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September 08, 2010

NFL Week 1 predix: Dolphins, but barely; plus judging Parcells (with Tuna poll), Koran-burning, The Rock vs. Tressel in Canes-OSU mouthoff, Pat White & more

[Follow at Twitter.com/gregcote. Unless you're too a-scared!]

1aacote 1aacote2 UPSET BIRD WEEK!: Welcome to Upset Bird Week in South Florida, culminating with today's launch of the 20th Anniversary Season of our Friday NFL predictions page featuring the Upset Bird. ("Aawwk!") An official proclamation by city of Miami mayor Tomas Regalado declaring this Upset Bird Week might have been issued had the mayor responded to any of my emails.

NFL WEEK 1 PREDIX: DOLPHINS WIN (BARELY): Click on Week 1 Gems for my opening salvo. I like Dolphins slipping past Bills 17-16, and Ravens-over-Jets tops a parade up upsets. Click on Say Cheese for my rpix-page column prevewing the season. I have Green bay winning the Super Bowl, Dolphins finishing third in their division at 8-8.

PAT WHITE SIGNS WITH ... ROYALS?: It's true. The vanquished Dolphins' second-round pick signed a minor-league baseball contract today with Kansas City. So, when Bill Parcells thought Pat had pro potential, well, he might still be right after all!

COMPUTER PUTS DOLPHINS AT 7.2 WINS: A website that intrigues us, predictionmachine.com, computes 50,000 simulations of every game to figure a team's likelihood of winning. How accurate? No idea. But interesting. And, based on what the site sent me, looking pretty legit, too. Here are its percentages of Miami winning each game this year, listed from most likely to least likely wins. Dolphins are 50%-plus on eight games but somehow given a victory over/under of 7.2 wins:

78.1% likely to win--Week 13 vs. Browns; 73.0%--W16 vs. Lions; 67.2%--W15 vs. Bills; 55.7%--W11 vs. Bears; 51.5%--W7 vs. Steelers; 51.3%--W1 at Bills; 50.5%--W10 vs. Titans; 50.5%--W12 at Raiders; 40.8%--W4 vs. Patriots; 34.6%--W2 at Vikings; 34.5%--W3 vs. Jets; 31.9%--W8 at Bengals; 28.2%--W17 at Patriots; 23.9%--W6 at Packers; 23.1%--W14 at Jets; and 22.9%--W9 at Ravens.

THE TUNA POLL: YOU JUDGE PARCELLS: Bill Parcells spent two years running and rebuilding the Dolphins as total-control personnel boss before retreating to an advisor's role and ceding power this week to Jeff Ireland. You have lived Tuna's successes and failures. (One of the latters: Center Jake Grove was cut Thursday, meaning Miami got 10 games out of him for its $14.5 million expenditure). Perhaps an opinion has formed? Take a dip in our poll and say why you voted as you did.

THE ROCK VS. TRESSEL IN CANES-OSU WAR OF WORDS!: Click on Sweater Vest Stompin' Ass-Kicking for a for a video message from UM alum Dwayne "The Rock" Johson about Saturday's Canes game at Ohio State. And click Sweater Vest Strikes Back for a retort by the fake Little Jim Tressel.

1aakoran TERRY JONES IS A DANGEROUS NUT: The man pictured left might look like a dressed-up Jed Clampett -- or maybe the less-accomplished brother of Howard Schnellenberger? -- but heads the 50-member "Dove World Outreach Center" in Gainesville and plans Saturday -- Sept. 11 -- to burn copies of the Koran, the Muslim holy book. Most everyone including the doves have condemned him, although evidently his 50 disciples have lost their tongues and spines. If I find a way to blame this outrage on Urban Meyer, I'll let you know.

ON REGGIE BUSH'S HEISMAN: Let him keep it. You can't rewrite history. You don't take away Barry Bonds' MVP awards for what you learned later. You don't erase O.J. Simpson's name from the Heisman for what happened later. Bush's name and his Heisman are forever sullied. But lete him keep his diminished trophy.

1aafifa MIAMI WOWS FIFA DELEGATION: Miami, bidding to host World Cup games in 2018, hosted FIFA delegates for a tour of the Dolphins' stadium Wednesday. Here we see diminutive yet impressive local-bid person Donna Shalala, the UM president, striding purposefully along Stephen Ross' ridiculous orange carpet. Also pictured: Dolphin cheerleaders, assigned to curry favor with the voting delegates with sexual charms. I'm just kidding. That was the Heat Dancers' job!

MAN BREAKS WORLD RECORD FOR "GET A LIFE": Click here if you don't believe me.

