September 21, 2018

Why Dolphins will beat Raiders and the rest of our NFL Week 3 predictions; plus near-exacto on Browns-Jets starts the new week off right & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 21. Football's back meaning it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Herald NFL Week 2 QB Rankings, Pix 'n Fantasy results, Cote's State of the State, Marlins Man, the real FitzMagic & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Personal update: As many know from following me on Twitter and social media, I had recent thoracic surgery to remove a tumor from my chest and am now in recovery mode. I'm on pain medication and on rest and no-drive orders this week. That is why I've cut back on a bunch of stuff such as a temporary reduction in Herald workload, no LeBatard Show and so forth. Thanks for the understanding. Expect to be back at full workload starting Monday.

Most recent columns: On D.Wade's decision, Dolphins running game: Dwyane Wade (unsurprisingly) decided on one more season with the Heat. I explored the delay in his decision, why it wasn't bad and what Wade would do: Give Dwyane Time And He'll Make Right Call. And: Ryan Tannehill is better when he throws less, and running more leads to Dolphins success. Enter Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore: Why Drake/Gore Will Work, And Why That's Crucial to Fins.

PicksUPSET BIRD DAY IN AMERICA!: DOLPHINS-RAIDERS AND ALL THE REST OF OUR NFL WEEK 3 PICKS: The Dolphins are going to defend The Rock and beat the Raiders here Sunday to forge a 3-0 start for only the fourth time since 1998. I explain why at the top of my latest NFL predictions. They include my Game of the Week, Upset of the Week ("Aaawwwk!") and all of the rest. Our 28th season of Friday NFL picks (online Thursdays) is off to a solid start. We were a stout 20-10-1 overall and more importantly a strong 19-12-1 against the spread entering Week 3. Now let's keep it going! Dive into Week 3 Gems for all of my latest picks. (Included within is a separate link to Thursday night's Jets-Browns pick, or find it directly at Week 3 Thursday Gem. Got off to another win-win start to our new week. Thank you, Baker Mayfield!) Pictured at right, our "How the Darts Landed" shield, the bull's-eye representing the height of giddy optimism.

Other select recent columns: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth ItSoft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QBNFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 20, 2018

Herald NFL QB rankings though Week 2: A new No. 1, and why Dolphins' Tannehill improved yet drops in chart; plus tonight's Jets-Browns pick, 'FitzMagic,' Marlins Man, NFL Week 2 Pix 'n Fantasy results (Lobos!), Cote's State of the State rankings & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 20. Results are complete in the latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll (and they are sizzlin'!) Scroll to the previous blogpost or find them directly HERE. 2) Football's back meaning it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins win at Jets with DSM poll & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Personal news: As many know from following me on Twitter and social media, I had my thoracic surgery to remove a tumor from my chest and am now in recovery mode. I'm on pain medication and on rest and no-drive orders all this week. That is why I'm cutting back on a bunch of stuff such as a temporary reduction in Herald workload and no LeBatard Show Tuesday. Thanks for the understanding.

Tonight's Jets-Browns pick: Could be a no-lose for Dolphins fans tonight. Y'all might either get to see the Browns' first regular-season win in 21 months, or see the Stinkin' Jets lose. Again. For tonight: Week 3 Thursday Gem.

Most recent columns: On D.Wade's decision, Dolphins running game: Dwyane Wade (unsurprisingly) has decided on one more season with the Heat. I explored the delay in his decision, why it wasn't bad and what Wade would do: Give Dwyane Time And He'll Make Right Call. And: Ryan Tannehill is better when he throws less, and running more leads to Dolphins success. Enter Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore: Why Drake/Gore Will Work, And Why That's Crucial to Fins.

Marlinsman FitzmagicAND IN TODAY'S EDITION OF DUELING RIDICULOUS MIAMI SPORTS STORIES...: Marlins Man ends feud and returns to good graces with ballclub vs. Dolphins rookie Minkah Ftzpatrick files trademark application for phrase "FitzMagic" even though Bucs QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is already called that.

 

MahomesMAHOMES SWEET 'HOMES! / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 2: Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes (pictured) wins Week 2 while the Bucs' Ryan Fitzpatrick nudges ahead of Saint Drew Brees for the overall season lead in the Herald's latest NFL QB Rankings entering Week 3. This is the Miami Herald's 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL quarterback rankings. Dolphin Ryan Tannehill improved in Week 2 yet falls four spots to 17th. That's because it was a higher scoring week in which several QBs improved by even more. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. (Exact formula detailed below). Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. Here we go!
 
MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 2
RK    LW    Player, Team                        WK2            Season

1       2       Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB             55.10          106.95

2       1       Drew Brees, NO                    44.15          104.10

3       10     Patrick Mahomes, KC             57.30           90.10

4       3       Philip Rivers, LAC                 45.80            90.00

5       14     Kirk Cousins, MIN                  54.75            81.95

6       6       Aaron Rodgers, GB                37.55           75.85

7       9       Andy Dalton, CIN                  36.25           70.40

8       8       Alex Smith, WAS                   34.60           70.35

9       5       Joe Flacco, BAL                    27.80           69.60

10     4       Andrew Luck, IND                 24.95            68.90

11     7       Tom Brady, NE                      30.70            68.55

12     20     Ben Roethlisberger, PIT         49.60            67.85

13     16     Derek Carr, OAK                    43.40            67.55

14     15     Jared Goff, LAR                    38.70            64.35

15     18     Cam Newton, CAR                 41.75            62.80

17     13     Ryan Tannehill, MIA               30.40           58.90

        Bubble: Blake Bortles, JAC, 62.65. Week 2 best: Mahomes, KC, 57.30 (23-28, 326, 6-0 in win). Week 2 worst: Sam Bradford, ARI, 8.50 (17-27, 90, 0-1 in loss).

        Herald PASS Championships: 7—Brees (2008-11, '14-16); 6—Peyton Manning (2000, '03-04, '06, '12-13); 2—Kurt Warner (1999, '01) and Tom Brady (2007, '17); 1 each—Steve Young (1998), Rich Gannon (2002) and Carson Palmer (2005).

        Points formula: Accuracy—Completions times two minus attempts. Ex: 17 for 28 = 6 points. Yardage—Five percent of total. Ex: 202 yards = 10.10 points. TD-interception ratio—Difference times three. Ex: Four TDs and one pick = 9 points. Team result—Winning QB of record = 5 points.

Picks LobosNFL WEEK 2 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: GOOD AND GOOD ... AGAIN!: Every Tuesday in the blog I update you on how I did the just-past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and with my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. The latest: Herald picks: Another solid week! Went 10-5-1 overall again (Vikings-Packers tied) and went a stout 9-7 against the spread, including outright upset calls on Dolphins over Jets and Titans over Texans, plus 'dog Chiefs and Lions with points. Greg's Lobos: The mighty Lobos are now 2-0 with a 134.7-90 rout of Sarah Spain. Consistent scoring described the day, with Deshaun Watson, Tyreek Hill, Zach Ertz and DeShaun Jackson all tallying in the 20-23 point range. Still being held hostage by the Le'Veon Bell mess, but surviving the mess nicely thus far.

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday I rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The latest: 1. UCF (2-0); 2. Miami (2-1); 3. South Florida (3-0); 4. Florida (2-1); 5. FAU (2-1); 6. FIU (2-1); 7. Florida State (1-2).

