November 28, 2017

Dolfan Satisfaction Meter: 7.7%. Still in the gutter...; plus Miami falls 35-17 at Patriots; also, latest Hot Button Top 10 (updated), Canes football column & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is MONDAY, NOVEMBER 27. Hope you had wonderful long Thanksgiving Weekend! 2) See previous blogpost for latest Canesfan Satisfaction Meter results. They drop to a season low. 3) Holiday season? That can only mean one thing: Giving the Dolfans on your list the gift of my book on the club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 4) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Hurricanes fall at Pitt with CSM poll, other state Collball, NFL Week 12 picks & more. 5) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

On Canes' loss: Perspective, please!: Miami losing at Pitt 24-14 Friday was a bad loss terribly timed. No whitewashing that. But 10-1 is 10-1, and a win over Clemson in the ACC title game next week will give UM a fighting chance to still get back up into the College Football Playoff. Click on One Bad Loss Doesn't Spoil All The Good for my latest column.

Our Dolphins-Pats postgame thoughts: Click on Fins Playoff Hopes, R.I.P. for my quick thoughts on Sunday's Miami loss, and to vote in the latest DSM postgame poll online.

DOLFAN SATISFACTION METER: G11: 7.7%: Results are certified in the latest installment of the Dolfan Satisfaction Meter postgame polls, and they show 7.7 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Sunday Dsmafternoon's 35-17 Dolphins loss at the New England Patriots putting Miami's season record at 4-7. The DSM is a continuous weekly gauge of how Dolfans are feeling about the team and its direction. Right after each game I invite you to share your overall degree of satisfaction. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest fans consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, season as a whole, direction the club is heading and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 6:30 a.m. today/Tuesday.
 
 
2017 game-by-game DSM results
G1: 81.9% (following 19-17 victory at L.A. Chargers)
G2: 4.8% (following 20-6 loss at N.Y. Jets)
G3: 3.8% (following 20-0 loss vs. New Orleans in London)
G4: 9.9% (following 16-10 victory vs. Tennessee)
G5: 79.7% (following 20-17 victory at Atlanta)
G6: 86.1% (following 31-28 victory vs. N.Y. Jets)
G7: 6.1% (following 40-0 loss at Baltimore)
G8: 13.1% (following 27-24 loss vs. Oakland)
G9: 3.5% (following 45-21 loss at Carolina)
G10: 3.6% (following 30-20 loss vs. Tampa Bay)
G11: 7.7% (following 35-17 loss at New England)
Next poll: Dec. 3 (following game vs. Denver)

G11: DOLPHINS AT NEW ENGLAND: LAST CHANCE FOR MIAMI TO PROVE PLAYOFF HOPE ISN'T DEAD: Final thoughts: Realistic playoff hopes had been on life-support. Today we pulled the plug. Dolphins, now 4-7, were beaten all over the field by their long-running-and-still nemesis rival the Patriots. Not much was happening on offense as Matt Moore was sacked seven times and produced only one touchdown (one came via defense). And the defense despite that TD was mostly awful, allowing Tom Brady a 114 passer rating and four TDs and giving up some 200 yards rushing. A dispiriting season continues ..... NE 35-17 (4Q): Brady-Cooks 5-yard pass ..... MIA 17-28 (4Q): Moore-Drake 8-yard pass ..... NE 28-10 (3Q): Brady-Gronkowski 15-yard pass ..... Halftime thoughts: Dolphins defense is not playing well at all (282 yards allowed), but two takeaways including a fumble-return TD by Reshad Jones are keeping Miami (sort of) in the game. Offense is doing very little as usual, and a late end-zone interception by Matt Moore was a killer. It says much about the state of the Dolphins that we imagine many Dolfans are convincing themselves it isn't that bad to be trailing by "only" 11 ..... MIA 10-21 (2Q): Parkey 28-yard field goal ..... NE 21-7 (2Q): Brady-Burkhead 1-yard pass ..... MIA 7-14 (2Q): Jones 14-yard fumble recovery ..... NE 14-0 (1Q): Brady-Gronkowski 5-yard pass ..... NE 7-0 (1Q): Burkhead 2-yard run ..... We'll have live, as-they-happen score updates here throughout today's game, as well as halftime and postgame thoughts prior to the DSM poll ..... Original post: This is close to about as big as NFL point spreads get -- Patriots by 16 1/2 -- but it isn’t Alabama hosting Font of Tears Bible College. This is King Sport, where anybody (except the Browns, of course) can beat 

Mianeanybody if everything bounces just right. Not saying will. But can. And more so in division rivalries. So I give 4-6 Miami a small-to-medium upset shot at the 8-2 Pats. Fins certainly need the win more, as playoff hopes are looking for a pulse. Both of New England’s 2017 losses have been in not-impenetrable Foxborough, by the way, and Tom Brady has been intercepted more times by Miami in his career (21) than anybody else. Pats swept Fins last season, but Miami beat NE at least once each of the three previous years. Also, Patriots’ pass defense is average, and their run defense might be the worst in the league. The point? Miami, a team good enough to have won in Atlanta, is capable of shaking off four consecutive losses with its performance of the year Sunday. And that is even with Matt Moore starting at QB as Jay Cutler nurses a concussion. This belief is why I like the Dolphins with the points, if not quite outright. I think Miami will show some spine and compete hard Sunday. But there is too much talent shortfall — especially between Brady and Moore — to think Miami will win outright at this venue for the first since 2008. The temperature Sunday up there is forecast for the low 30s. So is the Patriots’ point total, alas. My pick: Patriots, 31-17. [Click Week 12 Gems for all our latest NFL picks].

HOT BUTTON TOP 10 (UPDATED): WHAT SOUTH FLORIDA SPORTS FANS ARE TALKING ABOUT: Our blog-exclusive every-Sunday feature, updated Mondays, is part week-in-review, part look-ahead. Hot Button means what's on our minds, locally and nationally, but from a Miami perspective, as the sports week just past pivots to the week ahead. This week's HB10:

Hotbutton1. HURRICANES: Stunner! No. 2 Canes suffer first loss, await CFP fate: UM loses Friday at Pitt 24-12 in regular-season finale to fall from unbeaten ranks and now, inevitably, to also fall in next College Football Playoff rankings out Tuesday. Miami now must beat Clemson in ACC championship game this coming Saturday and pray that's enough to climb back into CFP top four.
 
2. DOLPHINS: Fins see playoff hopes (all but) expire in loss at Pats: Miami was NFL week's biggest underdog at New England Sunday as a 4-6 Dolphins team tried to shed a four-game losing streak ... and failed, 35-17. Playoff hopes are now on life support and the priest, Father McGillicutty, has been called into the room. 
 
3. COLLEGE FOOTBALL: CFP Selection Committee has its work cut out: Chaos! The weekend left a mess for the College Football Playoff rankings with L's by both No. 1 Alabama and 2-Miami. Best guess Clemson, Oklahoma and Wisconsin in the coveted top four for sure, with a two-loss Auburn also likely in.
 
4. HEAT: Hot(ish) Miami prepares to visit LeBron, D-Wade: Team is 10-9 and on a 3-game win streak after winning Sunday in Chicago, and this should be interesting: Tuesday at LeBron James and Dwyane Wade, a.k.a. Cleveland.
 
5. UM BASKETBALL: Canes men face first measuring-stick game: Jim Larranaga's guys are 5-0 and ranked No. 11, but season's first litmus test (and first road game) will be Wednesday at No. 14 Minnesota. Is UM top-10-good or just pretty good? Let's begin to find out.
 
6. MARLINS: Jeter continues untethering his regime from past: Derek Jeter got rid of franchise icons like Jeff Conine and Jack McKeon. Now he's gotten rid of popular longtime broadcaster Rich Waltz. The big Fish, Giancarlo Stanton, remains in the boat ... for now.

