1. Cleveland Browns: Myles Garrett, DE/OLB, Texas A&M -- Garrett is the best player in this draft and a generational talent, according to Garrett. Cleveland also could trade down and take another stab at a quarterback, or hope for that with the 12th overall pick. Or, they could really be the Browns and overreach by taking a QB No. 1. (Does Johnny Manziel have a younger brother?) But I'm wild-hunching the Earthtones make an adult pick for a change. THE PICK: Garrett. A no-brainer, although with the no-brain Browns you're never sure. Loud booing for Goodell always sounds like music. Kiper always sounds like somebody impersonating Kiper. OUR MOCK SCORE: 1-for-1, 1 bull's-eye.
2. Chicago Bears (from San Francisco 49ers): Solomon Thomas, DE/DT, Stanford -- When SF had it: Niners need everything, everywhere, including the defensive help a better pass rush would bring. They need it enough to keep this Stanford kid at home in Santa Clara. Also need a QB, but no unequivocal franchise guys are in this draft. THE PICK: Trade! Bears up to 2nd pick and take QB Mitchell Trubisky, a surprise this high; I had him going 13th. Mike Glennon reaching for the whisky right about now. Niners now picking 3rd. OUR MOCK SCORE: 2-for-2, 1 bull's-eye.
3. San Francisco 49ers (from Chicago Bears): Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State -- When CHI had it: Some draft-graders think fellow safety Jamal Adams is a safer bet, but Hooker has the big upside to bring Ed Reed comparisons, highest possible praise for the position. THE PICK: Thomas, who I had going 2nd. Niners need a QB, but thought they'd go for defense, as they did. OUR MOCK SCORE: 3-for-3, 1 bull's-eye.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars: Leonard Fournette, RB, Louisiana State -- Need a tackle even though they traded for Branden Albert, but no OTs are worthy of this pick. Jags love DeShaun Watson but this is a more sure pick to goose an anemic offense. THE PICK: Fournette. Bull's-eye! Thank you, says Blake Bortles. OUR MOCK SCORE: 4-for-4, 2 bull's-eyes.
5. Tennessee Titans: Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State -- Titans also own 18th pick after getting this one in trade from Rams last year. Wide receiver (maybe Mike Williams) will tempt here, too, but secondary a more pressing need. THE PICK: WR Corey Davis. Wow. Surprise this high; I had Davis going 14th (to draft host Philadelphia, actually). Titans took a bit longer than first four teams. Indecision? In-fighting? OUR MOCK SCORE: 5-for-5, 2 bull's-eyes.
▪ SUPER BONUS DRAFT FACT: Bitter rivals ESPN and NFL Network are going all out this week to fill way too many hours of draft-related programming. Tuned into ESPN this morning and came across the tinkling piano and mournful strings of a maudlin retrospective on Chris Berman's ebbing career. NFL Network countered with an exclusive whatever-happened-to piece on Johnny Manziel, who has been mysteriously missing from headlines for nearly two weeks.
6. New York Jets: Jamal Adams, S, Louisiana State -- This pick could be sooo Jets with a reach for project-quarterback Mitch Trubisky. NYJ also entertaining trade-down offers. But can't go wrong with Adams at biggest need position after QB. THE PICK: Adams. Boom! Another bull's-eye. Such a solid pick even Stinkin' Jets fans can't bring themselves to boo. And a Dolphins AFC East rival just got tougher to move the ball against. OUR MOCK SCORE: 6-for-6, 3 bull's-eyes.
7. Los Angeles Chargers: Jonathan Allen, DT, Alabama -- The San Dieangelos Chargers need blocking help for Philip Rivers, but no OL'ers are top 10-worthy. Also might prefer a safety here should either Hooker or Adams fall. THE PICK: WR Mike Williams, whom I had going just below at 10th. And Philip Rivers is grinning like a donkey eating briars. (That's for you, Edwin Pope!) OUR MOCK SCORE: 7-for-7, 3 bull's-eyes.
8. Carolina Panthers: Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford -- Incumbent Jonathan Stewart is 30 now (Methuselah for the position), and McCaffrey figures as a dynamic, dual-threat asset for Cam Newton. THE PICK: McCaffrey. Booya! Another dart right in the heart. And McCaffrey becomes first white tailback drafted in first round in 40 years (although he's as much a slot receiver). OUR MOCK SCORE: 8-for-8, 4 bull's-eyes.
