GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.
1) It is THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16. Dolphins approval rating sinks to new season low in latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter. See previous blogpost for details. 2) Know any people who are (still) serious Dolfans? Surprise and delight them with our book on club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins collapse in Carolina with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.
Tonight's Steelers-Titans pick: Two division leaders on four-game win streaks. Wow. A Thursday night football game worth watching! Click Thursday Gem for our predix capsule.
No. 3 in CFP a great spot for Hurricanes: Miami being raked behind Clemson is a huge benefit to the Canes. Click CFP Does Canes A Favor to read my latest column. And click The Mark 'n Manny Show for my previous column on Canes.
BRADY RETAKES LEAD, CUTLER MOVES UP / HERALD QB RANKINGS / WEEK 10: Patriot Tom Brady takes advantage of Alex Smith's Chiefs bye week to regain the season lead after Week 10 of the Miami Herald’s NFL quarterback rankings. The Rams' Jared Goff wins the week with a 44.75-point game, edging Brady. Meanwhile Miami's Jay Cutler (pictured) moves up five big spots to No. 21 overall, putting him in position to crack the Top 20 chart this week. This is the 20th season of our Passer Success System (PASS) rankings, which began in 1998. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. Because the rankings are cumulative, players on a bye week (such as Smith in Week 10) take a temporary hit that evens out over the course of a season.
HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / Top 20 plus Dolphins
RK LW Player, Team Wk10 Season
1 2 Tom Brady, NE 43.30 345.35
2 1 Alex Smith, KC BYE 318.20
3 3 Drew Brees, NO 25.20 312.90
4 7 Russell Wilson, SEA 34.90 281.15
5 5 Kirk Cousins, WAS 23.35 273.70
6 6 Josh McCown, NYJ 20.10 270.10
7 4 Carson Wentz, PHI BYE 268.10
8 8 Matthew Stafford, DET 31.45 267.05
9 9 Matt Ryan, ATL 33.75 257.60
10 12 Jared Goff, LAR 44.75 254.50
11 10 Dak Prescott, DAL 18.80 237.70
12 16 Cam Newton, CAR 36.70 233.60
13 17 Eli Manning, NYG 38.65 230.65
14 15 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT 26.80 223.90
15 19t Case Keenum, MIN 39.20 220.70
16 11 Derek Carr, OAK BYE 217.70
17 14 Philip Rivers, LAC 19.75 217.15
18 13 Tyrod Taylor, BUF -0.20 202.20
19 19t Jacoby Brissett, IND 18.10 199.60
20 25 Andy Dalton, CIN 24.25 195.20
21 26 Jay Cutler, MIA 20.65 189.95
40 39 Matt Moore, MIA DNP 29.20
Bubble: Cutler, MIA, 189.95. Week 10 Best: Goff, LAR, 44.75 (25-37, 355, 3-0 in win). Week 10 Worst: Taylor, BUF, minus-0.20 (9-18, 56, 0-1 in loss).
NFL PIX 'N FANTASY: WEEK 10 RESULTS: Every week in the blog I tell you know how I did the previous NFL weekend with my Miami herald predictions and with my Greg's Lobos team in the LeBatard Show fantasy league. WEEK 10: Herald picks: Mixed results again. Went a very solid 11-3 straight-up but a terrible 5-9 against despite an Upset of the Week bull's-eye ("Aawwk!") on Bucs over Jets. Also had Packers-with-points over Bears. Got a bit unlucky in missing two games by a half-point each. Greg's Lobos: Loss. Lobos fell to 6-4 (still tied for third in a 14-team league) with a tough 102.1-99.5 loss to Domonique Foxworth. Had nobody better than Todd Gurley's 19.6 points. Still had a shot with two in play Monday night, but Jarvis Landry and Graham Gano fell just short for me. #GurleyMen #GoLobosGo
SOPY RANKINGS / WEEK 11: CANES' HOMER CLIMBS CHART: Miami Hurricanes quarterback Malik Rosier maintains third place but loses ground to the leaders while UM running back Travis Homer rises two spots to No. 6 in the race for the Herald's 2017 State Offensive Player of the Year award. QBs Quinton Flowers of South Florida and McKenzie Milton of UCF are in a virtual dead heat for the No. 1 spot. Our weekly rankings measure the most productive quarterbacks, running backs and receivers from the state's seven FBS teams: Miami, Florida, Florida State, FIU, FAU, UCF and South Florida. The rankings are cumulative but based weekly on average points per game: Total points divided by number of games a player's team has played. This keeps the comparison even because not all teams have played the same number of games at the same time. Our simple formula awards a half-point for every passing yard and one point for every rushing or receiving yard, with six points for every TD scored or thrown.
SOPY Top 10 entering Week 12:
RK LW Player, School-Pos. Average Total points (Games)
1 1 Quinton Flowers-SoFla qb 208.06 1,872.5 / 9
2 2 McKenzie Milton-UCF qb 207.33 1,866 / 9
3 3 Malik Rosier-Miami qb 188.94 1,700.5 / 9
4 4 Devin Singletary-FAU rb 167.10 1,671 / 10
5 5 Alex McGough-FIU qb 136.83 1,231.5 / 9
6 8 Travis Homer-Miami rb 113.00 1,017 / 9
7 6 Cam Akers-FSU rb 107.83 970.5 / 9
8 7 Thomas Owens-FIU rec 105.06 945.5 / 9
9 9 Marquez Valdes-Scantling-SoFla rec 96.11 865 / 9
10 -- Tre'Quan Smith-UCF rec 94.44 850 / 9
Bubble: Darius Tice-SoFla rb, 94.11. Other team leader: Feleipe Franks-Florida qb, 68.33. Week 11 best: Milton-UCF qb, 225.5 points. Season best: Flowers-SoFla qb, 341.5 points (W10).
Cote's State of the State rankings: 1. Miami (9-0); 2. UCF (9-0); 3. South Florida (8-1); 4. Florida State (3-6); 5. FAU (7-3); 6. Florida (3-6); 7. FIU (6-3).
LATEST 'BACK IN MY DAY': UNNECESSARY AUTOMATION!: On self-parking cars, automatic doors and moving walkways. Not my best BIMD, but they can't all be, right?
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