GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.
1) It is WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 22. Holiday season! Give the Dolfan on your list the gift of my book on the club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins lose to Tampa Bay with DSM poll, NASCAR/Homestead finale, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.
Our 3 newest columns: On Dolphins, NASCAR, Canes: Click Adam Gase Must Find A Way for my latest column, on Dolphins' woes. Click Truex Jr. Takes Trophy, But Dale Jr. Wins The Day, from Sunday's NASCAR finale at Homestead. And click Heart and Fight Keep Canes' Perfect Dream Alive, from Saturday's UM comeback win.
BRADY GROWS LEAD, NEW NO. 2, CUTLER FALLS / HERALD QB RANKINGS / WEEK 11: [Click HERE to see these latest rankings online] for the online Patriot Tom Brady wins Week 11 with a big 53.95-point game to extend his season lead in the Miami Herald’s NFL quarterback rankings, while Saint Drew Brees (pictured) supplants Chief Alex Smith for the runnerup spot as Brady's closest challenger. Meanwhile the Dolphins' Jay Cutler tumbles three spots, to 24th. This is the 20th season of our Passer Success System (PASS) rankings, which began in 1998. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. Now that bye weeks have finished, the field is level with everyone's team having played the same number of games.
HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / Top 20 plus Dolphins
RK LW Player, Team Wk11 Season
1 1 Tom Brady, NE 53.95 399.30
2 3 Drew Brees, NO 44.25 357.15
3 2 Alex Smith, KC 19.50 337.70
4 5 Kirk Cousins, WAS 37.10 310.80
5 4 Russell Wilson, SEA 25.90 307.05
6 8 Matthew Stafford, DET 36.95 304.00
7 9 Matt Ryan, ATL 31.75 289.35
8 7 Carson Wentz, PHI 20.40 288.50
9 10 Jared Goff, LAR 20.25 274.75
10 14 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT 46.95 270.85
11 6 Josh McCown, NYJ BYE 270.10
12 15 Case Keenum, MIN 38.00 258.70
13 13 Eli Manning, NYG 18.25 248.90
14 17 Philip Rivers, LAC 31.55 248.70
15 11 Dak Prescott, DAL 3.25 240.95
16 16 Derek Carr, OAK 18.85 236.55
17 12 Cam Newton, CAR BYE 233.60
18 20 Andy Dalton, CIN 26.70 221.90
19 18 Tyrod Taylor, BUF 15.90 218.10
20 22 Blake Bortles, JAC 19.70 207.20
24 21 Jay Cutler, MIA -1.85 188.10
38 40 Matt Moore, MIA 23.10 52.30
Bubble: Joe Flacco, BAL, 202.70. Week 11 Best: Brady, NE, 53.95 (30-37, 339, 3-0 in win). Week 11 Worst: Nathan Peterman, BUF, minus-13.70 (6-14, 66, 0-5 in loss).
NFL PIX 'N FANTASY: WEEK 11 RESULTS: Every week in the blog I tell you know how I did the previous NFL weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my Greg's Lobos team in the LeBatard Show fantasy league. WEEK 11: Herald picks: The misery continues in a tough year. Went a bad 8-6 straight-up and a worse 5-8-1 (Lions pushed) against the spread. Rare highlight: Had Giants with the points over Chiefs. Greg's Lobos: Victory! Lobos breezed past Allyson 109.9 to 93.4, improving to 7-4, tied for third in a 14-team league. Drew Brees (21.6) led five 'Bos who scored in double figures. #GoLobosGo
SOPY RANKINGS / WEEK 12: OK, THIS IS FOR ALL THE MARBLES THE SEASON TITLE!: It will determine which state rival makes the American Athletic Conference championship game when the 9-1 South Florida Bulls visit the 10-0 UCF Knights at 3:30 p.m. Friday in the regular-season finale for both. It also will very likely determine which of the teams' quarterbacks wins the Herald's 2017 State Offensive Player of the Year award. The Bulls' dual-threat Quinton Flowers (pictured) — Miami-born and from Jackson High — leads the Knights' McKenzie Milton by a 207.45 to 202.30 points-per-game average, comfortably ahead of third-place Malik Rosier of the unbeaten, No. 3 Hurricanes (186.75), who also plays Friday this week, at Pitt and still has an outside shot. Our weekly rankings measure the most productive quarterbacks, running backs and receivers from the state's seven FBS teams: Miami, Florida, Florida State, FIU, FAU, UCF and South Florida. The rankings are cumulative but based weekly on average points per game: Total points divided by number of games a player's team has played. This keeps the comparison even because not all teams have played the same number of games at the same time. Our simple formula awards a half-point for every passing yard and one point for every rushing or receiving yard, with six points for every TD scored or thrown.
SOPY Top 10 entering Week 13
RK LW Player, School-Pos. Average Total points (Games)
1 1 Quinton Flowers-SoFla qb 207.45 2,074.5 (10)
2 2 McKenzie Milton-UCF qb 202.30 2,023 (10)
3 3 Malik Rosier-Miami qb 186.75 1,867.5 (10)
4 4 Devin Singletary-FAU rb 169.09 1,860 (11)
5 5 Alex McGough-FIU qb 131.75 1,317.5 (10)
6 6 Travis Homer-Miami rb 111.90 1,119 (10)
7 7 Cam Akers-FSU rb 102.05 1,020.5 (10)
8 -- Jason Driskel-FAU qb 100.14 1,101.5 (11)
9 8 Thomas Owens-FIU rec 94.55 945.5 (10)
10 10 Tre'Quan Smith-UCF rec 94.50 945 (10)
Bubble: Darius Tice-SoFla rb, 93.30. Other team leader: Feleipe Franks-Florida qb, 69.10. Week 12 best: Flowers-SoFla qb, 202 points. Season best: Flowers-SoFla qb, 341.5 points (W10).
Cote's State of the State rankings: 1. Miami (10-0); 2. UCF (10-0); 3. South Florida (9-1); 4. Florida State (4-6); 5. FAU (8-3); 6. Florida (4-6); 7. FIU (6-4).
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