7. PANTHERS: Cats need to wake up and get on a run: Florida is 8-14 after Saturday's 4-1 home loss to Chicago, and already eight points off playoff pace in the NHL East. First-year coach Bob Boughner better get something going if he wants to become second-year coach Bob Boughner.

8. UCF KNIGHTS: Orlando team stays unbeaten in epic win: Knights are 11-0 after beating rival South Florida Bulls 49-42 to earn spot in American conference title game as QBs Quinton Flowers and McKenzie Milton combined for 876 yards passing. Meanwhile FSU vs. Florida played a stakes-less, anticlimactic bore. What were the odds? 

9. COOPERSTOWN: Baseball hall releases 33-man ballot: Baseball Hall of Fame's 2108 ballot is out, with Chipper Jones and Jim Thome the likeliest of the first-time nominees. The overriding question: Will steroid-era stars Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens, inching up every year in votes, finally get in?

10. SOCCER: Messi signs record extension with Barcelona: Lionel Messi has signed to stay with FC Barcelona at least through the 2020-21 season, when he will be 34. The record-setting deal includes a $59.6 million signing bonus. Put a soccer ball in that crib, Dad.

Missing the HB10 cut: Is Dale Earnhardt Jr. still retired? ..... Derrick Rose saga has new chapter as he leaves Bulls to reevaluate his NBA future? Easy answer: You don't have one ..... Chip Kelly, new UCLA football coach, becomes latest star college coach to fail in the NFL and go running back to the safe haven of Saturdays.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 26, 2017

Canesfan Satisfaction Meter: 54.9% Huge falloff, but positivity remains; plus unbeaten No. 2 UM falls at Pitt 24-14 in regular- season finale, my column on game; also, epic UCF win and other state Collball (updated), NFL Week 12 picks & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 25. Hope y'all had a fantastic and happy Thanksgiving! 2) Holiday season! Give the Dolfan on your list the gift of my book on the club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Happy Thanksgiving wishes with holiday video, NFL Bird Day picks & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

Our Canes-Pitt column: Perspective, please!: Miami losing at Pitt 24-14 Friday was a bad loss, terribly timed. No whitewashing that. But 10-1 is 10-1, and a win over Clemson in the ACC title game next will give UM a fighting chance to get back up into the College Football Playoff. Click on One Bad Loss Doesn't Spoil All The Good for my column.

CsmCANESFAN SATISFACTION METER: G11: 54.9%: Results are certified in the latest edition of the Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame polls, and they show 54.9 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Saturday's 24-14 loss by No. 2-ranked Miami at the Pitt Panthers putting UM's final regular-season record at 10-1 overall and 7-1 in the ACC. That is a drop to a season low. The CSM polls are your invitation after every Canes game to share your overall degree of satisfaction with the team. Criteria for voting is your own, but we suggest you consider the latest performance and caliber of opponent, the season as a whole, the direction of the program and your overall sense of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Poll results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 9:30 a.m. today/Sunday. 

 2017 CSM results

G1: 69.5% following 41-13 victory vs. Bethune-Cookman
G2: 83.9% following 52-30 victory vs. Toledo 
G3: 96.5% following 31-6 victory at Duke
G4: 97.6% following 24-20 victory at Florida State
G5: 96.0% following 25-24 victory vs. Georgia Tech
G6: 93.0% following 27-19 victory vs. Syracuse
G7: 64.3% following 24-19 victory at North Carolina
G8: 98.0% following 28-10 victory vs. Virginia Tech
G9: 98.6% following 41-8 victory vs. Notre Dame
G10: 95.4% following 44-28 victory vs. Virginia
G11: 54.9% following 24-14 loss at Pitt
Next poll: Dec. 2 following ACC Championship Game vs. Clemson
 
G11: PITT 24, HURRICANES 14: UM'S PERFECT SEASON ENDS IN REGULAR-SEASON FINALE: Click One Bad Loss Doesn't Spoil All The Good for my column on the game ..... MIA 14-24 (4Q/Final): Rosier-Berrios 39-yard pass .....  PIT 24-7 (4Q): Pickett 24-yard run ..... PIT 17-7 (3Q): Pickett-Ollison 5-yard pass ..... Halftime thoughts: Canes have run only 27 offensive plays to Pitt's 38, and have produced zero points off of two Turnover Chain gets. Miami also has been unable to mount a running game thus far. Too soon to worry, though, let alone panic. The Canes are unbeaten because of resilience, and will show it again today in the second half ..... PIT 10-7 (2Q): Pickett 6-yard run ..... MIA 7-3 (2Q): Rosier-Richards 23-yard pass ..... PIT 3-0 (1Q): Kessman 46-yard FG ..... We'll have live, as-they-happen score updates here throughout the game today, as well as halftime and postgame thoughts. Original post: Yes, No. 3 Clemson is on deck for No. 2 Miami in the ACC 

Miapit Miapittitle game in Charlotte -- what looks as of now like a play-in game for the College Football Playoff. We all know it. But the Canes had better not know it -- at least not show it today at Pitt for a noon start in the regular-season finale. The 10-0 Canes look to complete their first unbeaten regular season since 2002 but they need to get undistracted past a 4-7 Pitt team on its Senior Day, with a make-our-season chance to ruin UM's dreams. This is no gimmie. Miami is a modest 12-point favorite, down from an opening 14. The Canes have a nation-leading 15-game win streak dating to last season, but everything crumbles with a loss today. The U theoretically could lose here, beat Clemson for the ACC crown and climb back into the CFP top four, but that's very iffy. Temps in the 40s today should not make a weather a big factor. A solid game from Malik Rosier and more dominance on defense will carry the day. The Turnover Chain has changed hands 19 times in the past five games. If UM keeps it moving today, they win. My pick: Hurricanes, 34-20.

All state FBS Week 13 games (chronologically):

Pitt 24, No. 2 Miami 14: Column, game blog, preview and postgame poll directly above.

No. 15 UCF 49, South Florida 42: UCF stays unbeaten at 11-0 with 49-42 home win over a SoFla team that was 9-1 coming in. The "War on I-4" lived up to and exceeded its billing. Knights advance to the AAC title game and a chance at a major bowl game. If these were two bigger, more established programs people would be calling this one of the greatest games in college football history. Im serious, too.

FIU 41, Western Kentucky 17: WKU was 2.5-point road pick but (as I predicted) Butch Davis' guys bounced back with a nice home win to make it a 7-4 record. 

Florida State 38, Florida 22: Seminoles now 5-6 and Gators 4-7 after a rivalry-renewal that usually has two good teams and big stakes but this year offered hardly anything but the ebbing of two disappointing seasons.

FAU 31, Charlotte 12: Hootin' Owls breezed at home to rise to 9-3 entering next week's C-USA title game. A hugely successful regular season for first-year coach Lane Kiffin.

National Collball Week 13 overview: Four national Top 25 matchups led by the one that has shaken up the College Football Playoff outlook: No. 6 Auburn beating No. 1 Alabama 26-14. The others: No. 3 Clemson beat No. 24 South Carolina 34-10; 21-Stanford upset 8-Notre Dame 38-20; and 18-Washington defeated 13-Washington State 41-14.

FripixUPSET BIRD DAY IN AMERICA! NFL WEEK 12 PICKS: GIVING DOLPHINS A SHOT (OK, HALF A SHOT) AT NEW ENGLAND: I see the Dolphins beating the spread, if not quite the Patriots, on Sunday in New England. Click on Week 12 Gems for my full Dolphins-Patriots predix capsule, my Game of the Week (Saints-Rams), Upset of the Week (Titans-Colts: "Aawwk!") and all the rest. Our week got off to a humbling start yesterday with our Thanksgiving Day picks. We went 1-2 both straight-up and against the spread. Really liked the Lions at home, and the Cowboys let me down big-time. Better luck Sunday, I hope (and Monday).