Other select recent columns: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth ItSoft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QBNFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 18, 2018

Dolfan Satisfaction Meter: 93.4%; plus Fins win 20-12 at Jets as Tannehill outduels Darnold; also, welcome back D.Wade, personal news update & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 18. Football's back meaning it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Hurricanes win at Toledo with CSM poll and other state Collball, NFL Week 2 picks, Bachelor Dan gets engaged & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Personal news: As many know from Twitter and social media, I had my thoracic surgery to remove a tumor from my chest. It went well. I am grateful. But I'll be on pain medication and on rest and no-drive orders all this week. That is why I'm cutting back on a bunch of stuff such as Hot Button Top 10 skipping a week, and no LeBatard Show today. Thanks for the understanding.

Newest columns: On D.Wade's decision, Dolphins running game: Dwyane Wade (unsurprisingly) has decided on one more season with the Heat. I explored the delay in his decision, why it isn't bad and what Wade would do: Give Dwyane Time And He'll Make Right Call. And: Ryan Tannehill is better when he throws less, and running more leads to Dolphins success. Enter Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore. To read: Why Drake/Gore Will Work, And Why That's Crucial to Fins.

DsmDOLFAN SATISFACTION METER: G2: 93.4%: Results are certified in the latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll, and they show 93.4 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Sunday's 20-12 victory at the New York Jets putting Miami's season record at 2-0. The DSM is a continuous weekly gauge of how Dolfans are feeling about the team and its direction. Right after each game I invite you to share your overall degree of satisfaction. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest fans consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, season as a whole, direction the club is heading and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 10 a.m. today/Tuesday. (The DSM vote on our Twitter feed @gregcote was 80%).

2018 DSM game-by-game results

G1: 86.8% following 27-20 victory vs. Tennessee.

G2: 93.4% following 20-12 victory at N.Y. Jets.

Next poll: Sept. 23 following game vs. Oakland.

G2: DOLPHINS (2-0) BEAT NEW YORK JETS (1-1), 20-12: WERE YOU READY FOR AN UPSET? WE CALLED IT!: Can I get an “Aaawwwk!”? This isn’t our Upset of the Week of record for NFL Week 2, but the Upset MianyjBird nevertheless will be circling the Meadowlands vulture-like on Sunday afternoon, eyeing the Jets as carrion splayed roadside. I know NYJ rang up the Lions 48-17 last week and that Sam Darnold evidently is the greatest thing since whatever is greater than sliced bread. (Knowing all of Detroit’s offensive plays, supposedly, had to have helped). But I thought Miami’s win over Tennessee was just as impressive if not by margin. It was impressive for the grit to overcome two long lightning delays, and also for the unexpected big-play strikes. Ryan Tannehill has struggled vs. the Planes — 4-5 record, only 10-9 on TDs/picks, 72.0 rating — but he’s better than he has been and has superior offensive weapons to those of Darnold, especially if DeVante Parker plays as it seemed he likely would. Miami also presents to the rookie QB a defense much better than Detroit’s. The result? Upset! Will you join me Fireman Ed? On my count, please: “A-A-W-K — “Aawk!” My pick: Dolphins, 31-27. [Visit Week 2 Gems for all of our latest NFL predix].

Other select recent columns: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth ItSoft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QBNFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 17, 2018

Canesfan Satisfaction Meter: 76.7%; plus No. 21 Hurricanes ride Rosier's 5 TDs at Toledo, NFL Week 2 picks, Bachelor Dan gets engaged & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 15. Football's back meaning it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 2) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Herald debuts weekly NFL QB rankings, Week 1 Pix 'n Fantasy results, Cote's State of the State rankings, new Back In My Day video & more. 3) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Newest columns: On D.Wade's decision, Dolphins running game: Dwyane Wade is taking longer than most (including Pat Riley) would like to make his Heat-or-retire decision. I explore the delay, why it isn't bad and what Wade will do: Give Dwyane Time And He'll Make Right Call. And: Ryan Tannehill is better when he throws less, and running more leads to Dolphins success. Enter Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore. To read: Why Drake/Gore Will Work, And Why That's Crucial to Fins.

CsmCANESFAN SATISFACTION METER: G3 76.7%: Results are certified in the latest Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll, and they show 76.7 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Saturday's 49-24 road victory at Toledo putting No. 21-ranked Miami's season record at 2-1. The CSM is your invitation after every Canes football game -- no matter the result or opponent -- to vote on your overall satisfaction with the team and season in a continuing weekly gauge of how UM football fans are feeling. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest you consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, the season as a whole, the program's direction and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 10:45 a.m. today/Monday. (You may also vote on my Twitter site @gregcote; the CSM vote there for this game was 62%).

2018 CSM game-by game results

G1: 9.2% following 33-17 loss to LSU.

G2: 73.8% following 77-0 victory vs. Savannah State.

G3: 76.7% following 49-24 victory at Toledo.

Next poll: Sept. 22 following game vs. FIU.

G3: NO. 21 HURRICANES (2-1) WINS AT TOLEDO (1-1), 49-24: Original Post: Guaranteed: Saturday's noon matinee in Ohio will not be nearly the breeze Miami enjoyed Toledo Theuwith last week's 77-0 home rout of woefully overmatched Savannah State. Toledo is an actual competitive team. Smaller than The U. But competitive. Miami is only a 10-point favorite. Toledo's little 26,000-seat stadium will be jammed and this will be a season-maker for them. As Canes coach Mark Richt said: "We'll get everything they've got." His Toledo counterpart John Candle: "I think everybody on our team wanted to play this game on June 1. This is not just another game." Toledo beat VMI 66-3 in its opener and is coming off a craftily positioned bye week. In last year's meeting at Hard Rock the Canes trailed Toledo 16-10 at the half and were only up 38-30 in the middle of the fourth quarter before pulling away to win 52-30. None of this is to suggest Miami should be worried. As Candle put it: "Whoever made that saying up, 'You always get better from Week 1 to Week 2,' didn't have to play the Hurricanes in Week 2." Still, unlike last week, this is not a game where Richt will likely enjoy the luxury of playing all four quarterbacks. Malik Rosier will start and I doubt any other QB will play unless Rosier is struggling. Richt: "Bottom line is we're going to play who we think gives us the best chance of winning. As long as [Rosier] is that, he'll start. If we think someone else gives us a better chance, we'll start that guy." Not exactly a resounding vote of confidence for Malik. This is a game that must not slip away from UM if the Canes are to rebound from that opening loss to LSU and still make this a special season. My pick: Hurricanes, 34-23.

OTHER STATE COLLBALL: There are seven FBS-level college teams in Florida. With Saturday's Miami game previewed above, here's chronological Week 2 schedule (all Saturday) for the rest:

No. 18 UCF (2-0) at North Carolina (0-2), POSTPONED: No game as scheduled on account of Hurricane Florence. Schools are discussing makeup date.

Syracuse (3-0) beats FSU (1-2), 30-7: After barely beating lowly Samford, humbled 'Noles were mere 3-point road faves. Can Willie Taggert survive this?

South Florida (3-0) beats Illinois (2-1), 25-19: Off nice win over Georgia Tech, Bulls should be headed for Top 25 od at least rappin' on the door.