1aamom WOMAN ELIMINATED IN MOM-OF-YEAR SEARCH: Click here.

EVER READ A HEADLINE...: ...that left you unsure whether to feel happy or nauseous? Click here.

THE LIST: SO FLA'S 20-YEAR NFL MEN: Brett Favre this year becomes only the 13th man to play in at least 20 NFL seasons. Four of that select group are former Hurricanes or played for the Dolphins. Impress your friends by acting like you knew the four were:

22   Jeff Feagles (Hurricanes), 1988-2009

21   Earl Morrall (Dolphins), 1956-76

21   Vinny Testaverde (Hurricanes), 1987-2007

20   Junior Seau (Dolphins), 1990-2009

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Oh yeah Rock, pound your chest over beating poor ole division 2 FAMU, lolol pathetic!

Okay, this is what we have so far:

1. OC Dolphin: 10-6
2. Tom: 8-8
3. Mike: 8-8
4. I am Kazaam: 7-9
5. Noel: 8-8
6. Jimbo: 10-6
7. FZB: 9-7
8. the shadow knows: 9-7

Hmm... so far not as bold as last year. Keep-em coming!

Down the line:

Dolphins could fall anywhere between 6-10 and 10-6, to guess on the exact number is an exercise in futility.

I vote Yes on proposition Bill. If he had never gone out on a limb for a wildcat QB and a giant project receiver (and a disgruntled giant receiver which no one is complaining about) people would say that he never took any risks and left the team as an incomplete version of the Dallas Cowboys. As it is, he's left the team better than when he found it, probably against his best judgement, and with a strong core that Stephen Ross will be free to dismantle however he likes.

The Rock got his job taken away as a senior by a freshman Ray Lewis, no shame in that - even if you're The Rock.

Who cares about some Gators fan burning the Qu'ran? This is America - any old dumbass can go out and do and say whatever they want. Burn your Qu'rans. Build your ground zero mosque, and heat it with Bibles. And take the bear suit off Mohammad goddamit - lets have a look! No one can tell us what we can and can't do, least of all some religious nutjob 10,000 miles away.

It doesn't matter what happens to Reggie Bush's "Heisman". He has an actual trophy in his house, and USC has an actual trophy in their stadium, and neither one is going to have to give it back. Plus his Wikipedia page will always say that he won it before it says that it got taken away.

Excellent, another chance to host a large event that Miami's hispanic fans will for some reason not go to. If you look carefully you can see Ms. Shalala looking at that Dolphins cheerleader's loo loo.

That's not internet nonsense - this is internet nonsense:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N0gb9v4LI4o&feature=channel
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8L7TnWx8As

Also Vinny Testaverde and Jeff Feagles are golden gods each.

20 minutes well spent.

wow, he never even mentioned FAMU, high five guy!

By the way Jimbo - I'm curious as to how you think Penn State is going to fare next week at Bama and later in the year against Ohio State?

Is it just me or does that photo above of Terry Jones strike a resemblance to Jed Clampet.

♫ Come 'n listen to my story 'bout a man named Terr
Poor Gatoreer tryin to keep his freakin head
An' then one day, he was burnin' on some book,
An' up down the road all the radicals shook.
Turmoil that is! Stone cold! From overseas!

Well, the first thing ya know, Ole Terr's in the air.
A thousand bombs just put him up in there.
Kind-folk said, "Thanks for starting WWIII,"
so they gathered up his parts and they
tossed them out to sea.
Red that is! Desert tools, Kandahar! ♫

OC, put me down for 10-6. Same as last year. Although last year I was being optimistic, instead of realistic. I'm more secure in 10-6 prediction this year. We should be a little better, and the schedule slightly not as tough.

Been out on vacation a while. Sad to see Pat White gone. Another wasted early round pick. I do not think he had enough chance, unless the coaches just know his abilities from practices. I think he could be a good utility player and useful for the wildcat...Ronnie will get injured as usual. I agree he is the #4 passer on the team. Seems so far no one else has picked him up; maybe we get him back after someone gets injured.

Kazaam, I am thinking about PSU at this very moment. Maybe I'll throw a wild prediction similar to your earlier post... dolphins somewhere between 3-13 & 13-3 in a close one bro.

PSU will split the OSU & Tide games, just not sure right now. IF they beat Alabama on the road, beat dipstick Saban,,, yeah, I'd be a little stoked 'bout dat! we'll see. As much as I hate Saban, he is a top college coach. Little Nicky was in over his head as HC in the NFL.