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 23, 2017

Happy Thanksgiving, all! Our thanks to you and annual video (with me, Jeter, Richt, Shula and Snortin' Chris Foerster); plus Turkey Day NFL picks & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 23. Happy Thanksgiving, all! 2) Holiday season! Give the Dolfan on your list the gift of my book on the club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Herald NFL rankings, SOPY standings, Pix 'n Fantasy results & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

Our 3 latest columns: On Dolphins, NASCAR, Canes: Click Adam Gase Must Find A Way, on Dolphins' woes. Truex Jr. Takes Trophy, But Dale Jr. Wins The Day, from NASCAR finale at Homestead. And Heart and Fight Keep Canes' Perfect Dream Alive, from UM comeback win over Virginia.

Tg17HAPPY THANKSGIVING, ALL! MY GRATITUDE IN 30 SECONDS: My first byline in the Miami Herald appeared in late 1972. It is now 2017, and I am still going in a career I love. That is thanks to my three professional families: Miami Herald Sports, the Dan Lebatard Show on ESPN Radio, and mostly ... you. You all. I mean the people who are reading us (on the old-school page or by clicking online), following on social media, listening on the radio and caring about what I do. To all of you: Happy Thanksgiving, and thank you!

Tg17vidClick on Thanksgiving 2017 for our holiday video, starring myself, Marlins boss Derek Jeter, Dolphins legend Don Shula, Canes coach Mark Richt and the deposed Dolphins assistant coach, Snortin' Chris Foerster.

 

FripixNFL THANKSGIVING DAY GAMES: HOME COOKING, BABY!: This is the 12th straight season of NFL holiday triple-headers, and I like one upset (Lions win) and one maybe-upset (Cowboys win) among the troika. In other words, all three home teams win. Click On Thursday Gems for all of our Bird Day predix capsules.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 22, 2017

Brady grows leads, Cutler tumbles in new Herald NFL QB rankings; plus State Offensive Player of Year will be crowned Friday among a Bull, Knight and Hurricane; also, my new Dolphins column, Pix 'n Fantasy results & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 22. Holiday season! Give the Dolfan on your list the gift of my book on the club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins lose to Tampa Bay with DSM poll, NASCAR/Homestead finale, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

Our 3 newest columns: On Dolphins, NASCAR, Canes: Click Adam Gase Must Find A Way for my latest column, on Dolphins' woes. Click Truex Jr. Takes Trophy, But Dale Jr. Wins The Day, from Sunday's NASCAR finale at Homestead. And click Heart and Fight Keep Canes' Perfect Dream Alive, from Saturday's UM comeback win.

BRADY GROWS LEAD, NEW NO. 2, CUTLER FALLS / HERALD QB RANKINGS / WEEK 11: [Click HERE to see these latest rankings online] for the online Patriot DrewbreesTom Brady wins Week 11 with a big 53.95-point game to extend his season lead in the Miami Herald’s NFL quarterback rankings, while Saint Drew Brees (pictured) supplants Chief Alex Smith for the runnerup spot as Brady's closest challenger. Meanwhile the Dolphins' Jay Cutler tumbles three spots, to 24th. This is the 20th season of our Passer Success System (PASS) rankings, which began in 1998. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. Now that bye weeks have finished, the field is level with everyone's team having played the same number of games.

HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / Top 20 plus Dolphins

RK LW Player, Team                Wk11   Season

1   1    Tom Brady, NE               53.95   399.30

2   3    Drew Brees, NO             44.25   357.15

3   2    Alex Smith, KC              19.50   337.70

4   5    Kirk Cousins, WAS          37.10   310.80

5   4    Russell Wilson, SEA        25.90   307.05

6   8    Matthew Stafford, DET   36.95   304.00

7   9    Matt Ryan, ATL              31.75   289.35

8   7    Carson Wentz, PHI         20.40   288.50

9 10    Jared Goff, LAR             20.25   274.75

10 14  Ben Roethlisberger, PIT  46.95   270.85

11 6   Josh McCown, NYJ          BYE     270.10

12 15 Case Keenum, MIN          38.00   258.70

13 13 Eli Manning, NYG            18.25   248.90

14 17 Philip Rivers, LAC           31.55   248.70

15 11 Dak Prescott, DAL            3.25   240.95

16 16 Derek Carr, OAK             18.85   236.55

17 12 Cam Newton, CAR          BYE     233.60

18 20 Andy Dalton, CIN           26.70   221.90

19 18 Tyrod Taylor, BUF          15.90   218.10

20 22 Blake Bortles, JAC         19.70   207.20

24 21 Jay Cutler, MIA              -1.85   188.10

38 40 Matt Moore, MIA            23.10    52.30

Bubble: Joe Flacco, BAL, 202.70. Week 11 Best: Brady, NE, 53.95 (30-37, 339, 3-0 in win). Week 11 Worst: Nathan Peterman, BUF, minus-13.70 (6-14, 66, 0-5 in loss).

 

Fripix LobosNFL PIX 'N FANTASY: WEEK 11 RESULTS: Every week in the blog I tell you know how I did the previous NFL weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my Greg's Lobos team in the LeBatard Show fantasy league. WEEK 11: Herald picks: The misery continues in a tough year. Went a bad 8-6 straight-up and a worse 5-8-1 (Lions pushed) against the spread. Rare highlight: Had Giants with the points over Chiefs. Greg's Lobos: Victory! Lobos breezed past Allyson 109.9 to 93.4, improving to 7-4, tied for third in a 14-team league. Drew Brees (21.6) led five 'Bos who scored in double figures. #GoLobosGo

SOPY RANKINGS / WEEK 12: OK, THIS IS FOR ALL THE MARBLES THE SEASON TITLE!: It will determine which state rival makes the American Athletic SopyConference championship game when the 9-1 South Florida Bulls visit the 10-0 UCF Knights at 3:30 p.m. Friday in the regular-season Quintonfinale for both. It also will very likely determine which of the teams' quarterbacks wins the Herald's 2017 State Offensive Player of the Year award. The Bulls' dual-threat Quinton Flowers (pictured) — Miami-born and from Jackson High — leads the Knights' McKenzie Milton by a 207.45 to 202.30 points-per-game average, comfortably ahead of third-place Malik Rosier of the unbeaten, No. 3 Hurricanes (186.75), who also plays Friday this week, at Pitt and still has an outside shot. Our weekly rankings measure the most productive quarterbacks, running backs and receivers from the state's seven FBS teams: Miami, Florida, Florida State, FIU, FAU, UCF and South Florida. The rankings are cumulative but based weekly on average points per game: Total points divided by number of games a player's team has played. This keeps the comparison even because not all teams have played the same number of games at the same time. Our simple formula awards a half-point for every passing yard and one point for every rushing or receiving yard, with six points for every TD scored or thrown.

SOPY Top 10 entering Week 13

RK LW  Player, School-Pos.               Average    Total points (Games)

1    1   Quinton Flowers-SoFla qb       207.45      2,074.5 (10)

2    2   McKenzie Milton-UCF qb         202.30      2,023 (10)

3    3   Malik Rosier-Miami qb            186.75       1,867.5 (10)

4    4   Devin Singletary-FAU rb          169.09      1,860 (11)

5    5   Alex McGough-FIU qb             131.75       1,317.5 (10)

6    6   Travis Homer-Miami rb           111.90       1,119 (10)

7    7   Cam Akers-FSU rb                  102.05       1,020.5 (10)

8   --   Jason Driskel-FAU qb              100.14       1,101.5 (11)

9    8   Thomas Owens-FIU rec            94.55          945.5 (10)

10 10   Tre'Quan Smith-UCF rec           94.50          945 (10)

Bubble: Darius Tice-SoFla rb, 93.30. Other team leader: Feleipe Franks-Florida qb, 69.10. Week 12 best: Flowers-SoFla qb, 202 points. Season best: Flowers-SoFla qb, 341.5 points (W10).

Cote's State of the State rankings: 1. Miami (10-0); 2. UCF (10-0); 3. South Florida (9-1); 4. Florida State (4-6); 5. FAU (8-3); 6. Florida (4-6); 7. FIU (6-4).