Florida (2-1) beats Colorado State (1-3), 48-10: Gators seem to be finding their a feet after slow start.

FAU (2-1) beats Bethune-Cookman (1-2), 49-28, 6: Fowl Owl on the Prowl! The Lane Train is back on track.  

FIU (2-1) beats UMass (1-3), 63-24: Panthers off nice win at Old Dominion were narrow home faves but showed up big.

Week 3 national Top 25 matchups: No. 12 LSU beats No. 7 Auburn, 22-21; 24-Oklahoma State beats 17-Boise State, 44-21; and 4-Ohio State beats 15-TCU, 40-28.

PicksDOLPHINS-JETS AND ALL THE REST OF OUR NFL WEEK 2 PICKS: The Dolphins are going to go on the road and upset the Jets on Sunday. I explain why at the top of my latest NFL predictions. They include my Game of the Week, Upset of the Week ("Aaawwwk!") and all the rest. Our 28th season of Friday (but online Thursday) NFL picks launched with a bang last week as we rolled a nifty 10-5-1 mark against the spread. That's solid. Strong. Now we need to keep it going. Dive into Week 2 Gems for all my latest picks. (Included there is a separate link to Thursday night's Ravens-Bengals pick). Pictured at right, our "How the Darts Landed" shield, the bull's-eye representing wishful thinking.

DanvalerieBACHELOR DAN FINALLY GETS ENGAGED!: As you may know I broke the news on Thursday of Dan Le Batard's recent engagement to girlfriend Valerie Scheide. Go to Le Batard Headed to the Altar for the controversial full story -- controversial in the sense that I didn't warn Dan I was writing it or get his permission and he was less than pleased at being scooped on his own announcement. (Oops!) I think he'll forgive me. I may have to rethink that if you don't hear me on the air this coming Tuesday. Meantime here is the lovely couple and congrats to them both!  

Other select recent columns: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth ItSoft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QBNFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 13, 2018

On Dwyane Wade's big (and delayed) Heat decision. New column; plus Dolphins' Tannehill makes Top 15 in Herald NFL QB rank debut, tonight's Ravens-Bengals pick, latest Back In My Day, Week 1 Pix 'n Fantasy results, Cote's State of the State ranking & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

Never1) It's THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 13. There are some thing we never forget. Hope you took a moment to reflect this week, but not just on 9/11. 2) Scroll to our previous blogpost or get there directly HERE for the Dolfan Satisfaction Meter season-debut results. They're strong! 3) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 4) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins win lightning-delayed season opener with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 5) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Tonight's Week 2 NFL Thursday pick: Bengals are mere 1-point home favorites over Ravens this week in a Thursday night matchup that should interest Dolfans. For my pick: Thursday Gem.

DwadeNEW COLUMN: ON DWYANE WADE'S BIG DECISION: The Heat venerable No. 3 is about to decide (or to reveal) whether he is returning for another NBA season in Miami ... or retiring. Pat Riley has said he hoped for a decision by mid-August. One month later, still no word. What does it mean? Some fans and media have begun to criticize Wade for his delay. That's unjustified, and I explain why in my latest column, which explores the likely what-and-when of Wade's pending decision. While South Florida immerses itself in football, its single most beloved athleteis about to make a decision affecting Miami's only three-time champion pro franchise. For my latest column: On Dwyane Wade's Big Decision.

Most recent other columns: Why Drake/Gore Will Work, And Why That's Crucial to Fins. Also: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth It (on Fins' season-opening win) and Soft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QB (on Hurricanes' home-opening win).

BreesBREES-FITZPATRICK SHOOTOUT LEADS THE WAY! / MIAMI HERALD NFL QB RANKINGS / WEEK 1: You'd think the Saints' Drew Brees would look happier about leading the Herald's NFL QB Rankings after Week 1, but I guess the glum look comes from having lost the game to standings runnerup Ryan Fitzpatrick. This launches the Miami Herald's 21st season of Passer Success System (PASS) NFL quarterback rankings. Dolphins Ryan Tannehill lands a respectable 13th in the initial Top 15. Our formula is simple and unchanged since its inception in 1998, factoring accuracy, yardage, TD-interception ratio and team result. (Exact formula detailed below). Most major ranking systems such as the NFL's and ESPN's are complicated and percentile based, allowing QBs who miss half a season to still win a title, while our system is cumulative, rewarding players who are consistently productive and avoid injury or benching. Here we go!
 
MIAMI HERALD PASS RANKINGS / WEEK 1
RK    '17    Player, Team                    Week 1/Season

1       2       Drew Brees, NO                    59.95

2       34     Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB             51.85

3       6       Philip Rivers, LAC                 44.20

4       NR    Andrew Luck, IND                 43.95

5       13     Joe Flacco, BAL                    41.80

6       26     Aaron Rodgers, GB                38.30

7       1       Tom Brady, NE                      37.85

8       4       Alex Smith, WAS                   35.75

9       18     Andy Dalton, CIN                  34.15

10     50     Patrick Mahomes, KC            32.80

11     7       Case Keenum, DEN               32.45

12     NR    Sam Darnold, NYJ                 28.90

13     NR    Ryan Tannehill, MIA              28.50

14     9       Kirk Cousins, MIN                 27.20

15     11     Jared Goff, LAR                   25.65

        Bubble: Derek Carr, OAK, 24.15. Week 1/season best: Brees, NO, 59.95 (37-45, 439, 3-0 in loss). Week 1/season worst: Nathan Peterman, BUF, minus-12.80 (5-18, 24, 0-2 in loss).
        Herald PASS Championships: 7—Brees (2008-11, '14-16); 6—Peyton Manning (2000, '03-04, '06, '12-13); 2—Kurt Warner (1999, '01) and Tom Brady (2007, '17); 1 each—Steve Young (1998), Rich Gannon (2002) and Carson Palmer (2005).
        Points formula: Accuracy—Completions times two minus attempts. Ex: 17 for 28 = 6 points. Yardage—Five percent of total. Ex: 202 yards = 10.10 points. TD-interception ratio—Difference times three. Ex: Four TDs and one pick = 9 points. Team result—Winning QB of record = 5 points.

ThillNFL WEEK 1 PIX 'N FANTASY RESULTS: GOOD AND GOOD!: Every Tuesday in the blog starting today I'll update you on how I did the just-past weekend with my Miami Herald predictions and Picks Loboswith my LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy team. So let's get it started in here! Herald picks: Solid week!. Went 10-5-1 overall (Steelers-Browns tied) and also a nifty 10-5-1 against the spread (Seahawks-Broncos pushed at 3). Nailed our Upset of the Week with Bengals over Colts ("Aaawwwk!"). Also called mini-upset by Dolphins, had underdog Bears and Jets with the points, and hit a rare Exacto with Patriots' 27-20 win. Greg's Lobos: What a comeback! Trailed deep into Sunday before heroically rallying to trounce Lorenzo 141-121, behind a giant 42 points from Tyreek Hill (pictured). Also got 23 from old Adrian Peterson, a last-minute start for me. I'm one of the millions of fantasy owners being held hostage by the Le'Veon Bell situation. Given that, we survived opening week nicely.