9. Cincinnati Bengals: Reuben Foster, LB, Alabama -- A wide receiver for Andy Dalton is very possible here, but Foster is a pro-ready inside run-stopper from the Saban Factory. However, Foster's draft stock has slipped with off-field issues. It would not entirely shock if he tumbled all the way into Miami's sights (and Fins would love-love-love him), but I doubt that happens. THE PICK: WR John Ross. A bit of a reach, although I had the speed guy going 18th. Andy Dalton = happy man. Promising draft so far for Miami, but it's still early. OUR MOCK SCORE: 9-for-9, 4 bull's-eyes.
10. Kansas City Chiefs (from Buffalo Bills): When BUF had it: Mike Williams, WR, Clemson -- A pass rusher will tempt, but Buffs' wideout room is Sammy Watkins and a whole lotta nuthin' so this pick makes much sense. (And is one more reason I think the division-mate Dolphins will be leaning cornerback with their top pick). THE PICK: Trade! Chiefs move up 17 spots for QB Patrick Mahomes. That's a real (and costly) conviction on this kid, a project guy who'll have time behind Alex Smith. And here's my first draft fizzle, as I did not have Mahomes in my first round. OUR MOCK SCORE: 9-for-10, 4 bull's-eyes.
▪ SUPER BONUS DRAFT FACT: The NFL Draft, no longer held in New York every year, is this week in Philadelphia, where perpetually angry Philly fans have been booing all week in anticipation of the Eagles' pick. Extra police will be on hand Thursday night amid reports of a planned massive demonstration by protesters who want to abolish the draft in favor of an all-volunteer NFL.
11. New Orleans Saints: Haason Reddick, LB, Temple -- Adrian Peterson saying he's signing with Saints is one more indication N'Awlins will go with D here. Corner may be bigger need but regard for Reddick is burgeoning. He'd seriously tempt Miami at 22 if miraculously he fell. THE PICK: CB Marshon Lattimore. I had him going 5th, so a nice get for a team always needing defensive help. Good draft so far for Miami, with Foster/Reddick still on board. OUR MOCK SCORE: 10-for-11, 4 bull's-eyes.
12. Houston Texas (from Cleveland Browns): O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama -- When CLE had it: Taking Garrett No. 1 frees Cleveland to think offense with this pick obtained from Philadelphia, and Howard is draft's premier TE. These are the Browns, of course, so a stab at a quarterback would not surprise. THE PICK: QB DeShaun Watson. I had him going 25th, to Cleveland. OUR MOCK SCORE: 11-for-12, 4 bull's-eyes.
13. Arizona Cardinals: Mitchell Trubisky, QB, North Carolina -- Carson Palmer is 37, Cardbirds need an heir to the air, and Mitchell is the perfect developmental guy they can wait a year or two to unleash. Also need help in secondary. THE PICK: LB Haasan Reddick. I had him going a smidge higher, at 11th. Cardbirds had to be in scramble mode, with all three top QBs unexpectedly off board early. And the draft's first real ouch for Miami. Fins would have loved Reddick had he somehow slipped to 22nd. OUR MOCK SCORE: 12-for-13, 4 bull's-eyes.
14. Philadelphia Eagles: Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan -- Birds had big interest in Ohio State cornerback Gareon Conley with this pick obtained from Minnesota, but a miserably timed rape accusation against Conley could see him plummet from first round entirely. Would also love RB McCaffrey if he falls. THE PICK: DE Derek Barnett. I had him going just below, at 17th. Another guy Miami would have seriously considered had he fallen. OUR MOCK SCORE: 13-for-14, 4 bull's-eyes.
15. Indianapolis Colts: Forrest Lamp, OG, Western Kentucky -- Here's a guy Miami would strongly consider as draft's only 1R-certified guard, but Andrew Luck has been sacked 156 times in five seasons, is coming off shoulder surgery and needs immediate help. THE PICK: S Malik Hooker. A steal, considering I had him going 3rd overall. But Indy passing on Forrest Lamp means the guard could fall to Miami. Uh oh. OUR MOCK SCORE: 14-for-15, 4 bull's-eyes.