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 21, 2017

Dolfan Satisfaction Meter: 3.6%. Approval rating stays in gutter; plus Miami falls late to Bucs, 30-20, for 4th straight loss; also, Truex wins NASCAR at Homestead and my Dale Jr. column, my Canes football column, latest Hot Button Top 10 & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is MONDAY, NOVEMBER 20. Holiday season! Give the Dolfan on your list the gift of my book on the club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Hurricanes beat Virginia for 10-0 with CSM poll, FIU handles FIU, other state Collball & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

New Dolphins column: Click Gase Must Find A Way for the latest from me on the Dolphins' woes. 

On Hurricanes' 44-28 Saturday win: Click on Heart and Fight Keep Canes' Perfect Dream Alive for my column from stadium on Saturday's comeback win by No. 3 and now 10-0 UM.

DOLFAN SATISFACTION METER: G10: 3.6%: Results are certified in the latest installment of the Dolfan Satisfaction Meter postgame polls, and they show 3.6 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Sunday afternoon's 30-20 Dolphins home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers putting Miami's season record at 4-6. The DSM is a continuous weekly gauge of how Dolfans are feeling about the team and its direction. Right after each game I invite you to share your overall degree of satisfaction. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest fans consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, season as a whole, direction the club is heading and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 6:45 a.m. today/Tuesday.

 
2017 game-by-game DSM results
G1: 81.9% (following 19-17 victory at L.A. Chargers)
G2: 4.8% (following 20-6 loss at N.Y. Jets)
G3: 3.8% (following 20-0 loss vs. New Orleans in London)
G4: 9.9% (following 16-10 victory vs. Tennessee)
G5: 79.7% (following 20-17 victory at Atlanta)
G6: 86.1% (following 31-28 victory vs. N.Y. Jets)
G7: 6.1% (following 40-0 loss at Baltimore)
G8: 13.1% (following 27-24 loss vs. Oakland)
G9: 3.5% (following 45-21 loss at Carolina)
G10: 3.6% (following 30-20 loss vs. Tampa Bay)
Next poll: Nov. 26 (following game at New England)

G10: TAMPA BAY AT DOLPHINS: MIAMI LOSES 4TH STRAIGHT, FALLS TO 4-6: Miami trailed 20-7 early, fought back to tie it 20-20 but lost on a 35-yard Bucs FG in the closing seconds followed by a fumble-TD on the final play. Fins had rallied behind Matt Moore after Jay Cutler (with three first-half INTs) left with a concussion. Original post: This is the season opener Hurricane Irma blew away and postponed 'til now -- what should have been a bye week for both teams. Instead the delayed meeting finds Fins and Bucs each slogging through disappointing seasons. Tampa just Tbmiaextricated from a five-game losing streak and now is without injured QB Jameis Winston. Miami was sailing along at 4-2 despite bad offense, but then came that 0-3 skid by a combined 112-45 score in consecutive prime-time pratfalls. Dolphins are only one game off playoff pace in the weak AFC but it feels worse, leading coach Adam Gase this week to say of his team: "It's not a total disaster everywhere." How's that for a positive spin! Such a rallying cry! It's hard to decide which team is worse right now, so this is a rare pick-'em game -- at least it was when I picked it -- though Miami opened a 2 1/2-point favorite and on Sunday morning I found both TB and MIA favored by 1 point in various lines. Not sure I get why Fins are not a three-point pick because team seem even. Jay Cutler vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick may be a push, but I anticipate a big bounceback performance at home by Miami's defense, which was embarrassed in that 40-0 loss at Baltimore and maybe even moreso in the 45-21 shellacking in Carolina Monday night. Against a Bucs squad that is 0-4 on the road, look for the Dolphins to shake their lapse into awfulness and get back to being average. Both teams share desperation,with LB Rey Maualuga's recent arrest and fast firing only adding to Gase's trying season. As the city swoons over the unbeaten Hurricanes, the Dolphins sincerely need a W to get folks caring again. My pick: Dolphins, 21-20. (Click Week 11 Gems for all our latest picks).

Nascar HomesteadNASCAR CROWNS TRUEX CHAMP, JUNIOR BIDS FAREWELL AT HOMESTEAD: My Dale Jr. column from the track. Click Truex Jr. Takes Trophy, But Dale Jr. Wins The Day. The four drivers running for the NASCAR season championship today -- Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Brad Keselowski and Martin Truex -- do not, for me, include any transcendent star of particular interest. But the fact this is Dale Earnhardt Jr.'s final race before retiring adds a compelling layer to the day. I'll be down there columnizing. Gentleman, start your laptop!

HOT BUTTON TOP 10 (NOVEMBER 19): WHAT SOUTH FLORIDA SPORTS FANS ARE TALKING ABOUT: Our blog-exclusive every-Sunday feature is part week-in-review, part look-ahead. Hot Button means what's on our minds, locally and nationally, but from a Miami perspective, as the sports week just past pivots to the week ahead. This week's HB10:

Hotbutton1. HURRICANES: No. 3 Canes rally to beat Virginia in home finale: ACC title game, first 10-win season since 2003 and angling for College Football Playoff all say Miami is back. Saturday's third straight huge home crowd for the 44-28 win says Canes fans are back, too.

2. NASCAR: Truex wins title, Junior wins hearts at Homestead: Martin Truex beat fellow finalists Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick and Brad Keselowski for the season championship at Homestead-Miami Speedway, but Dale Earnhardt Jr. won hearts and the day in his final race before retiring.

3. MARLINS: Trade-rumored Stanton wins NL MVP: Giancarlo Stanton joins Dan Marino (1984) and LeBron James (2012, '13) as only Miami athletes to win their sport's top individual award. Just one more reason we'll miss him when (if) he's gone.

4. DOLPHINS: Fins fall to Tampa, lose fourth straight: Miami has now been outscored 142-65 in a four-game skid including Sunday's 30-20 loss to visiting Tampa Bay. At 4-6 and with the schedule now really toughening, wave bye-bye to realistic playoff hopes.

5. HEAT: Wanted: Signs Miami is above average: Heat is 7-9 with Sunday's loss to Indiana, after last season's .500 finish. When will Miami leave Mediocreville and be relevant again? Wednesday visit by really-good Boston will tell us how good Heat is ... or isn't.

6. SOCCER: Two huge omissions as World Cup field set: The 32-nation field for the 2018 men's soccer World Cup in Russia is now set, with the draw scheduled for Dec. 1. Italy and the United States were the two most notable teams to fail to qualify. You'd think Putin could have snuck the U.S. in as a favor to Trump, no? 

7. SHULA BOWL: FAU handles FIU in rivalry renewal: The 16th annual Shula Bowl found host FAU clobbering FIU 52-24, Lane Kiffin besting Butch Davis in a duel of two veteran coaches who have turned around those programs in their first seasons at the schools.

8. UM BASKETBALL: Canes men rise in polls: Jim Larranaga's guys have started 3-0 and risen two spots to No. 11 in the polls entering Wednesday's game vs. LaSalle. Season's first big test: Nov. 29 at No. 14 Minnesota.

9. PANTHERS: Hey don't forget about us, say Cats: Florida fell to 7-13 with Sunday's loss in Anaheim. Inconsistent Cats need to make a run (a skate?) to earn attention of more than diehards in South Florida.

10. TENNIS: Serena gets married: Tennis star Serena Williams married Alexis Ohanian in a fairy-tale, Beauty and the Beast-themed wedding in New Orleans. They'd recently had a baby girl together. The baby is the early betting favorite to win Wimbledon in 2038.

Missing the HB10 cut: The Jerry Jones-Roger Goodell feud is getting nasty. On the bright side, it's a diversion from counting players who took a knee during the anthem ..... Bucs QB Jameis Winston is accused of grabbing the crotch of a female Uber driver. And, yes, that is worse than stealing crab claws ..... Dear Media Colleagues: A special request? Quit interviewing, quoting and broadcasting LaVar Ball. Thank you. Carry on.
 