Bush comment.... shouldn't Barak be blaming Bush for USC's demise? no need to tell him that they are 2 different Bush's,,, 1 thing this Prez knows is sports,, and,,, and,, I'll come up with something.

Reggie Bush, Heisman, OJ, USC,,, I would find it offensive to be Reggie Bush and be compared with professional idiot & violent ra'tard OJ.

Barry Bonds got a raw deal from everyone because of rumors and his personality. Has anything been proved that Barry was dirty? One of the best baseball players of our time whether you like him or not.

Parcells. I am not surprised by this. Don't see much changing. He stuck around for 3 off seasons to help build the Fins into a contender. There have been some player busts and moves that make you scratch your head but... this team is a lot better off then when he took the job. He will be sticking around as an adviser. In his official capacity, this is a slow time of the yr. Draft, free agency, contract extensions, training camp & preseason are done. You may have some shuffling of the bottom 5 roster spots but for the most part, your team is set for this yr. I would be surprised if he wasn't around next yrs off season,,, UNLESS there are health issues not disclosed.

Koran burning day... American flag is burned every day, Bible desecrated. Muslim has destroyed other religions icons, temples, churches, etc throughout time... I Wouldn't participate in this behavior tho.

Do they really think the Phins cheerleaders are going to persuade FIFA? Cheerleaders are no longer a novelty to the rest of the world. The Polish soccer team has them; they're seen at world ice hockey and basketball championships (google for photos) and the Olympics. Well, then again, this is brainless FIFA.

It sure would be nice if the US would get the World Cup in 2018. It's a given that it will go to Europe due to FIFA's still present European bias. England gets it; Russia is the darkhorse.

For 2022, it has to be strictly between US and Australia. Aussies never had it before and that would be their main draw. However, I think the US is better suited for European TV schedules, ease of travel, diversity, and already existing infrastructure (except for efficient subways and rail).

No doubts Miami would be involved this time; if there is roof. Or else the players will collapse like they did in 1994 Orlando & Dallas.

Will be real neat to have the World Cup draw at the Miami Beach convention center.

Once again, Sepp Blatter is mindless. He is valid in wanting to eliminate teams from playing for ties.But his proposed resolutions will obviously fail.

If the golden goal (sudden death) is applied in the same manner as before, it will once again fail. The sudden death only last one 30 minute period. The teams gave up after half-way thru OT and played for PK's.

If they go straight to PK's instead of having an OT, this will really encourage weaker teams for holding down the fort and playing for the tie. ..as they will have a 50-50 chance to win on PK's.

There is only one solution. Sudden death until someone scores. Each team has enough players for two teams. Use them. Allow all players to be subbed after regulation is over.
Allow players to come back in after OT.

Obviously, there will be a point at which they must have a tiebreaker as there will be a few games that never end. They can come up with someething better than PK's..perhaps a college football style approach. Taking turns at goal.

I thought we had four more years before we had to talk about soccer again?

Why am I getting feeling this franchise is going right down the crapper again. King Carl will likely end up as GM being Ross's friend and you'll see mirror image of Chiefs teams that sucked so horribly. This f***ing team is cursed.

OC before Tuna decided to step down my pick was more optimistic. Now I'm sayin' Fins will be 6-10. God forgive me.

I hear ya, duke. My fear as well.

Maybe it's time to dig the grave of Danny Thomas and place some of his bones strategically around Sun Life Stadium.

let em eat pork rinds!

Kazaam, soccer is always. It just peaks with the World Cup. The current item of interest is the selection of the host countries for 2018 & 2022 coming this December.

we have all of the following coming up:

Copa America
Euro 2012 qualifying, just began this week
Euro Champions League
UEFA Cup
Gold Cup; US & Mexico favorites
EPL
..etc


Last time I read, European Championship Nations) is the 3rd most watched sporting event in the world after 1. World Cup and 2. Summer Olympics.

Something needs to counter the boredom of baseball.

I have NEVER been this sad before the start of a season...even before the 1-15 debacle.

I hate to say this and my blood burns to put it down but I dont see us going better than 4-12...

4-12

At least if we do better I will be pleasantly surprised we did well instead of disappointed we didnt live up to a great record.

1. OC Dolphin: 10-6
2. Tom: 8-8
3. Mike: 8-8
4. I am Kazaam: 7-9
5. Noel: 8-8
6. Jimbo: 10-6
7. FZB: 9-7
8. the shadow knows: 9-7
9. Mike1: 10-6
10. raoul duke: 6-10
11. john: 4-12 (ouch!)

gehrig
gehrig

Greg we know your liberal and the Pastor in Gainesville is a bit over the top,but where is your blog about abuses of Christians Jews and other Muslims by Saudi Arabia and many other Muslim countries aroung the world. While burning Korans isnt very pastorly it isnt going to make a big difference . They knocked down the World Trade Center you moron.