▪ SUPER BONUS DRAFT FACT: The Dolphins will stage their annual draft-day fans’ party Thursday night from 7:30 to 11:30 on the field at Hard Rock Stadium. The event will feature appearances by bitter former players born too soon for the gravy train, entirely independent live reports by impartial journalists paid by the Dolphins, free cheerleader autographs (no, seriously) and also instant and expert analysis by Cam Cameron of the No. 1 draft pick's family.
16. Baltimore Ravens: Cam Robinson, OT, Alabama -- Help for Joe Flacco is Raven's priority, and Robinson is draft's highest graded tackle. Could be a receiver here if not a blocker. THE PICK: CB Marlon Humphrey. I had him lasting until 29th. Humphrey is son of ex-Dolphins RB Bobby Humphrey. OUR MOCK SCORE: 15-for-16, 4 bull's-eyes.
17. Washington Redskins: Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee -- Barnett targets need for a pass rusher. Skins would love a running back but the only two worthy of first round are long gone. THE PICK: DE/DT Jonathan Allen. Could be a 1R steal. I had him going 7th and Kiper I think had him graded second overall in entire draft. OUR MOCK SCORE: 16-for-17, 4 bull's-eyes.
18. Tennessee Titans: John Ross, WR, Washington -- Titans went defense with fifth overall pick so balance that with a nice little gift for quarterback Marcus Mariota. THE PICK: CB Adoree' Jackson. A reach. And a miss for me. Had him (barely) out of my first round. OUR MOCK SCORE: 16-for-18, 4 bull's-eyes.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DAVID NJOKU, TE, MIAMI -- Dolphins' season-opening opponent takes a Miami kid to goose the offense and make Jameis Winston's life easier. Bucs have greater needs (outside linebacker), but can't resist Njoku's field-stretching, big-play ability -- something that also intrested the Dolphins. THE PICK: TE O.J. Howard. Well, I had the right position and right idea here. Thought Njoku because I was sure Howard would be long gone. OUR MOCK SCORE: 17-for-19, 4 bull's-eyes.
20. Denver Broncos: Garett Bolles, OT, Utah -- Broncos will have inexperience at QB no matter who starts, so an extra second in the pocket could make a difference. THE PICK: Bolles. BOOM! Bulls-eye! Take that, Kiper! OUR MOCK SCORE: 18-for-20, 5 bull's-eyes.
▪ SUPER BONUS DRAFT FACT: Bitter-rival South Florida sports radio stations The Ticket Miami (790) and WQAM (560) are ramping up their commitment to draft coverage this week, unaware that, in a national poll of what would most make listeners drive screaming off a cliff into a ravine to stop the sound, the No. 1 answer was, “Hearing a local radio host probe Trent Dilfer on Mitch Trubisky's rising stock.”
21. Detroit Lions: Kevin King, CB, Washington -- Detroit has not spent a first-round pick on a cornerback in 17 straight drafts, longest stretch of any NFL team. Time that ended. THE PICK: LB Jarrad Davis. The ex-Gator is a guy Miami, picking next, might have considered. I had him going two spots below. OUR MOCK SCORE: 19-for-21, 5 bull's-eyes.
22. MIAMI DOLPHINS: CHARLES HARRIS, DE/LB, MISSOURI -- In my first draft of my mock draft I had the Dolphins taking Ohio State cornerback Gareon Conley here. Then came that rape accusation. I still do not discount the possibility. Did they not jump on Laremy Tunsil despite the gas-mask bong thing? The controversy embroiling Conley is obviously worse, but he might still be the pick here if Miami determined the accusation is baseless and that Conley won't be charged -- a huge if. Harris is a safer choice as an outside linebacker who also can adapt smoothly to pass-rush end role. Todd McShay calls him the draft's best pure OLB and he very well may not last, but I think there's a chance he could fall to the Fins for a second straight of first-round good fortune. Miami emphasized defense in free agency led by Lawrence Timmons but still should have that side of the scrimmage line as their priority in the draft. (By the way, am hearing the Dolphins covet Michigan's Jabrill Peppers as a Day 2 pick if they can get him). THE PICK: Harris. GOT IT! NAILED IT! BULL'S-EYE! OUR MOCK SCORE: 20-for-22, 6 bull's-eye.