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 20, 2017

Canesfan Satisfaction Meter: 95.4%. Still buoyant at 10-0 despite scare; plus No. 3 UM rallies, mints first 10-win season since 2003!; also, my new Canes column from stadium, FAU spanks FIU, other state Collball (updated) & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18. Holiday season! Give the Dolfan on your list the gift of my book on the club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Ferdie Pacheco R.I.P., Stanton wins NL MVP, NFL Week 11 picks & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

NEW! Game column from Canes' 44-28 Saturday win: Click on Heart and Fight Keep Canes' Perfect Dream Alive for my column from the stadium on today's UM comeback win.

Canes QB Malik Rosier: A family crisis and a father's love: In my previous column I write about all that quarterback Malik Rosier is dealing with off the field as he leads the unbeaten Hurricanes on it. Click on A QB, a Crisis & a Father's Love to read.

CANESFAN SATISFACTION METER: G10: 95.4%: Results are certified in the latest edition of the Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame polls, and they show 95.4 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Saturday Csmafternoon's 44-28 home victory by unbeaten No. 3-ranked Miami over the visiting Virginia Cavaliers putting UM's season record at 10-0 overall and 7-0 in the ACC. The CSM polls are your invitation after every Canes game to share your overall degree of satisfaction with the team. Criteria for voting is your own, but we suggest you consider the latest performance and caliber of opponent, the season as a whole, the direction of the program and your overall sense of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Poll results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 9 a.m. today/Monday.

 

You may also vote in poll online by clicking HERE.

2017 CSM results

G1: 69.5% following 41-13 victory vs. Bethune-Cookman

G2: 83.9% following 52-30 victory vs. Toledo 

G3: 96.5% following 31-6 victory at Duke

G4: 97.6% following 24-20 victory at Florida State

G5: 96.0% following 25-24 victory vs. Georgia Tech

G6: 93.0% following 27-19 victory vs. Syracuse

G7: 64.3% following 24-19 victory at North Carolina

G8: 98.0% following 28-10 victory vs. Virginia Tech

G9: 98.6% following 41-8 victory vs. Notre Dame

G10: 95.4% following 44-28 victory vs. Virginia

Next poll: Nov. 24 following game at Pitt. 

VaumG10: VIRGINIA @ NO. 3 HURRICANES: UNBEATEN MIAMI RALLIES, TAKES CARE OF BUSINESS ON SENIOR DAY IN HOME FINALE: MIAMI WINS 44-28, STAYS UNBEATEN FOR FIRST 10-WIN SEASON SINCE 2003. Click on Heart and Fight Keep Canes' Perfect Dream Alive for my column from the stadium ..... MIAMI 44-28 (4Q): Homer 19-yard run .....  MIAMI 37-28 (4Q): Rosier 8-yard run ..... MIAMI 31-28 (3Q): Badgley 44-yard field goal ..... MIAMI 28-28 (3Q): Johnson 30-yard interception return ..... MIAMI 21-28 (3Q): Rosier-Cager 9-yard pass ..... UVA 28-14 (3Q): Benkert-Hamm 26-yard pass ..... UVA 21-14 (2Q): Benkert-Levrone 33-yard pass ..... MIAMI 14-14 (2Q): Rosier-Harris 36-yard pass ..... MIAMI 7-14 (1Q): Rosier-Richards 10-yard pass .....  UVA 14-0 (1Q): Benkert-Reed 75-yard pass ..... UVA 7-0 (1Q): Benkert-Zaccheaus 33-yard pass ..... Original post: The intensity and  atmosphere will be dialed back a bit for Saturday's noon matinee vs. mediocre-but-decent 6-4 Virginia, after consecutive wins over ranked Virginia Tech and Notre Dame had TochainThe Rock filled and rocking. Or will it? The home-finale emotion of Senior Day, another expected huge crowd and UM 9-0 and gunning for its first 10-win season since 2003 should keep that intensity ratcheted up. Canes also know an upset loss would send them tumbling from their coveted No. 3 spot in the College Football Playoff ranking. The intensity surely will be there for QB Malik Rosier as well, with his father here and watching one game after missing the Notre Dame after suffering a stroke. (See my column on that, linked above). Miami cannot let down against a bowl-eligible ACC opponent with a decent offense led by QB Kurt Benkert. Miami is favored by 19 points. Of course there's always that magical Turnover Chain if things get a little quiet. UM has 24 takeaways, tied for fourth-most in the country, including eight in the past two huge wins. My sense of Saturday? The Cavaliers defense won't be up to the challenge of stopping Rosier, Travis Homer and Braxton Berrios et al, and a huge crowd thanking the Canes for this season will keep the team revved up. My pick: Hurricanes, 31-16.

Other state FBS Week 12 games (chronologically, all Saturday unless noted):

South Florida 27, Tulsa 20: Bulls now 9-1 after less-than-impressive Thursday home win, with rival UCF on deck and amid rumors Charlie Strong may be candidate for Florida Gators opening.

No. 3 Miami 44, Virginia 28: See preview above.

No. 15 UCF 45, Temple 19: Never-a-doubt road win puts Knights at 10-0 with rival South Florida on deck in play-in game for spot in American conference title game.

Florida State 77, Delaware State 6: Seminoles now 4-6. This is called "taking out your frustrations."

Florida 33, Alabama-Birmingham 7: Gators now 4-6 after beating lesser team. Whooooo!

FaufiuFAU 52, FIU 24: C-USA regional rivals met in 16th annual Shula Bowl, and who'd have believed they'd do so as a combined 13-6? That's a testament to two veteran, smart-hire first-year coaches in Panthers' Butch Davis and Owls' Lane Kiffin. FAU was a huge 14 1/2-point home fave due to an explosive offense, and verified that. Owls, 8-3, now on a seven-game winning streak in which they've averaged 49 points, and clinched spot in conference championship game with the win. FAU now leads Shula Bowl series 11-5. 

National Collball Week 12 overview: After a plethora of CFP Top 25 matchups the past two weeks there is only one Saturday: No. 5 Wisconsin handled 24-Michigan 24-10. Looks like no Top 10 will lose this week.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 17, 2017

My new column on Canes QB Malik Rosier and his father; plus Ferdie Pacheco R.I.P., Stanton's MVP win (and a guess where he'll end up), NFL Week 11 picks & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 17. Know any diehard Dolfans? Just in time for the holidays, surprise them with our book on club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Herald NFL QB rankings, Pix 'n Fantasy results, latest SOPY standings, new Back In My Day video & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

Malik Rosier: A family crisis and a father's love: In my new column I write about all that quarterback Malik Rosier is dealing with off the field as he leads the unbeaten Canes on it. Click on A QB, a Crisis & a Father's Love to read.

FerdieFERDIE PACHECO, THE FIGHT DOCTOR, 1927-2017: Ferdie Pacheco, "The Fight Doctor," passed away in his sleep Thursday at 89 in his Miami home. He would have turned 90 in three weeks. I knew Ferdie well and admired him much. He was a Renaissance man of many passions, including medicine, writing, painting and kindness. He was a boxing legend for his work as ring doctor with Cassius Clay-turned-Muhammad Ali in the 5th Street Gym heydays, and as a boxing analyst. Ferdie and I stood with each other and watched the day a wrecking ball turned that famed, gloriously dilapidated gym to rubble. What a fascinating life well led. R.I.P., good sir.

StantonSTANTON MVP MUCH DESERVED: Congrats to the Marlins' (for now) Giancarlo Stanton for last night being named NL MVP for his 59-homer season. He joins only Dan Marino (1984) and LeBron James (2012 and '13) as Miami-team athletes to have won their league's highest individual honor. I wonder if this will merit a personal congratulatory call from new Fish CEO Derek Jeter, or if Jeter will delegate a minion to pass along his good wishes? It seems a given Stanton and his enormous contract will be traded in the next few weeks. I hope it is not. Stanton genuinely loves living in Miami; just bought a new penthouse here. Hopefully the new ownership resolve to build around Stanton and grow their farm system other ways, such as other deals and smart drafting.