I agree with sabrose - we're in the middle of a holy war and everyone who practices Islam is clearly responsible for destroying the world trade center.

From now on every blog that mentions a controversy in America should have to mention in detail how terrible it is to live in the middle east and if they don't I'm going to write angry posts.

Well, I’m back now that football season is upon us, could not put up with a lot of the BS Cote was putting on here. I’m always optimistic at the start of each season, so here’s my prediction this year 11-5. I like a lot of the changes that were made and really believe these players can gel into a good team.

Don’t think putting a Mosque at Ground Zero is appropriate, it’s a slap in the face to all Americans and especially the families of the 9-11 victims.

As far as the Preacher in Florida who plans on the Koran burning, it’s not against the law and I’ve watched TV news broadcasts of Muslims overseas doing what I believe to be much worse.

Let the stone throwing begin at my statements but I’m tired of political correctness.

Political correctness means stifling your expression because you don't want to offend anyone.

If you were tired of political correctness, you wouldn't be upset about American muslims building a mosque near the ground zero site.

Kazaam, never said if I was upset about it or not, only gave MY opinion that I believe it's inappropriate. We will see the true values and reasoning behind this particular group wanting to build the Mosque at this location soon. News reports this morning say that Donald Trump has made an offer to purchase the site from this group for 25% more than they paid for it two years ago, with questionable money I might add. There is a lot more involved in this than I think you are capable of understanding.

Let me just add that on the same news broadcast that it was stated about Donald Trumps offer, several minutes later they showed video of an American Flag burning in the streets, I find this just as offensive as the possible Kuran burning that is being planned, yet I see no threats of violence for this incident, perhaps I was wrong in calling it political correctness it's more like double standards.

Why is this story being buried? What was he doing with 19 vials of steriods? Roiding up the baseball team? hmmm...

UM Baseball Player Arrested possesing Steriods:

After a search of Ratcliff’s apartment, 5471 SW 78th St. #D, three bags of marijuana, containing a total of 101 grams, and 19 vials of steroids (hygetropin – human growth hormone) were found, police reported.

Shark 74:
Couldn't have said it better.
The same news media and polititians here that make a big deal out of some small time preacher burning Koran's don't seem to have a problem with flag burning and far worse.
I fear our country is being sold out.

Fins 9-7 wildcard offense is better, defense is not improved much gotten younger obviously,not better till next yr when these young guys figure it out.
Go DOLPHINS whup up on the bills!!!!!!!!!

Parcells grades out as a C.

Why?

#1 reason is he's a great coach and he refuses to coach. Hiring Parcells means you're stuck with a mediocre puppet for a coach instead of a Cowher like pro. And it's on the sidelines where we need the most help.

#2 He's okay as a front office guy. That's why he scores as high as he did. He makes some good decisions and some bad decisions but his personnel prowess does not make up for the lack of coaching a team automatically gets when he's added to the organization. See #1 above.

#3 I am tired of hearing about how much better we are now than when he took over. He took over for a 1-15 team from a guy who never should have been hired. I could have improved on that. Basically, this team is in the same situation we were when Wannstedt left. And what does that say?

8-8.

jets- 8-8.

6-10

AFC EAST

Miami 10-6
Patriots 9-7
Jets 7-9
Bills 4-12

Predicting Packers will beat Ravens in Super Bowl

just wondering if there are any other Dolphins fan on this blog site....??

SHARK 74- Hi & welcome back.

I think when Merc "paid" to have a voodoo curse put on Fins just prior to the '74 "Sea of Hands" game against DUH Raiders he f***ed the team for good. Maybe he didn't expect it would reach so far into the future...

Just because you're not delusionally optimistic doesn't mean you're not a fan.

Hope for the best, but don't expect it out of this years squad.

1. OC Dolphin: 10-6
2. Tom: 8-8
3. Mike: 8-8
4. I am Kazaam: 7-9
5. Noel: 8-8
6. Jimbo: 10-6
7. FZB: 9-7
8. the shadow knows: 9-7
9. Mike1: 10-6
10. raoul duke: 6-10
11. john: 4-12
12. Shark74: 11-5 (welcome back & how's the Vet doing?)
13. Andy: 9-7 ( welcome back too!)
14. Naples Jack Pats fan: 8-8 (Naples, our favorite beaner)
15. Iron Mike T: 6-10 (Kid D! didn't you already register your take?)