23. New York Giants: Jarrad Davis, LB, Florida -- Biggies need a run-stopper and Davis is an inside-'backer who fits the role. Also need blocking help. Right, Eli? THE PICK: TE Evan Engram. A misfire by me. Did not have him in my first round. (And David Njoku's draft party just sank further). MY MOCK SCORE: 20-for-23, 6 bull's-eyes.
24. Oakland Raiders: Malik McDowell, DT, Michigan State -- The Oakvegas Raiders are thin on interior D-line and need to beef up the run stopping. Hauling RB Marshawn Lynch out of retirement to fortify an already scary offense only underlines the likelihood they'll go with defense here. THE PICK: CB Gareon Conley. I had him dropping out of my first round after a recent rape accusation but the Raiders (of course) are rolling dice on a player who could prove a draft steal if exonerated. OUR MOCK SCORE: 20-for-24, 6 bull's-eyes.
25. Cleveland Browns (from Houston Texans): DeShaun Watson, QB, Clemson -- When HOU had it: Why? Because Tom Savage and Brandon Weeden are your quarterbacks, that's why. THE PICK: S/LB Jabrill Peppers. I thought he'd slip to second round, when Dolphins would have had an interest. OUR MOCK SCORE: 20-for-25, 6 bull's-eyes. Need to finish strong here.
▪ SUPER BONUS DRAFT FACT: Some might not be aware ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr. consults experts in each city for inside draft info and that I was his Miami guy until that unfortunate mixup in 2014. What happened was, I slightly misheard a tip from a trusted source, and based on that, instead of reporting that Miami would select tackle Ja'Wuan James in the first round, Kiper instead reported that Dolphins planned to draft La'Bron James.
26. Atlanta Falcons (from Seattle Seahawks): Ryan Ramczyk, OT, Wisconsin -- When SEA had it: Cornerback Richard Sherman is still a Seahawk, so team can turn to a more pressing need. Russell Wilson needs protection. THE PICK: DE Takkarist McKinley. Had him going 31st so we're back on the board. MY MOCK SCORE: 21-for-26, 6 bull's-eyes.
27. Buffalo Bills (from Kansas City Chiefs): Dalvin Cook, RB, Florida State -- When KC had it: Jamaal Charles is gone, and Alex Smith needs a run-buddy, and the shifty former Seminole is the best ballcarrier left. THE PICK: CB Tre'Davious White. I had him going 32nd, so I snuck another one in. OUR MOCK SCORE: 22-for-27, 6 bull's-eyes.
28. Dallas Cowboys: Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan -- Charlton is a good fit for 'Boys defense. There also are rumors Dallas could reach for the big upside of his Michigan teammate Jabrill Peppers. THE PICK: Charlton. Awwright! A late bull's-eye. Wooooo! OUR MOCK SCORE: 23-for-28, 7 bull's-eyes.
29. Cleveland Browns (from Green Bay Packers): Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama -- When GB had it: Primary need in secondary makes cornerback a near-certain Pack target, although a RB such as Cook would tempt if he's still around. THE PICK: TE David Njoku. Finally! I had him going 19th. OUR MOCK SCORE: 24-for-29, 7 bull's-eyes.
30. Pittsburgh Steelers: T.J. Watt, OLB, Wisconsin -- J.J.'s kid brother has the bloodlines, and Steelers have the need at this position, with Lawrence Timmons gone to Miami and James Harrison turning 39 in two weeks. THE PICK: Watt. Oh, pinch me! (But not that hard, please). Another late-round bull's-eye! OUR MOCK SCORE: 25-for-30, 8 bull's-eyes.
31. San Francisco 49ers (from Atlanta Falcons): Takkarist McKinley, DE, UCLA -- When ATL had it: Atlanta has a big nee3d for pass-rushing helping. Opinions on McKinley vary, with some thought that he could go by mid-round. THE PICK: LB Reuben Foster. I had him going 9th. Fell precipitously due to off-field concerns, so this could prove to be a steal. OUR MOCK SCORE: 26-for-31, 8 bull's-eyes.
32. New Orleans Saints: Tre'Davious White, CB, Louisiana State -- Saints went defense with 11th overall pick and stay there with this pick obtained from New England in the Brandin Cooks trade. Drew Brees has spent a career needing better D. THE PICK: OT Ryan Ramczyk. I had him going 26th. OUR FINAL MOCK SCORE: 27-for-32, 8 bull's-eyes. Pretty damned good.