Speculation on Stanton's landing spot: CBS Sports here lists all 30 teams from most to least likely to end up with Stanton. Marlins keeping him ranks a fairly encouraging No. 6, after the leading Red Sox, Cardinals Dodgers, Yankees and Giants.  

FripixUPSET BIRD DAY IN AMERICA! NFL WEEK 11 PICKS: DOLPHINS SHED AWFUL, GET BACK TO AVERAGE, BEAT BUCS: Miami's defense has been terrible in three straight losses but I see a big bounceback at home Sunday. Click on Week 11 Gems for my picks on Dolphins-Buccaneers, Game of the Week (Eagles-Cowboys), Upset of the Week (Rams-Vikings: "Aawwk!") and all the rest. Our week got off to a perfect start last night. We said Steelers would cover a 7-point line over Titans, and Pittsburgh won, 40-17.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 16, 2017

Dolphins' Cutler makes big leap in latest Herald NFL QB rankings; plus Canes No. 3 in CFP, Pix 'n Fantasy results, updated SOPY standings, new 'Back In My Day' video & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 16. Dolphins approval rating sinks to new season low in latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter. See previous blogpost for details. 2) Know any people who are (still) serious Dolfans? Surprise and delight them with our book on club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins collapse in Carolina with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

Tonight's Steelers-Titans pick: Two division leaders on four-game win streaks. Wow. A Thursday night football game worth watching! Click Thursday Gem for our predix capsule.

No. 3 in CFP a great spot for Hurricanes: Miami being raked behind Clemson is a huge benefit to the Canes. Click CFP Does Canes A Favor to read my latest column. And click The Mark 'n Manny Show for my previous column on Canes.

BRADY RETAKES LEAD, CUTLER MOVES UP / HERALD QB RANKINGS / WEEK 10: Patriot Tom Brady takes advantage of Alex Smith's Chiefs bye week to regain Jcthe season lead after Week 10 of the Miami Herald’s NFL quarterback rankings. The Rams' Jared Goff wins the week with a 44.75-point game, edging Brady. Meanwhile Miami's Jay Cutler (pictured) moves up five big spots to No. 21 overall, putting him in position to crack the Top 20 chart this week. This is the 20th season of our Passer Success System (PASS) rankings, which began in 1998. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. Because the rankings are cumulative, players on a bye week (such as Smith in Week 10) take a temporary hit that evens out over the course of a season.

HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / Top 20 plus Dolphins

RK LW Player, Team               Wk10   Season

1     2  Tom Brady, NE              43.30   345.35

2     1  Alex Smith, KC              BYE     318.20

3     3  Drew Brees, NO            25.20   312.90

4     7  Russell Wilson, SEA       34.90   281.15

5     5  Kirk Cousins, WAS         23.35   273.70

6     6  Josh McCown, NYJ        20.10   270.10

7     4  Carson Wentz, PHI        BYE     268.10

8     8  Matthew Stafford, DET 31.45   267.05

9     9  Matt Ryan, ATL             33.75   257.60

10  12 Jared Goff, LAR            44.75   254.50

11  10 Dak Prescott, DAL         18.80   237.70

12  16 Cam Newton, CAR         36.70   233.60

13  17 Eli Manning, NYG           38.65  230.65

14  15 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT  26.80  223.90

15  19t Case Keenum, MIN        39.20  220.70

16  11 Derek Carr, OAK             BYE    217.70

17  14 Philip Rivers, LAC          19.75  217.15

18  13 Tyrod Taylor, BUF           -0.20  202.20

19  19t Jacoby Brissett, IND     18.10  199.60

20  25 Andy Dalton, CIN           24.25  195.20

21  26 Jay Cutler, MIA              20.65  189.95

40  39 Matt Moore, MIA            DNP     29.20

Bubble: Cutler, MIA, 189.95. Week 10 Best: Goff, LAR, 44.75 (25-37, 355, 3-0 in win). Week 10 Worst: Taylor, BUF, minus-0.20 (9-18, 56, 0-1 in loss).

FripixNFL PIX 'N FANTASY: WEEK 10 RESULTS: Every week in the blog I tell you know how I did the previous NFL weekend with my Miami herald predictions and with my Greg's Lobos team in the LeBatard Show fantasy league. WEEK 10Herald picks: Mixed results again. Went a very solid 11-3 straight-up but a terrible 5-9 against despite an Upset of the Week bull's-eye ("Aawwk!") on Bucs over Jets. Also had Packers-with-points over Bears. Got a bit unlucky in missing two games by a half-point each. Greg's Lobos: Loss. Lobos fell to 6-4 (still tied for third in a 14-team league) with a tough 102.1-99.5 loss to Domonique Foxworth. Had nobody better than Todd Gurley's 19.6 points. Still had a shot with two in play Monday night, but Jarvis Landry and Graham Gano fell just short for me. #GurleyMen #GoLobosGo

SOPY RANKINGS / WEEK 11: CANES' HOMER CLIMBS CHART: Miami Hurricanes quarterback Malik Rosier maintains third place but loses ground to the leaders Sopywhile UM running back Travis Homer rises two spots to No. 6 in the race for the Herald's 2017 State Offensive Player of the Year award. QBs Quinton Flowers of South Florida and McKenzie Milton of UCF are in a virtual dead heat for the No. 1 spot. Our weekly rankings measure the most productive quarterbacks, running backs and receivers from the state's seven FBS teams: Miami, Florida, Florida State, FIU, FAU, UCF and South Florida. The rankings are cumulative but based weekly on average points per game: Total points divided by number of games a player's team has played. This keeps the comparison even because not all teams have played the same number of games at the same time. Our simple formula awards a half-point for every passing yard and one point for every rushing or receiving yard, with six points for every TD scored or thrown.

SOPY Top 10 entering Week 12:

RK LW Player, School-Pos.                          Average  Total points (Games)

1    1  Quinton Flowers-SoFla qb                 208.06    1,872.5 / 9

2    2  McKenzie Milton-UCF qb                   207.33    1,866 / 9

3    3  Malik Rosier-Miami qb                       188.94    1,700.5 / 9

4    4  Devin Singletary-FAU rb                    167.10     1,671 / 10

5    5  Alex McGough-FIU qb                        136.83    1,231.5 / 9

6    8  Travis Homer-Miami rb                      113.00    1,017 / 9

7    6  Cam Akers-FSU rb                             107.83       970.5 / 9

8    7  Thomas Owens-FIU rec                      105.06      945.5 / 9

9    9  Marquez Valdes-Scantling-SoFla rec     96.11      865 / 9

10  -- Tre'Quan Smith-UCF rec                       94.44      850 / 9

Bubble: Darius Tice-SoFla rb, 94.11. Other team leader: Feleipe Franks-Florida qb, 68.33. Week 11 best: Milton-UCF qb, 225.5 points. Season best: Flowers-SoFla qb, 341.5 points (W10).

Cote's State of the State rankings: 1. Miami (9-0); 2. UCF (9-0); 3. South Florida (8-1); 4. Florida State (3-6); 5. FAU (7-3); 6. Florida (3-6); 7. FIU (6-3).

LATEST 'BACK IN MY DAY': UNNECESSARY AUTOMATION!: On self-parking cars, automatic doors and moving walkways. Not my best BIMD, but they can't all be, right?

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 15, 2017

Dolfan Satisfaction Meter: 3.5%. Season-low approval rating for Fins; plus Miami clobbered in Carolina 45-21 in defensive collapse; also, Canes column, latest Hot Button Top 10 (updated) & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 14. Know any people who are serious Dolfans? Surprise and delight them with our book on club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Hurricanes crush Notre Dame 41-8 with CSM postgame poll, other state Collball & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

New Hurricanes column: As 9-0 Canes await arrival tonight into the College Football Playoff ranking's top four, we write about the real reason for this season. Click The Mark 'n Manny Show. Also, click Championship In View For Soaring Canes for column from Saturday night huge win over Notre Dame. And, no surprise: Approval rating in the latest Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll hit 98.6 percent, another season high. See previous blogpost for details.

