Washington, 30-27 (OT); and 12-Michigan beats 15-Wisconsin, 38-13.
POLL RESULT: NO! HEAT SHOULD NOT GIVE UP TOO MUCH FOR BUTLER!: We asked, "Should the Miami Heat trade Josh Richardson, Bam Adebayo and a 2019 first-round draft pick to acquire Jimmy Butler?" and offered four choices, with a plurality of 48.31 percent, voting a strong no. Then it was 23.60% a soft no, 16.05% a strong yes, and 11.24% a soft yes. Broken down to yays and nays, it was 71.91% no and 28.09% yes.
Other select columns: NFL 2018 Team Rankings. Dolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This Town. NFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest Quagmire. To The Good-Guy Grinder In The Shades. Time to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports Town. Can Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.
Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.