COTE'S STATE OF THE STATE RANKINGS: Each Tuesday starting today I'll rank the state's seven FBS-level college football teams. The kickoff: 1. UCF (2-0); 2. Miami (1-1); 3. South Florida (2-0); 4. Florida (1-1); 5. FAU (1-1); 6. FIU (1-1); 7. Florida State (1-1).

NEW 'BACK IN MY DAY': BINOCULARS!: This debuted on Tuesday's LeBatard Show on ESPN Radio and ESPNews:

Other select recent columns: Don't Bail On Canes Yet, But... NFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownDolphins Must Make Us BelieveFinally, a Chance to Say ThanksNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireGore Back In Miami Is The Perfect End RunDolphins Need a Better Tannehill, Not Just A Healthy OneTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 11, 2018

Dolfan Satisfaction Meter: 86.8%; plus Fins win season opener 27-20 after 2 lightning delays in longest game ever, with my column; also, Hot Button Top 10 (updated) & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 10. Happy birthday to me! 2) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Canes rout Savannah State with CSM poll, other state Week 2 Collball, NFL Week 1 predictions & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Dolphins make a 7-hour wait worthwhile: Four hours of lightning delays, seven hours total and the Dolphins beat Tennessee 27-20 in their season opener. My column from the stadium, on the game it seemed might never end: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth It.

Our column from UM-Savannah State game: For the Hurricanes, more impressive than beating a really bad team 77-0 was Mark Richt playing all four QBs in an understanding he needs better play there -- from Malik Rosier or someone else. My column: Soft Stretch In Schedule Is About Improving At QB. Also, voting is now final in the Game 2 Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll. Click HERE for details.

DsmDOLFAN SATISFACTION METER: G1: 86.8%: Results are certified in the 2018 season-debut of the 11th year of our blog's Dolfan Satisfaction Meter postgame polls, and they show 86.8 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Sunday afternoon-into-evening's twice-lightning delayed 27-20 season-opening home victory over Tennessee. The DSM is a continuous weekly gauge of how Dolfans are feeling about the team and its direction. Right after each game I invite you to share your overall degree of satisfaction. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest fans consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, season as a whole, direction the club is heading and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 7 a.m. today/Tuesday. (The approval rating on Twitter @gregcote was 71%).

Yearly DSM Results: 2017--7.7% (following 6-10 season); 2016--76.2% (10-6/playoff loss); 2015--18.1% (6-10); 2014--2.7% (8-8); 2013--4.2% (8-8); 2012--29.8% (7-9); 2011--34.9% (6-10); 2010--3.8% (7-9); 2009--31.2% (7-9); 2008--96.9% (11-5/playoff loss).

2018 DSM game-by-game results

G1: 86.8% following 27-20 victory vs. Tennessee.

Next poll: Sept. 16 following game at N.Y. Jets.

TenmiaG1: DOLPHINS 27, TENNESSEE 17: TWO LIGHTNING DELAYS LATER, MIAMI WINS SEASON OPENER: My column from the game: Somehow, Dolphins Make A 7-Hour Wait Worth It ..... Original post: One year ago, Miami’s season-opening home game was postponed by a hurricane. One year later, the only strong winds affecting this game are emanating from blowhard football media insisting how lousy the Dolphins will be. That Miami is a slight home underdog here on Sunday says much about the low outside expectations. Tennessee, after all, is a team the Fins’ own size, a middling bunch despite somehow getting into the playoffs last season (a mirage unlikely to be repeated under first-year coach Mike Vrabel). Mistake-prone Titans QB Marcus Mariota is in a new Rams-like offense, except notably without anything close to the Rams’ talent. This, plainly, is one of those teetering, winnable games Miami must win if it is to surprise the many skeptics and hang in as a playoff contender. I’m not claiming the Fins enjoy a home-field advantage that’s anything special — the cheapest aftermarket tickets for this game are priced second-lowest ($26) in the league in Week 1 -- but there will be some home bounce. More than that, I think Ryan Tannehill, beginning his comeback season for real, is better than Mariota. I think Kenyan Drake and a judiciously deployed Frank Gore could be a very interesting, successful running back tandem. And I believe the Dolphins in general are better than the doomsaying I have been hearing so much of the offseason. So, technically, if barely: Upset! My pick: Dolphins, 20-17.

[Visit Week 1 Gems for all of our NFL Kickoff Weekend predictions].

HOT BUTTON TOP 10 (UPDATED): WHAT SOUTH FLORIDA SPORTS FANS ARE TALKING ABOUT: Our blog-exclusive every-Sunday feature, updated Mondays, is part week-in-review, part look-ahead. Hot Button means what's on our minds, locally and nationally, from a Miami perspective, as the sports week just past pivots to the week ahead. This week's HB10:

Hotbutton1. DOLPHINS: Miami wins opener in (seriously) the longest game EVER: Miami beat Tennessee 27-20. It was a four-quarter game. It started at 1 p.m. It ended just past 7. There were two lightning delays totaling four hours. The Ming Dynasty didn't last as long as this game. "I'm ready to go home," sad coach Adam Gase afterward. Weren't we all!

2. HURRICANES: No amends for opening loss, but UM cruises at home: Well, 77-0 over Savannah State says more about the sorry state of the sad foe than about Miami, but it was an uplifting win after that massive buzzkill against LSU. Mark Richt trotted out all four QBs. Message to Malik Rosier: Be better.

3. TENNIS: Serena falls in controversial U.S. Open final: Serena Williams fell 6-2, 6-4 in the women's U.S. Open final to Japan's young Naomi Osaka, in a controversy-filled match that saw Serena call the chair umpire a thief and later accuse him of sexism. Among Serena's many strengths, losing gracefully has not always been one. Novak Djokovic beat Juan Martin Del Potro and elevated the decorum in the men's final.

4. HEAT: Haslem signs, but still waiting on D.Wade: With the start of training camp looming, Heat Lifer Udonis Haslem unsurprisingly agreed to re-up for a 16th season, signing a 1-year, $2.4 million deal. Only one of 20 roster sports remains open. What'll it be, No. 3? A farewell year? Or retirement? Says here Dwyane Wade will gift Miami with one more year. And should.

5. FIU: Panthers rally to win after two players shot, wounded: FIU rallied to win at Old Dominion 28-20 last night, two days after two Panthers players -- top RB Antonio Jones and OL Mershawn Miller -- were shot in a drive-by shooting in Opa-locka, a calamity for the families involved and also the last thing coach Butch Davis could possibly need. Jones' wounds are more serious but said to be non-life threatening.

6. SEMINOLES: FSU escapes colossal embarrassment: May we understate that Tallahassee isn't real sure about new coach Willie Taggert at the moment? After big loss in opener, FSU last night barely prevailed over lowly Samford 36-26, rallying to narrowly escape what would have been a monumental embarrassment.

7. SOCCER: Miami MLS team unveils name and shield: The full name is Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami, but it's Inter Miami for short. Shield colors are black and (you heard right) pink, owing to the appearance of two flamingos on the crest. David Beckham's Miami Flamingos (?) open play in Major League Soccer in 2020.

8. MARLINS: Fish on long road trip as they play out string: Miami continues on its 10-game road trip. The only consolation and goals left in this fire sale rebuilding season is whether the Marlins can finish above .400 and not lose 100 games. Currently it's a .394 winning percentage and a loss pace of 98.2. On the bright side, young Sandy Alcantara has been terrific in two starts.