DsmDOLFAN SATISFACTION METER: G9: 3.5%: Results are certified in the latest installment of the Dolfan Satisfaction Meter postgame polls, and they show 3.5 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Monday night’s 45-21 Dolphins loss at the Carolina Panthers putting Miami's season record at 4-5. That is a new season low. The DSM is a continuous weekly gauge of how Dolfans are feeling about the team and its direction. Right after each game I invite you to share your overall degree of satisfaction. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest fans consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, season as a whole, direction the club is heading and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 8:45 a.m. today/Wednesday.

 

2017 game-by-game DSM results

G1: 81.9% (following 19-17 victory at L.A. Chargers)

G2: 4.8% (following 20-6 loss at N.Y. Jets)

G3: 3.8% (following 20-0 loss vs. New Orleans in London)

G4: 9.9% (following 16-10 victory vs. Tennessee)

G5: 79.7% (following 20-17 victory at Atlanta)

G6: 86.1% (following 31-28 victory vs. N.Y. Jets)

G7: 6.1% (following 40-0 loss at Baltimore)

G8: 13.1% (following 27-24 loss vs. Oakland)

G9: 3.5% (following 45-21 loss at Carolina)

Next poll: Nov. 19 (following game vs. Tampa Bay)

G9: CAROLINA 45, DOLPHINS 21: OK YOU SAW WHAT THE CANES JUST DID, FINS. WHAT YOU GOT? NUTHIN'!:  Our five takeaways from Monday night’s 45-21 Dolphins loss at Carolina: 1) With Miami 4-5 after a third straight loss, please do not mention the phrase “playoff contention” again until you hear otherwise. You cannot rely on either offense or defense As ESPN’s Jon Gruden put it Monday night, Miami “is perhaps the most inconsistent team I‘ve seen in a while.” 2) We knew the offense was among the NFL’s worst. But we thought the defense was OK, maybe even pretty good. Until now. Carolina totaled 548 yards of offense, including 294 rushing (and 8.2 per carry). Embarrassing. 3) Not Yet Ready For Prime-Time Players. Dolphins just became the first team ever to play three consecutive prime-time games and lose them all. 4) Miami remains the only team in the league to not score a rushing touchdown this season. Larry Csonka and Ricky Williams are spinning in their graves, and they aren’t dead yet. 5) Game-turning play: Fins were headed into halftime down only 10-7, then Jay Cutler through a bonehead interception from his own end that set up Carolina for a 17-7 lead. It was over from there ..... In- game: MIA 21-45 (4Q): Landry 9-yard pass from Cutler ..... CAR 45-14 (3Q): Funchess 32-yard pass from Newton ..... CAR 38-14 (3Q): McCaffrey 2-yard pass from Newton ..... MIA 14-31 (3Q): Drake 66-yard run ..... CAR 31-7 (3Q): Artis-Payne 12-yard run ..... CAR 24-7 (3Q): Funchess 28-yard pass from Newton ..... Halftime thoughts: Miami down in total yards 220-118 but a fairly even half except for the late, dumb Jay Cutler interception that gifted Carolina an easy TD ..... CAR 17-7 (2Q): Dickson 7-yard pass from Newton ..... MIA 7-10 (2Q): Thomas 2-yard pass from Cutler ..... CAR 10-0 (2Q): McCaffrey 4-yard run ..... CAR 3-0 (1Q): Gano 40-yard FG ..... Live blog tonight will mean as-they-happen score updates, halftime and postgame thoughts, then the DSM postgame poll ..... Original post: The Dolphins have lost two in a row, and there are no pity-points for improved effort or barely losing to Oakland 27-24 last week as what had been a comatose Miami offense finally showed a pulse. Fins still must prove they 

Miacar1can play a complete, complementary game with all cylinders pumping, and if they don't do it Monday night in Charlotte that would make it 0-for-3 in consecutive prime-time showcases. I give Miami a big chance here -- certainly against the spread, getting 10 points. Dolphins may be a shaky .500 at 4-4, but the Panthers' 6-3 mark Miacar2wobbles a bit, too. Cam Newton's passer rating actually is a fair bit worse than Jay Cutler's (78.4 to 87.4), thanks to Cam's 11 interceptions, tied for most in the league. The Cats are minus-8 overall on turnovers, fourth-worst in the NFL. Miami also has the benefit of safety T.J. McDonald's debut after serving an eight-game league suspension for substance abuse. Carolina's defense, though, is really stout -- much better than what Cutler picked apart last week vs. Oakland. And it doesn't help that Fins right tackle Ja'Wuan James is now on injured reserve. Also the Monday night stage, though diminished, still tends to magnify a home-field advantage. The good news? I'd bet on a close game, Miami-plus-points, and an outright upset would not shock. The bad news? I need to see a solid, four-quarter performance by the offense and defense in synch before the Dolphins earn my trust to conjure another major road upset like what they pulled off in Atlanta. My pick: Carolina, 24-17.

 

HOT BUTTON TOP 10 (UPDATED): WHAT SOUTH FLORIDA SPORTS FANS ARE TALKING ABOUT: Our blog-exclusive every-Sunday feature, updated Mondays, is part week-in-review, part look-ahead. Hot Button means what's on our minds, locally and nationally, but from a Miami perspective, as the sports week just past pivots to the week ahead. This week's HB10:

Hotbutton1. HURRICANES: UM crushes Notre Dame, stakes championship intentions: Canes crushed Fighting Irish 41-8 Saturday, clinched a spot in ACC title game and made case to leap from No. 7 into College Football Playoff top four. For me, other than the five national-championship wins, the last in 2001 -- maybe the greatest night in UM football history. #TurnoverChain

2. DOLPHINS: Miami crushed at Carolina on Monday Night Football: Fins had lost two games in a row on Thursday night (at Baltimore) and Sunday night (vs. Oakland) and now gave Monday a shot in last chance to avoid being first team ever to lose three consecutive prime-time games. Didn't work.

3. NASCAR: Six days 'til Championship Sunday at Homestead: Sunday's penultimate race in Phoenix finalized the Championship Four for this Sunday's run at Homestead-Miami Speedway. It'll be Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Martin Truex and Brad Keselowski racing for season crown. As many eyes, though, will be on Dale Earnhardt Jr. in his last race before retiring.

4. COLLEGE FOOTBALL: CFP committee ready to shuffle top four: With No. 1 Georgia, 3-Notre Dame and 6-TCU all losing Saturday, Miami should leap 7-to-4 -- at least -- in Tuesday's new College Football Playoff ranking. New No. 1 figures to be Alabama ... unless Miami Hurricanes fans commandeer the votes. Would not shock to see Canes second behind only 'Bama.

5. UM BASKETBALL: Canes men, women both open season 2-0: No. 13 UM men routed Gardner-Webb 77-45 in Friday's season opener behind Bruce Brown's triple-double while Canes women beat FIU 77-69 led by Mykea Gray's 27 points, then both won again Sunday. Men's team plays under cloud of that FBI investigation into college recruiting, but winning is a diversion, at least.

6. MARLINS: Stanton trade speculation gains traction: Fish confirmed Don Mattingly would return as manager but remain noncommittal on slugger Giancarlo Stanton as assumption grows that they'll trade him, with Red Sox, Cardinals, Giants and Phillies out front among reported suitors. Dear Marlins: Small request. Get (a lot) more for Stanton than you got for Miguel Cabrera.

7. HEAT: Must we get used to being average?: Miami is 6-7 after Sunday's loss in Detroit, after finishing right at .500 last season. Long season, folks. And it's looking like another thrilling fight for that seventh or eighth seed. Pardon the attitude. The Big 3 years spoiled me.  

