GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.
1) It is FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 10. Know any people who are serious Dolfans? Surprise and delight them with our book on club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins fall to Oakland with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.
Miami-Notre Dame Week: In my latest column I name the Top 10 Miami Hurricanes football wins of the post-dynasty era (since the last national title in 2001) and declare that beating the Fighting Irish here Saturday night would top them all. Click on Canes-Irish: Game For The Ages.
UPSET BIRD DAY IN AMERICA! NFL WEEK 10 PICKS: I THINK I SPRAINED AN ANKLE JUMPING OFF THE DOLPHINS BANDWAGON: After mistakenly picking the Dolphins to win the past two games, I'm done thinking they'll rise to the prime-time occasion. Click on Week 10 Gems for my picks on Dolphins-Panthers Monday nighter, Game of the Week (Saints-Bills), Upset of the Week (Jets-Buccaneers: "Aawwk!") and the rest. Our week got off to a nifty start last night. We said Seahawks would cover a 5-1/2-point line at Arizona, 24-16, and Seattle won 22-16.
SMOKIN'!: DOLPHINS' CUTLER WINS WEEK 9 PASSING TITLE / HERALD QB RANKINGS / WEEK 9: The Dolphins’ Jay Cutler scored a 50.55-point game to lead 
all passers in Week 9 of the Miami Herald’s NFL quarterback rankings, while the Chiefs’ Alex Smith overtook Patriot Tom Brady for the overall season lead. This is the 20th season of our Passer Success System (PASS) rankings, which began in 1998. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. Because the rankings are cumulative, players on a bye week (such as Brady in Week 9) take a temporary hit that evens out over the course of a season.
HERALD NFL WEEK QB RANKINGS / Top 20 plus Dolphins
RK LW Player, Team WK9 SEASON
1 2 Alex Smith, KC 32.15 318.20
2 1 Tom Brady, NE BYE 302.05
3 3 Drew Brees, NO 41.15 287.70
4 4 Carson Wentz, PHI 29.95 268.10
5 7 Kirk Cousins, WAS 28.35 250.35
6 6 Josh McCown, NYJ 23.00 250.00
7 5 Russell Wilson, SEA 17.85 246.25
8 11 Matthew Stafford, DET 48.05 235.60
9 10 Matt Ryan, ATL 28.65 223.85
10 12 Dak Prescott, DAL 32.45 218.90
11 13 Derek Carr, OAK 32.00 217.70
12 21 Jared Goff, LAR 38.55 209.75
13 22 Tyrod Taylor, BUF 38.25 202.40
14 8 Philip Rivers, LAC BYE 197.40
15 9 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT BYE 197.10
16 14 Cam Newton, CAR 13.85 196.90
17 19 Eli Manning, NYG 18.00 192.00
18 15 Aaron Rodgers, GB DNP 182.25
19t 25 Jacoby Brissett, IND 36.40 181.50
19t 16 Case Keenum, MIN BYE 181.50
26 29 Jay Cutler, MIA 50.55 169.30
39 37 Matt Moore, MIA DNP 29.20
Bubble: tie, Carson Palmer ARI and Deshaun Watson HOU, both 180.95. Week 9 Best: Cutler MIA 50.55 (34-42, 311, 3-0 in loss). Week 9 Worst: Jameis Winston TB 4.35 (7-13, 67, 0-0 in loss).
NFL PIX 'N FANTASY: WEEK 9 RESULTS: Every week in the blog I tell you know how I did the previous NFL weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my Greg's Lobos team in the LeBatard Show fantasy league. WEEK 9: Herald picks: Mixed results. Went an awful 6-7 straight-up as my struggles there continued, but fashioned a solid 7-5-1 against the spread including two exact-score bull's-eyes in Titans winning 23-20 and Panthers 20-17. Greg's Lobos: Win! Lobos rose to 6-3 with a 120.3-78.3 rout of Billy, fueled by 25.6 points from Matt Forte and 24.4 from Todd Gurley. #ReturnOfTheGurleyMen #GoLobosGo
SOPY STANDINGS / WEEK 10: AN OWL CRASHES THE PARTY, ENTERS 'STATE HEISMAN' RACE: It's been a three-man race all season for the Herald's 2017 State 
Offensive Player of the Year award -- the "state Heisman." Well, make it four now. Add Florida Atlantic running back Devin Singletary to the quarterback troika of South Florida's Quinton Flowers, UCF's McKenzie Milton and Miami's Malik Rosier. All had huge Week 10 performances, with Flowers overtaking the No. 1 spot with a season-high 341.5-point game, Singletary scoring 287, Milton 262 and Rosier 215.5. Also in the 200 club: Florida State RB Cam Akers with 229. Our weekly rankings measure the most productive quarterbacks, running backs and receivers from the state's seven FBS teams: Miami, Florida, Florida State, FIU, FAU, UCF and South Florida. The rankings are cumulative but based weekly on average points per game: Total points divided by number of games a player's team has played. This keeps the comparison even because not all teams have played the same number of games at the same time. Our simple formula awards a half-point for every passing yard and one point for every rushing or receiving yard, with six points for every TD scored or thrown.
SOPY Top 10 entering Week 11:
RK LW Player, School-Pos. Average / Total (Games)
1 3 Quinton Flowers-SoFla qb 208.06 1,872.5 / 9
2 1 McKenzie Milton-UCF qb 205.06 1,640.5 / 8
3 2 Malik Rosier-Miami qb 197.00 1,576 / 8
4 4 Devin Singletary-FAU rb 173.11 1,558 / 9
5 5 Alex McGough-FIU qb 132.00 1,056 / 8
6 9 Cam Akers-FSU rb 113.94 911.5 / 8
7 6 Thomas Owens-FIU rec 107.31 858.5 / 8
8 7 Travis Homer-Miami rb 105.88 847 / 8
9 -- Marquez Valdes-Scantling-SoFla rec 96.11 865 / 9
10 -- Adrian Killins, UCF rb 95.63 765 / 8
Bubble: Darius Tice-SoFla rb, 94.11. Other team leader: Malik Davis-Florida rb, 74.50. Week 10 best: Flowers-SoFla qb, 341.5. Season best: Flowers-SoFla qb, 341.5 points (W10).
Cote's State of the State rankings: 1. Miami (8-0); 2. UCF (8-0); 3. South Florida (8-1); 4. Florida State (3-5); 5. Florida (3-5); 6. FIU (6-2); 7. FAU (6-3).
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