9. GATORS: Ouch. Florida falls in Swamp to Kentucky: The Gator was ranked No. 25 and a 14-point home favorite. So long, poll ranking! It was nice knowin' ya for a minute. 

10. COLIN KAEPERNICK: Nike backs him in bold new ad campaign: Nike, a major business partner of the NFL's, makes blackballed Colin Kaepernick the centerpiece of its new ad campaign that debuted on Thursday Night Football. Trump hated it. Nike stock soared.

Missing the HB10 cut: It's NFL Kickoff Weekend and all I care about is that I gambled and drafted Le'Veon Bell and now I and millions of other fantasyheads are held hostage to his whim ..... Barcelona hopes to play a Spanish league match vs. Girona in January at Hard Rock. If they pack Lionel Messi for the trip, I'm watching ..... Lane Kiffin and FAU beat Air Force. When will Trump's Space Force have a football team? ..... The Seattle vs. Washington WNBA Finals are underway and I can name one player from each team (Sue Bird, Elena Delle Donna) which means my WNBA knowledge is likely greater than your's ..... Tiger Woods. There. Your latest Tiger update ..... Answer: "Steve Nash, Ray Allen and Jason Kidd led a field of 13 new inductees into the Basketball Hall of Fame." Question: "What makes you say the Basketball Hall of Fame lets in too many people?" ..... Headlines I Never Thought I'd See (one in a series): 'Tigers Announcers in Physical Altercation After Disagreement Over Chair' ..... Kevin Garnett is suing an accountant for $77 million in lost month. Um, a little slow to notice there were you KG? ..... R.I.P., Burt Reynolds, 82, former FSU running back who, apparently, also was a successful actor ..... Update. Countdown now 2,843 days (give or take) until Miami hosts its first match in the 2026 World Cup.

Other select recent columns: Don't Bail On Canes Yet, But... NFL 2018 Team RankingsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownDolphins Must Make Us BelieveFinally, a Chance to Say ThanksNFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireGore Back In Miami Is The Perfect End RunDolphins Need a Better Tannehill, Not Just A Healthy OneTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The ShadesSoccer Stadium Progress, But Much Work LeftReasons For Hope As Jeter Plan Takes RootTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 09, 2018

Canesfan Satisfaction Meter (G2): 73.8%; plus UM routs Savannah State 77-0 as all 4 QBs play in home opener, with my game column; also, rest of state Collbal, NFL Week 1 picks, R.I.P. Burt, farewell Elton & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

Ejohn1) It's SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 9. Elton John kicked off his three-year farewell tour last night. Elton's farewell tour will last longer than most others' entire music careers. 2) R.I.P., Burt Reynolds, gone at 82. Saw him as Vic Edwards in "The Last Movie Star" last year. A real actor. Forget the cheeky "Smokey and the Bandit" stuff. Check out the serious roles. He'll be missed. Also was an FSU running back in the '50s. 3) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 4) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): LeBatard Show/League Of Lobos fantasy draft poll and results, MLS Miami gets name and logo, latest Back In My Day & more. 5) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

NEW: Tonight began soft stretch in Canes schedule that's all about the quarterback: Don't be overly impressed with Saturday's 77-0 UM win, considering the utterly outmanned opponent. Be more impressed that coach Mark Richt played all four quarterbacks in a newly introduced effort to find a better Malik Rosier ... or his replacement. That's my new column. To read it: Canes Need Better QB; Auditions Underway. Other most recent columns: Don't Bail On Canes Yet, But... and NFL 2018 Team Rankings.

CANESFAN SATISFACTION METER: G2: 73.8%: Results are certified in the latest Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll, and they show 73.8 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of 1aa1csmSaturday night's 77-0 home victory over Savannah State putting No. 22-ranked Miami's season record at 1-1. The CSM is your invitation after every Canes football game -- no matter the result or opponent -- to vote on your overall satisfaction with the team and season in a continuing weekly gauge of how UM football fans are feeling. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest you consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, the season as a whole, the program's direction and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 9 a.m. today/Monday. (You may also vote on my Twitter site @gregcote; the unofficial approval there was 40%).  

2018 CSM game-by game results

G1: 9.2% following 33-17 loss to LSU.

G2: 73.8% following 77-0 victory vs. Savannah State.

Next poll: Sept. 15 following game at Toledo.

SavumG2: NO. 22 HURRICANES (1-1) 77, SAVANNAH STATE (0-2) 0: A PAUSE TO CORRECT THE FLAWS AS ALL FOUR QBS PLAY: For my column from the stadium off Saturday's UM home opener: Canes Need Better QB; Auditions Underway ..... Original post: Here are two teams that could play, "Who's Coming Off the Worse Loss?" Savannah State, a second-tier FCS-level school, lost 52-0 to Alabama-Birmingham. But Miami's loss, given the stage and stakes, was worse: the 33-17 neutral-site collapse against LSU that sent the Canes cascading down the charts from a No. 8 national ranking to 22nd. Savannah State can't offer redemption this evening/Saturday at 6 p.m. at Hard Rock, but it is a chance for UM to get a little bit of feelgood back after a deflating opener. With the game off the betting boards because of its expected lopsidedness, it would be a bit concerning if Miami didn't cruise by a margin of at least 40 or 50 points. College coaches have it easy. Unlike in the NFL there are games like this one where winning is not a question, so you have the luxury to just flex your roster, tinker with what needs tinkering and not worry the least about the opponent or final score. In this case quarterback play will be under the microscope for coach Mark Richt, with starter Malik Rosier coming off an inaccurate opener that included a pick-six, and with at least two younger QBs expected to see action along with Rosier. The enthusiasm for this Hurricanes season took a huge hit with the opening-week loss. You don't get it back against an opponent like this one. But an impressive rebound win is a necessary first step. My prediction: Hurricanes, 62-3.

OTHER STATE COLLBALL: There are seven FBS-level college teams in Florida. With Saturday's Miami game previewed above, here's chronological Week 2 schedule (all Saturday) for the rest:

South Florida (2-0) defeats Georgia Tech (1-1), 49-38: Bulls had no problem with a small opening opponent (Elon) but now took a  big step up in competition with slightly favored Ga-Tech. And delivered.

FAU (1-1) defeats Air Force (1-1), 33-27: Lane Kiffin got spanked at Oklahoma in a 49-point loss but here was a comfy 9 1/2-point pick in the Owls' home opener.

No. 19 UCF (2-0) defeats South Carolina State (0-2), 38-0: Knights throttled UConn and now got another softy in an off-the-board mismatch. 

FSU (1-1) defeats Samford (1-1), 36-26: Noles tumbled from rankings (19th) after a 24-3 spanking by 20-Virginia Tech that ended new coach Willie Taggert's honeymoon right quick. Now they get to take it out on poor lil' Samford, Bobby Bowden's alma mater. Except they almost lost! Lucky Noles needed a late rally to avoid a monumental embarrassment.

Kentucky (2-0) defeats No. 25 Florida (1-1), 27-16: Gators entered poll, albeit barely, after 53-6 rout of Charleston Southern but their stay will be short-lived after terrible loss as 14-point Swamp favorites.  

FIU (1-1) defeats Old Dominion (0-2), 28-20: FIU opened with 10-point loss to Indiana but was 1-point road fave in this conference game, and neatly rallied from 17 down to win behind James Morgan's three TD passes. Of more gravity, two FIU players -- top RB Antonio Jones and OL Mershawn Miller -- were shot in a drive-by shooting in Opa-locka, a calamity for the families and the last thing coach Butch Davis needed. Miller's wound was minor. Jones' wounds are serious but non-life threatening and Davis said "encouraging reports" suggest a recovery.

Week 2 national Top 25 matchups: The only two: No. 3 Georgia defeats No. 24 South Carolina, 41-17; and 10-Stanford defeats 17-Southern Cal, 17-3.

Picks RtannyWELCOME BACK, UPSET BIRD! OUR NFL WEEK 1 PICKS: Oh lord here come our 28th season of Friday (but online Thursday) NFL picks. When we started this endeavor in 1991 Ryan Tannehill was a 2-year-old toddling around Lubbock, Texas and (if memory serves) Tom Brady was an NFL rookie. All these years later we haven't been fired yet are still at it. For Kickoff Weekend we bring you our picks for Dolphins-Titans, our Game of the Week, our Upset of the Week and more. Dive into Week 1 Gems for the whole package. (It includes a link to last night's Falcons-Eagles pick. Atlanta led much of the way toward our upset call; alas, Philly prevailed late). By the way, the Upset Bird is back. But please follow our picks, anyway. Pictured at right, our "How the Darts Landed" shield. At left, Tannehill is shouting at you, "Hey, read Greg Cote's picks, everybody. But only when he picks us to win!"

Other select recent columns: Canes Have the Hype. Now the Proving StartsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This TownDolphins Must Make Us BelieveFinally, a Chance to Say Thanks (Stanton's return). NFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireGore Back In Miami Is The Perfect End RunDolphins Need a Better Tannehill, Not Just A Healthy OneTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The Shades (death of Tony Sparano). Soccer Stadium Progress, But Much Work LeftReasons For Hope As Jeter Plan Takes RootTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 06, 2018

Verdict in! See how you ranked teams in LeBatard Show/League of Lobos fantasy draft (and you won't believe won won!); plus tonight's Falcons-Eagles pick, MLS/Miami's new name and logo, latest Back In My Day video (Collecting!) & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 6. See the previous blogpost for the result of the season's first Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame poll. It ain't pretty. 2) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Canes fall hard to LSU in opener with CSM poll and results, other State Collball Week 1, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Picks Upsetbird"Aaawwwk!" NFL Friday predix are back! Here's tonight's pick: Our Friday NFL predictions (posted online Thursdays beginning late this afternoon) return starting this week. For tonight's Falcons-Eagles pick: Thursday Night Gem. Pictured: Our Friday picks shield, and an artist rendering of the Upset Bird, the never-photographed raven and trusted prognosticatory sidekick. "Aaawwwk!"

Latest column: Don't bail on Canes yet, but time for UM to remind us why we all thought The U was back: Here's my column off UM's 33-17 season-opening football loss to LSU: Don't Bail On Canes Yet, But... Other recent Canes columns: Canes Have the Hype. Now the Proving StartsCanes Could Go 12-0 and Still Have Mountain to ClimbNow We See How Hurricanes Handle Burden Of ExpectationsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This Town.

Annual NFL team rankings: Dolphins higher than you think: It's NFL Opening Week, here are my annual NFL Team Rankings, and who's No. 1 might surprise you. So might how low the Patriots are ranked and how high the Dolphins are. Check it out, 1 through 32: NFL 2018 Team Rankings.

Wolfmoon TardshowHOW'D I DO? (VERY WELL, THANKS!) HERE'S HOW YOU RANKED THE LEBATARD SHOW'S 'LEAGUE OF LOBOS' FANTASY DRAFT IN A BLIND POLL: The NFL regular season starts Thursday night, so if you haven't done your league's fantasy draft yet, WAKE UP! ESPN's Dan LeBatard Show With Stugotz had its League Of Lobos online draft Tuesday afternoon, a snake draft in a PPR league whose 14 members, alphabetically, are Roy Bellamy, Chris Cote, Greg Cote (that's me!), Amin Elhassan, Domonique Foxworth, Guillermo (Billy) Gil, Mina Kimes, Dan LeBatard, Lorenzo Rodriguez, Mike Ryan, Randy Scott, Sarah Spain, Allyson Turner and Jon (Stugotz) Weiner. In this poll, I listed every team's first four picks, in the draft order, without telling you (until after the vote) who the selector was. So you were ranking the teams 1 through 14 based on which of the first four picks you'd most want to have. Note: A few days ago I Tweeted out my first three picks in my other league, a friends 'n family deal. This is a different league, different draft. By the way, four Dolphins went in our 14-round, 196-player LeBatard Show draft: Kenyan Drake in the 3rd round (31st overall), Kenny Stills in the 8th round (109th), Danny Amendola in the 9th (114th) and DeVante Parker in the 9th (120th). You may still vote below, but we cut it off and made it official right at 1 p.m. after almost 1,000 votes (984) had been counted. Your verdict:

Lobos

 

 

 

 

CHAMPION!: GREG COTE (Team #2 led by Le'Veon Bell)--17.07%.

CONTENDERS: Guillermo "Billy" Gil (#10/Kareem Hunt)--14.23%; Jon "Stugotz" Weiner (#1/Todd Gurley)--13.11%; Chris Cote (#11/Christian McCaffrey)--12.70%.

PRETENDERS: Amin Elhassen (#8/Alvin Kamara)--6.50%; Mina Kimes (#14/Dalvin Cook)--5.18%; Domonique Foxworthy (#12/Leonard Fournette)--4.98%; Sarah Spain (#4/Antonio Brown)--4.78%.

ALSO-RANS: Randy Scott (#7/Ezekiel Elliott)--4.57%; Allyson Turner (#6/DeAndre Hopkins)--4.37%; Roy Bellamy (#5/Saquon Barkley)--4.17%; Dan LeBatard (#13/Julio Jones)--3.66%.

DREGS: Mike Ryan (#9/Odell Beckham)--2.95%; Lorenzo Rodriguez (#3/David Johnson)--1.73%.

Thanks to all who voted! #WeAreTheLobos!

MlsmiamiMLS MIAMI HAS A NAME AND LOGO: What we've been calling "MLS Miami" or "the Miami expansion soccer team fronted by David Beckham" now has a name and a shield/logo/crest. With an announcement this morning, Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami is born. It will begin play in Major League Soccer in 2020 at various sites, and move into its new stadium at the Melreese site (supposedly) in 2021. The new 13-syllable full name does not exactly roll off the tongue but Inter Miami will be the quickie version. The name reflects Miami's diversity. Said managing owner Jorge Mas: "Our city and our fans draw their strength from the dreams of a global population that calls Miami home. It is only fitting that our name pays tribute to the inclusiveness that makes us who we are." The circular crest depicts two tropical birds back to back with the sun behind them, and the Roman numeral MMXX, for 2020. The raised legs suggest the birds are flamingos, and there's an ibis flavor, too. But enough aviary talk. The Miami Flamingos (!) hit the field in about 18 months.

LATEST 'BACK IN MY DAY': COLLECTING!: This debuted on yesterday's LeBatard Show on ESPN Radio. Not my favorite BIMD, but they can't all be, right?