8. PANTHERS: Florida sinks to bottom of East: Cats are 5-11 after loss in New Jersey and in last place in the NHL's Eastern Conference. Either the club will show patience seldom associated with the Panthers, or rookie coach Bob Boughner may be on the edge of trouble.  

9. FIU: Panthers fall at home: FIU was an upset loser to Old Dominion 37-30 Saturday but still is an impressive 6-3 under first-year coach Butch Davis, though overshadowed by UM's unbeatenness. I mean, what were the odds FIU would today have as many wins as the Seminoles and Gators combined?

10. BASEBALL: Japanese phenom headed to America: Touted Japanese pitcher/outfielder Shohei Otani will be in Major League Baseball starting in 2018. hailed as perhaps the greatest two-way player since Babe Ruth. Hey, no pressure or anything, Shohei!

Missing the HB10 cut: Free man O.J. Simpson has been banned from the Cosmopolitan hotel-casino in Vegas over alleged drunken, belligerent behavior. Or, did that go without saying? ..... Lonzo Ball's younger brother was among UCLA players arrested for shoplifting in China. Does the Bruins defense get statistical credit for those steals? ..... Bulletin: Ezekiel Elliott's suspension is back on, pending another 47 appeals ..... On behalf of Richard Sherman and his Achilles, can we finally abolish Thursday Night Football? Please? ..... R.I.P., Roy Halladay. And a slap in the face to those Boston radio idiots who made light of the private plane crash that took his life ..... What the hell did you start, Harvey Weinstein? Now Louis C.K., too? Keep it in your pants, fellas. Y'all are giving men a bad name, by which I mean even worse than usual.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

November 13, 2017

Canesfan Satisfaction Meter: 98.6%. Another season-high approval rating for unbeaten UM!; plus Hurricanes rout Notre Dame 41-8 in epic night to put national-title shot in play, our column from game

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It is SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 12. Know any people who are serious Dolfans? Surprise and delight them with our book on club's first half-century. Click Fins At 50. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): NFL Week 10 picks, Herald NFL quarterback rankings, updated SOPY standings, Pix 'n Fantasy results & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Periscope and Snapchat.

NEW: COLUMN FROM STADIUM ON CANES' EPIC WIN: Click Championship In View For Soaring Canes. Also: The Hurricanes Are Back; Deal With It, America (column advancing game) and Canes-Irish: Game For The Ages (earlier column listing Top 10 UM wins since glory days, and why this tops them all).

CsmCANESFAN SATISFACTION METER: G9: 98.6%: Results are certified in the latest edition of the Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame polls, and they show 98.6 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Saturday Pic98.6night’s 41-8 home victory by unbeaten No. 7 Miami over No. 3 Notre Dame putting UM's season record at 9-0. That's another season high -- and about as close to 100% as you'll ever see in an online poll. The CSM polls are your invitation after every Canes game to share your overall degree of satisfaction with the team. Criteria for voting is your own, but we suggest you consider the latest performance and caliber of opponent, the season as a whole, the direction of the program and your overall sense of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Poll results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 8:30 a.m. today/Monday. Votes came directly below and also online here.

2017 CSM results

G1: 69.5% following 41-13 victory vs. Bethune-Cookman
G2: 83.9% following 52-30 victory vs. Toledo
G3: 96.5% following 31-6 victory at Duke
G4: 97.6% following 24-20 victory at Florida State
G5: 96.0% following 25-24 victory vs. Georgia Tech
G6: 93.0% following 27-19 victory vs. Syracuse
G7: 64.3% following 24-19 victory at North Carolina
G8: 98.0% following 28-10 victory vs. Virginia Tech
G9: 98.6% following 41-8 victory vs. Notre Dame
Next poll: Nov. 18 following game vs. Virginia  

 

G9: NOTRE DAME @ HURRICANES: UNBEATEN UM SLAYS A GIANT, MAKES MOVE ON CFP TOP FOUR: MIA 41, ND 8 (Final). Click Championship In View For Soaring Canes for my column from the stadium .....  MIA 41-8 (4Q): Dallas 5-yard run ..... ND 34-8 (3Q): Winbush-Mack 14-yard pass ..... MIA 34-0 (3Q): Dallas 4-yard run ..... MIA 27-0 (2Q): Bandy 65-yard interception return ..... MIA 20-0 (2Q): Badgley 30-yard FG ..... MIA 17-0 (2Q): Badgley 23-yard FG ..... MIA 14-0 (1Q): Rosier 16-yard run ..... MIA 7-0 (1Q): Rosier-Berrios 7-yard pass ..... Original post: It was 1989, the season of Miami's third of five national championships, when the Hurricanes and Notre Dame Fighting Irish last played a football game in Miami. Omen? History repeating? Let's find out as 8-1, No. 3- Miandranked Notre Dame and 8-0, No. 7 UM play Saturday night at 8 at a filled-up Hard Rock Stadium before a national audience on ABC. That was after ESPN's College Gameday did its show from the Coral Gables campus earlier in the day -- yet another indication this is the Game of the Week and the Canes are top-tier-relevant again in the sport. That the TochainIrish are higher-ranked and favored (by 3 points) despite being the road team is no shock, nor is it an injustice or insult. Notre Dame has won seven straight games, all by double digits, since losing by one point to now-No. 1 Georgia. Miami by contrast had won its previous five games by a combined 18 points prior to last week's impressive 28-10 home dismantling of Virginia Tech in its first 2017 win over a ranked opponent. The onus is on the underdog Canes to prove their defense can penetrate a premier Irish Chainsrosariesoffensive line that bulldozes the way to a 325-yard rushing average per game. UM already has allowed 200-plus ground yards to three opponents this season, so that's the matchup that most makes the visitor the betting favorite. Apart from that 20-19 loss Leprechaunto Georgia, Notre Dame has averaged 44 points per game. This gives UM hope, though: ND's defense gave up 37 points to Wake Forest last week. The stakes could hardly be higher. The game's winner will be in the driver's seat to be in the College Football Playoff as one of the top four teams, while the loser will be a longshot. "It's single-elimination for both teams," as Irish coach Brian Kelly put it. I get why Notre Dame is favored, but I also think intangibles weigh heavily and favor Miami. The crowd and ambience and noise vs. Virginia Tech created a palpable, difference-making home field advantage for UM, and Saturday's crowd will be even more electric. UM expects more than 300 former players and coaches at the game, a record. It figures as one of the biggest nights in Miami sports history, any team, any time. Pictured left: Dueling magic. Lucky Turnover Chain vs. Lucky Leprechaun. My pick: Hurricanes, 30-27.

Other state FBS Week 11 games (chronologically, all Saturday):

No. 18 UCF 49, Connecticut 24: Knights, now 9-0, were favored by 40 1/2 over 3-6 UConn, so this won't impress poll voters much.

South Carolina 28, Florida 20: Gators can't climb from early 14-0 hole they dug on road, sink to 3-6 (and 0-2 under interim coach Randy Shannon).

No. 4 Clemson 31, Florida State 14: Tigers were big 16-point home favorites but only led 17-14 before two late scores verified their CFP status and clinched a spot in ACC title game as FSU tumbles to 3-6.

FAU 48, Louisiana Tech 23: Bowl-bound Owls are now 7-3 after another impressive win for Lane Kiffin's resurgent program.

Old Dominion 37, FIU 30: Butch Davis' Panthers were 9 1/2-point home favorites but forgot to bring their defense to the stadium, fall to 6-3.

No. 7 Miami 41, No. 3 Notre Dame 8: Epic. See above.

Off this week: South Florida (8-1).

National Collball Week 11 overview: Five more CFP Top 25 matchups Saturday along with Miami-Notre Dame. No. 10-Auburn stunned No. 1 Georgia 40-10, 13-Ohio State routed 12-Michigan State 48-3, 15-Oklahoma State beat 21-Iowa State 49-42, 5-Oklahoma beat 6-TCU 38-20, and 2-Alabama survived 16-Mississippi State 31-24.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote