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Tannehill takes hard fall in Herald's Week 4 QB rankings; plus new 'Back In My Day' video, latest column (Dolphins/Kenyan Drake), NFL Pix 'n Fantasy results, college State of the State rankings, 4-Man Outfield (season final) & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 3. Happy new month, y'all. Welcome to autumn. Can't stop the holidays now. 2) See the latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter results (they're ugly) in the blogpost directly below. 3) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 4) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins fall flat in New England with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 5) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram. 

Latest column: Dolphins' problem. And solution: Miami was exposed as a team without an identity in Sunday's blowout loss in New England. One main reason? Adam Gase has turned Kenyan Drake into a missing person. That column: Whatever Happened to Kenyan Drake?

Other most recent columns: For The Dolphins, The Moment Of Truth Is HereFinding Great QB is Now Richt's Holy GrailWith All D.Wade Has Meant, One Year to Say Goodbye Might Not Be Enough.

THE NEW 'BACK IN MY DAY': DISAPPEARING CARS!: Our latest BIMD video made its debut Tuesday on the LeBatard Show on ESPN Radio and ESPNews. Here it is: 

 

GoffGOFF MAKES HIS MOVE, TANNEHILL TAKES MAJOR TUMBLE / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 4: Rams' Jared Goff (pictured) wins Week 4 with a big season-high 62.25-point game to make a move on season leader Drew Brees in the Herald's latest NFL QB Rankings. This is our 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL quarterback rankings. The Dolphins' Ryan Tannehill, after a subpar game in New England, tumbles eight spots from 12th place overall to 20th. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. (Exact formula detailed below). Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. The Top 15 table entering Week 5:
 
MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 4
RK    LW    Player, Team                        WK4            Season

1       1       Drew Brees, NO                    19.85         186.75

2       6       Jared Goff, LAR                    62.25         177.30

3       4       Kirk Cousins, MIN                  52.10         173.85

4       3       Patrick Mahomes, KC            34.20         164.00

5t      11     Matt Ryan, ATL                     48.95         147.80

5t      7       Philip Rivers, LAC                 34.50         147.80

7       10     Joe Flacco, BAL                    43.15         144.60

8       17     Andrew Luck, IND                 53.20         143.30

9       13     Derek Carr, OAK                    44.85         141.65

10     2       Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB              3.30          140.80

11     9       Eli Manning, NYG                  36.75         139.75

12     14     Andy Dalton, CIN                  44.85         138.85

13     5       Ben Roethlisberger, PIT         20.70         138.70

14     15     Matthew Stafford, DET          39.35         133.10

15     21     Mitch Trubisky, CHI               52.70         129.25

20     12     Ryan Tannehill, MIA               4.00          101.35

39     --       Brock Osweiler, MIA              7.75            7.75

        Bubble: Aaron Rodgers, GB, 129.00. Week 4 best: Goff, LAR, 62.25 (26-33, 465, 5-0 in win). Week 4 worst: Josh Allen, BUF, 0.55 (16-33, 151, 0-2 in loss). Herald PASS Championships: 7—Brees (2008-11, '14-16); 6—Peyton Manning (2000, '03-04, '06, '12-13); 2—Kurt Warner (1999, '01) and Tom Brady (2007, '17); 1 each—Steve Young (1998), Rich Gannon (2002) and Carson Palmer (2005). Points formula: Accuracy—Completions times two minus attempts. Ex: 17 for 28 = 6 points. Yardage—Five percent of total. Ex: 202 yards = 10.10 points. TD-interception ratio—Difference times three. Ex: Four TDs and one pick = 9 points. Team result—Winning QB of record = 5 points.

Picks LobosNFL WEEK 4 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: SOLID AGAIN ... AND NOT: Every Tuesday in the blog I update you on how I did the just-past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. The latest: Herald picks: Very solid again as our strong start to the season continued. We were 11-4 overall and 8-5-2 against the spread, with the Raiders and Seahawks wins both pushing on 3-point lines. We misfired badly on our Upset of the Week (way to not compete, Dolphins), but did hit an outright upset with Texans and also had three 'dogs with points in Bengals, Titans and 49ers. (Hate like hell to miss a Dolphins game, but, keep in mind, Miami is only 3 percent of the total teams I'm predicting...). Greg's Lobos: Ouch. The Lobos fell to 2-2, betting crushed by Amin Elhassan, 141.6-111.1. We got 31.1 points from Deshaun  Watson, but for naught. Running back play is killing us as the continuing Le'Veon Bell mess is beginning to take its toll.

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday I rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The latest: 1. UCF (4-0); 2. Miami (4-1); 3. South Florida (4-0); 4. Florida (4-1); 5. Florida State (3-2); 6. FIU (3-2); 7. FAU (2-3).

4manof'THE FOUR-MAN OUTFIELD' (SEASON FINAL): YELICH DOMINATES!: Periodically throughout this MLB season -- just for fun -- I compared and updated the ongoing performances of the three Marlins outfield starters traded away during the offseason and current Marlins center fielder Lewis Brinson, the most highly regarded prospect to arrive in the deals. Unfair to compare three established stars with a rookie? Boo hoo. Who said life was fair! Plus, remember: Just for fun! We based our rankings on OPS (on-base plus slugging). The final 4-Man Outfield tally for 2018:

Player, Team                                  OPS     G   AB   R    H    BI     D-T-HR    AVG. 

1. Christian Yelich, Brewers          1.000 147  574 118 187  110   34-7-36   .326

2. Giancarlo Stanton, Yankees       .852  158   617 102 164  100   34-1-38  .266

3. Marcell Ozuna, Cardinals           .758  148  582   69 163    88   16-2-23   .280

4. Lewis Brinson, Marlins               .577  109  382   31  76     42   10-5-11   .199

Other select recent columns: NFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

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