Other select recent columns: Dolphins Must Make Us BelieveFinally, a Chance to Say Thanks (Stanton's return). NFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireGore Back In Miami Is The Perfect End RunDolphins Need a Better Tannehill, Not Just A Healthy OneTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The Shades (death of Tony Sparano). Soccer Stadium Progress, But Much Work LeftReasons For Hope As Jeter Plan Takes RootTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

September 04, 2018

G1: Canesfan Satisfaction Meter: 9.2%: plus Radio Tuesday!, UM drops opener to LSU, 33-17 with my game column, Opening Week for rest of state collball, latest Hot Button Top 10 & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

Labor1) It's TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 4. Hope y'all  had a Happy Labor Day, the date on which we all celebrate work by not working! 2) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): What team owns this town with poll, latest Back In My Day video, your verdict on No. 1 fantasy pick & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Radio Tuesday!: I'm back in-studio today on the Dan LeBatard Show With Stugotz, 9 to 1 on Miami's 790 The Ticket and 10-1 nationally on ESPN Radio and ESPNews. Join us! 

DON'T BAIL ON CANES, BUT TIME FOR MIAMI TO REMIND US WHY WE THOUGHT THE U WAS BACK: NEW COLUMN: To read my column of UM's 33-17 season-opening loss to LSU Sunday night: Don't Bail On Canes Yet, But... Other most recent Canes football columns: Canes Have the Hype. Now the Proving StartsCanes Could Go 12-0 and Still Have Mountain to ClimbNow We See How Hurricanes Handle Burden Of ExpectationsDolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This Town.

Annual NFL team rankings: Dolphins higher than you think: My annual NFL Team Rankings are out, and who's No. 1 might surprise you. So might how low the Patriots are ranked, how high the Dolphins are, and a bunch of other stuff, too. Check it out, 1 through 32: NFL 2018 Team Rankings.

CsmG1: CANESFAN SATISFACTION METER: 9.2%: Results are certified in the season-first Canesfan Satisfaction Meter postgame polls, and they show 9.2 percent overall approval -- the combination of "very" and "somewhat" satisfied votes -- in the wake of Sunday night's season-opening 33-17 Miami Hurricanes loss to LSU in Arlington, Texas. The CSM is your invitation after every Canes football game to vote on your overall satisfaction with the team and season in a continuing weekly gauge of how UM football fans are feeling. Criteria for voting is your own, but I suggest you consider the most recent game's performance and caliber of opponent, the season as a whole, the program's direction and your overall degree of optimism -- all in the context of reasonable expectations. Results are certified official the morning after one full day of voting. In this case that was around 7 a.m. today/Tuesday. (You may also vote on my Twitter site @gregcote).

 

CaneslsuG1: NO. 25 LOUISIANA STATE DEFEATS NO. 8 HURRICANES, 33-17: RUGGED OPENER FOR UM'S SEASON OF HIGH HOPES: Turnover Chain made no appearance and Malik Rosier was pretty bad until a late spurt in Miami's 33-17 loss to LSU. [Find link to my game column above] ..... Original post: Miami opens its much-anticipated season a slim 3 1/2-point favorite over LSU in this nationally televised, neutral-site matchup at the Cowboys stadium in Arlington, Texas. Will LSU fans turn the joint into Death Valley? Or will RichtCanes fans win the crowd? In either case a loss out the gate will feel devastating, while the winner gets to feel like a national contender. Said third-year UM coach Mark Richt: "Until you play somebody, you really don't know. There are no warm-up games here. We will be physically and mentally tested. It will be a gut check." Veteran Canes quarterback Malik Rosier will be expected to outplay LSU transfer Joe Burrow, making his first college start against Miami's havoc-wreaking, Turnover Chain-getting defense. But the Tigers' defense figures to be a big challenge for Rosier, too. I feel like the two team's rankings are accurate, that UM is better all-round, including Richt's coaching edge over Ed Orgeron. And I'll be surprised if that Turnover Chain doesn't change hands at least twice. My prediction: Hurricanes, 24-16.

OTHER STATE COLLBALL WEEK 1: There are seven FBS-level college football teams in Florida. With Sunday's Miami game previewed above, here's Week 1 chronological schedule for the rest:

No. 21 UCF defeats UConn, 56-17: Strong Thursday night debut for self-proclaimed 2017 national champs and new coach Josh Heupel, behind McKenzie Milton's five TD passes. 

No. 7 Oklahoma defeats FAU, 63-14: Sooners, a three-TD home fave, absolutely spanked Lane Kiffin to open his second Owls season, after last year's 11-3 gem.

South Florida defeats Elon, 34-14: Bulls roll comfortably here but will have tough time matching last year's 10-2 season.  

Indiana defeats FIU, 38-28: FIU was a 10-point home underdog and played to the odds as Year 2 began for Butch Davis following progress of last year's 8-5 season.

Florida defeats Charleston Southern, 53-6: Gators with a big Swamp debut for new coach Dan Mullen as Feleipe Franks tosses 5 TD passes.

No. 20 Virginia Tech defeats No. 19 Florida State, 24-3, 8 Monday: Seminoles a 7-point pick as new coach Willie Taggert debuts and Week 1 wraps up.

Week 1 national Top 25 matchups: In addition to Miami-LSU and Virginia Tech-FSU, there was No. 9 Auburn beating No. 6 Washington 21-16, and 12-Notre Dame beating 14-Michigan, 24-17.

HOT BUTTON TOP 10 (UPDATED): WHAT SOUTH FLORIDA SPORTS FANS ARE TALKING ABOUT: Our blog-exclusive every-Sunday feature, updated Mondays, is part week-in-review, part look-ahead. Hot Button means what's on our minds, locally and nationally, from a Miami perspective, as the sports week just past pivots to the week ahead. This week's HB10:

Hotbutton1. HURRICANES: Ouch! UM crushed by LSU tonight as season of high hopes begins: Ready, set ... hype! Hurricanes fans had the swagger back. An ESPN prediction model had UM going 12-0. The College Football Playoff was the goal. All Mark Richt's Canes had to do was not lose Sunday night to keep that buzz going. Instead, a buzz-kill opener: 33-17, LSU.

2. DOLPHINS: Ready or not, Fins, here come the real games: An encouraging 34-7 win in Atlanta closed a 1-3 preseason for Miami, but forget that. All that matters now is the season opener next Sunday here vs. Tennessee. Opposite UM, it's a season of low expectation for the Dolphins. Can they erase the prevailing doubts?

3. GATORS/SEMINOLES: Florida coasts in opener, FSU on deck: Florida began the Dan Mullen era with a 53-6 Swamp rout of Charleston Southern, meaning Mullen ain't done nuthin' yet. Willie Taggert takes his first bow Monday night for No. 19 FSU vs. No. 20 Virginia Tech. Now that's an opener.

4. HEAT: We're still waiting, Mr. Wade: With the first preseason game coming at the end of this month, it might be an opportune time for free agents Dwyane Wade and Udonis Haslem to inform the Heat whether they'll be re-signing with Miami. Wade says it's Heat or retire. We know you'll be back, guys. So say it, already!

5. SOCCER: Miami MLS team to unveil name, colors: A source, whom I prefer to call "a Little Birdie," tells us the Jorge Mas/David Beckham group's Miami Major League Soccer team set to begin play in 2020 will unveil its name, colors and other details this week. Alas, despite my suggestion, they won't be the Miami Lobos.

