Major annual computer analysis projects stunningly rosy outlook for Dolphins; details here; plus rate my fantasy team. Poll, last day to vote!; also sabotage of Schnellenberger's Hall of Fame chances continues, note to anti-government crowd & more
GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.
No radio today: I'll be off today along with vacationing Dan LeBatard and Stugotz as Jorge Sedano continues to fill in for them on The Ticket Miami. Sedano asked me to sit in with him today but conflicting Herald duties will prevent.
1) It is TUESDAY, AUGUST 25. School's back in session in Broward, as anyone who has confronted morning traffic this week was reminded. 2) Click on Random Evidence for our latest Sunday notes-column package. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Hot Button Top 10, Dolphins-Panthers and Rappin' Joe, Entercom's undercut of local radio, NFL popularity verdict & more. 4) Follow us on Twitter @gregcote. Also on Facebook, Instagram, Vine and now Periscope, too.
Herald's 'Fins at 50' project: ICYMI,the Miami Herald's massive "Fins at 50" coverage commemorating the Dolphins' upcoming 50th season is now online. Click FINS AT 50 to access entire project and all its parts. My contributions: COACHING LEGEND is my column and accompanying video on Don Shula. 50 GREATEST is my list of the 50 greatest figures (not just players!) in franchise history. ALL-TIME TEAM are my picks for that honor. And VIDEO INTERVIEWS includes my conversations with Shula, Jason Taylor and Zach Thomas.
NFL COMPUTER PROJECTION OFFERS BRIGHTS NEWS FOR DOLPHINS: Our friends at PredictionMachine.com offer their respected annual forecast of the coming NFL season based on its computers playing the entire season schedule 50,000 times (so you don't have to), and there is good news for the Dolphins. Spoiler alert: They say Green Bay will win the Super Bowl 31-28 over Indianapolis. Of greater interest in Miami, they have the Dolphins as a playoff team, albeit a No. 5 seed losing in the wild-card round to Baltimore. Their computerized win projections for the AFC East: Patriots 10.0, Dolphins 9.1, Bills 7.9 and Jets 6.5. They say Miami has a 56.9 percent likelihood of a winning record, 28.2% to win the division, 37.2% to be a wild-card team, and 4.8% to win the Super Bowl. But dig this (as we used to say): The computers project Miami has more than a 50 percent likelihood to win 13 games. Seriously. Here is PredictionMachine.com's game-by-game analysis, a computerized breakdown of Miami's most- to least-likely wins: 73.1% win likelihood--G2 at Jaguars; 69.4--G4 vs Jets; 65.7--G7 vs Texans; 63.7--G6 at Titans; 62.0--G14 vs Giants; 61.3--G3 vs Bills; 61.2--G13 vs Ravens; 59.4--G12 at Jets; 56.9--G1 at Redskins; 55.8--G11 vs Cowboys; 54.3--G15 at Chargers; 52.6--G9 at Bills; 50.2--G16 vs Colts; 50.0--G17 vs Patriots; 44.4--G10 at Eagles; and 36.6--G8 at Patriots.
BLIND-RATE GREG'S LOBOS' FANTASY DRAFT: My 10-team friends 'n family fantasy football league held its annual draft on Sunday, a technological wonder involving Skyping from Washington DC, Jacksonville and Orlando. Now I invite you (as I do
every year) to rate what you think is the best team in our league -- the one you'd most like to have -- based on each team's first four picks. I know that's tough but who said life was fair? Which quartet would you most like to start a team with? It's a standard PPR (point-per-reception) league hosted by ESPN.com. Teams in the poll are listed in the draft order. This is a blind list so you don't know which team is mine, Greg's Lobos, but of course I'll tell you after today's final day of voting who all the teams belong to. It was my draft, now it's your verdict. Vote and say why.
THE WELL-INTENDED SABOTAGING OF HOWARD SCHNELLENBERGER CONTINUES: Recently I wrote a column exhorting the National Football Foundation (NFF) and College Football Hall of Fame to bend its
eligibility rules to induct Howard Schnellenberger; click on Let Howard In! to read. But in that column I warned: "A well-meaning group of supporters led by major FAU booster John Sasko has undertaken a letter-writing and media campaign to exert pressure to induct their guy. The trouble is, this effort is rubbing wrong some of the very people who need to be convinced to make an exception for Schnellenberger." Update: The public campaign by the "Howard Schnellenberger Hall of Fame Committee," i.e. Sasko and Eugene R. Dunn of Medford, NY, continues, and continues to do a disservice to Schnellenberger's chances. The campaign is well-meaning but stridently tone deaf and plainly hurting Howard's chances. The presidents and athletic directors at Miami, FAU and Louisville should be working proper channels for this to happen. A loud, rogue campaign by two boosters isn't helping. It is doing the opposite.
ANTI-GOVERNMENT ... EXCEPT WHEN YOU NEED IT: I love this photo because it perfectly encapsulates so much of what I believe about the "anti-government" crowd. Here is a man who wearing a T-shirt that reads "Lower Taxes + Less Government = More Freedom" as he thanks local firefighters for saving his home. Perfect! People want lower taxes ... except when they need what those taxes subsidize. People love to shout, "Get government out of our lives!" ... except when their potholed street needs repaving. People are funny.
Check back often because we constantly update and add to our latest blogposts...