Speaking of T, we have "T" minus 36 hours and some 40 minutes left before season's start. GREG COTE!!!! What say you? Are you embracing that 7-9 prediction, as gauged by your recent article?

duke, I too fear the same. I can tell you I have followed this team since 71. If Peterson comes here I will not follow them until he leaves. The man is clueless regardless of what Ross thinks of him. I can almost guarantee that if that happens we will be the Marlins of the NFL. Afraid to spend money on talent.

If Peterson does come aboard as VP of Football operations - Parcells old job,,,, does he bring Marty Shottenheimer with him?? Marty might be an improvement over Sparano.. As long as it isn't Herman Edwards..

A book burning threat from a 50 member nothing church, led by a nobody and not supported by the vast maojority of Americans..and what follows? flag burnings, bible burnings, "death to America chants", more killing potential. Americans are now held hostage in fear, that an individual..radical or not..can't perform his free right.

It's scarey prospect Jimbo with King Carl anywhere near Dolphins. Why couldn't we get multi-billionaire owner with deep pockets and knowledge of real personnel talent. OC in addition to Danny Thomas's bones being dug up and spread around Dolphin Stadium they should dig up Joe Thomas's bones and stick one of them in Ross's yap. Dave Thomas's bones could be dug up for some Wendy's hamburgers when he finally dies..

Mike I agree. I love the Dolphins but I'm not a goddamn masochist. I've gone too many years watch a team that has been habitually inept. I know sounds like fair weather fan but it's sort of like watching the news. I can only take a little at a time because it's so depressing. It is dawning on me what made Marino years so special despite not being a complete team. At least they were competitive & entertaining to watch.

meant "watching a team."

So the tuna quits again!!! Suprise-Suprise-Suprise. It has been tne guys MO, for the last 10yrs. I think the fact nobody claimed pat white is telling. He signed today to play baseball for KC Royals.

No surprise Parcells left NaplesJack. What is surprising, though I don't know why it should be, is the lack of a real success oriented foundation in place. Ireland and Sparano are highly questionable at their respective jobs and King Carl is waiting in the wings to further muck up the Dolphins for years to come.

They probably could have gotten Pat White as a walk on free agent. Pat White makes one as sad as when the "The Really Terrific Ginn Jr Family" was in town.

NaplesJack & Duke-

I'm not at all let down by The Tuna's decision. The team is much, much better off then 3 yrs ago & is young and physical.

Pat White- didn't like the team picking him up from the get-go,, go back into the archives, I thought White was practice squad material at best.
Pat White will not be a player for the Royals--MLB's version of the Dirtroit Lions. He is way down in single A ball as a prospect. Bo Jackson he ain't neither is he Michael Jordan or Deon Sanders baseball talented (the former 2 sucked)

Hey at least we have JLo, Mark Anthony, Jimmy Buffet, at least one of the Williams sisters and whoever else famous to distract us from watching Fins get embarrassed on the field. Terrific idea Mr Ross. I love watching Marc Anthony & friends, in their luxury box seats, do the rumba with champagne glasses in hand regardless of the score.

Jimbo I wish I could be as optimistic as you. It will be very interesting to see Fins against more formidable foes than the Bills. Plus this team was 1-15 four(?)years ago so there was no where to really go but up and they did winning division the following year. Amazing feat despite easy schedule. However, I haven't been this skeptical of Fins since 1-15 season. Not that I expect 1-15 performance this year. I just don't get a feeling the Fins are a solid, hard-nosed football team and their future seems highly dubious.

Hey Jimbo maybe I just need a gooddamn Prozac to improve my perspective. Couldn't hurt...

"gooddamn" huh. Well I don't think I need to fix my blasphemy. At least I never use capitals when typing goddamn whoops!

Now if Ross could lure let say Pioli as a GM or convince Jimmy Johnson to put his Mai Tai down and his shirt back on he is a great evaluater of talent and would probably make great GM. Coach? The guy with the lisp Cowher only won one SB BARELY and was with Steelers for 10+ years. Not real impressive. Marty Shottenheimer has been perpetual also ran. Don't have alot of confidence in him. But who else is out there? I haven't a clue.

r. duke, I agree the Marino years were entertaining. never before or after had I seen both a 1 yd and 99 yd INT return for a TD in one game. the telegraphed, slow motion hand-offs were serious comedy. best yet, was watching the least mobile QB of all time. Even Earl Morrall, at 38, ran some 30 yds for a TD to come back from behind and beats the Jets.

Earl Morrall running 30 yards lol. Yes Marino had some awful throws.

Really mike1 that was not a great team by any standards. It was a sieve.

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