6. FIU/FAU: Davis, Kiffin both fall in openers: Years 2.0 for FIU's Butch Davis and FAU's Lane Kiffin began with losses Saturday. Panthers fell to Indiana 38-28, after Owls got crushed at No. 7 Oklahoma, 63-14. A little humbling isn't a bad thing, Lane.

7. TENNIS: U.S. Open reaches midpoint: Men's No. 1 seed Rafael Nadal and 17th seeded woman (but favored -- c'mon) Serena Williams are in action today/Sunday as tennis' fourth major of the year. Serena routed sis Venus. Even more impressive: Serena's purple tutu dress.

8. MARLINS: Fish win but continue mired in elongated slump: Miami beat Toronto Saturday as Martin Prado returned from the DL with three RBIs before losing Sunday. Fish are only 8-22 since July 30 as homestand continues. Latest from the 100-Loss Meter: Current pace 64-98. 

9. COLIN KAEPERNICK: His grievance will go to trial: Kaepernick's collusion grievance against the NFL will go to trial, a big legal win for the quarterback blackballed (though not officially!) because he instigated the anthem-kneeling protests now in their third year. His best evidence? Still unemployed! 

10. NFL: It's fantasy draft weekend: Has your league had its fantasy draft yet? Better get to it, with NFL season opening this Thursday night. Only sure bet with fantasy drafts? You'll think your team is a lot better than it really is. Me, too.

Missing the HB10 cut: You know outspoken Jaguars cornerback Jalen Ramsey is doing something right when I can't decide if the NFL needs more players like him or I want him to shut up ..... The national group, People Who Feel Sorry For Urban Meyer is meeting tonight at the Waffle House. Corner booth ..... Just to torment Marlins fans, Giancarlo Stanton became the fifth-fastest to 300 career home runs ..... Marlins released their 2019 spring and regular season schedules. Based on this year -- can't wait!! ..... In the WNBA playoffs, four teams are alive in the conference finals entering Sunday games, and I can't name any of them ..... The Big 3 basketball league crowned a champion, and nobody cared ..... Headlines I Never Imagined Seeing (one in a series): "Usain Bolt Makes Pro Soccer Debut In Australia" ..... Update. Countdown now 2,850 days (give or take) until Miami hosts its first match in the 2026 World Cup.

Other select recent columns: Dolphins Must Make Us BelieveFinally, a Chance to Say Thanks (Stanton's return). NFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireGore Back In Miami Is The Perfect End RunDolphins Need a Better Tannehill, Not Just A Healthy OneTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The Shades (death of Tony Sparano). Soccer Stadium Progress, But Much Work LeftReasons For Hope As Jeter Plan Takes RootTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote

August 31, 2018

PS4: Dolphins 34, at Atlanta 7: Wizard of Os shines, Fins provide some hope as rocky preseason ebbs; plus our 2018 NFL Team Rankings, Hurricanes and burden of expected greatness, your verdict on what team owns this town, Beckham and Uncle Elton & more

GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.

1) It's FRIDAY, AUGUST 31. Farewell, August. You were a trying month of turbulence but, ultimately, of renewed hope. 2) Football's back and that means it's the perfect time to delight the Dolfans in your life with the surprise of our 'Fins At 50' book. Check it out here on Amazon. 3) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): What team owns this town with poll, latest Back In My Day video, your verdict on No. 1 fantasy pick & more. 4) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook and Instagram.

Our annual NFL team rankings: Dolphins higher than you think: My annual NFL Team Rankings are out today, and who's No. 1 might surprise you. So might how low the Patriots are ranked, how high the Dolphins are and a bunch of other stuff, too. Check it out, 1 through 32: NFL 2018 Team Rankings. 

New column: Hurricanes face burden of expected greatness: Reality: No. 8-ranked UM has a chance for a 12-0 regular season when the games begin Sunday night vs. LSU at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Also reality: That might not be good enough. The Canes are close to all the way back -- close enough to see the four-team College Football Playoff as a reasonable goal. But they still must find a way to close the gap on elite powerhouses like Alabama and ACC roadblock Clemson to be all the way back, meaning national-championship good. I explore in my latest column: Canes Could Go 12-0 and Still Have Mountain to Climb.

PS4: DOLPHINS 34, @ ATLANTA 7: WHY THIS ONE WAS A LITTLE BIT IMPORTANT: Miami tonight avoided what would have been only the fourth winless preseason in its history in a game of scrubs on both sides. Notably, Brock (Wizard of Os) Osweiler outplayed David Fales to (likely) secure the backup QB job. The result was largely meaningless, except that it allows the Fins lockerroom and Dolfans a bit of feelgood, a hint of momentum, as the regular season moves in ..... Original post: Fourth and final preseason games mostly are about helping a head coach settle the close calls on roster decisions. MiaatlStarters don't play much, and avoiding injuries is seen as more important than winning. But tonight's PS4 in Atlanta is a bit different for Miami (0-3 in exhibitions) and coach Adam Gase. The Dolphins in 52 seasons have finished a preseason 0-4 only three times (in 1966, 1989 and 2012), and in none of those years did Miami make the playoffs or have a winning record. Small sample size, but it’s pretty clear that if you haven’t found a way to win in August, chances are you won’t find a magic light switch once the real games begin. That, and last week’s dispiriting 27-10 home spanking by Baltimore, means Gase is looking for a positive preseason-closing performance that will give his team (and its fans) something to feel good about. A puff of tailwind as the Sept. 9 season opener vs. Tennessee chugs into view. "We just didn’t have a very good game last week," as Gase put it. "We have to make sure that we play better." The ongoing duel between pessimism and doubt about the Dolphins and reasons to believe is the subject of my new column: Dolphins Must Make Us Believe.

UPOLL RESULT: CANES FOOTBALL 'OWNS THIS TOWN': We ran a poll (you may still vote in preceding blogpost) to accompany this recent column: Dolphins? Heat? Nope. UM Football Owns This Town. Because I wondered if you all agreed. The poll asked, "If you could choose only one, which team currently 'owns this town,' by however you define the term?" Your results: Hurricanes football 56.85 percent, Heat 20.55%, Dolphins 19.18% and "other" 3.42%. These things are cyclical. The same poll five years ago and the Heat likely would have dominated. But right now? It's all about The U!

BecksDAVID BECKHAM AND 'UNCLE ELTON': The face of the new Miami franchise that will begin play in Major League Soccer in 2020, David Beckham, is pictured this week on a yacht in the French Riviera alongside wife Victoria and Elton John, a fellow Brit whom Becks has known for years.  Life is good for the Beckham clan. Do not fret that he is overworking himself. This is the fourth vacation this summer for the Beckhams and their four children: Brooklyn, 19, Romeo, 15, Cruz, 13, and Harper, 7. The French Riviera follows family forays to Croatia, Bali and Montenegro. "Uncle Elton. We have known each other now for 25 years. Fun times with each other," Beckham wrote on his Instagram page.

Other select recent columns: Finally, a Chance to Say Thanks (Stanton's return). NFL Enters Year 3 Of Anthem-Protest QuagmireGore Back In Miami Is The Perfect End RunDolphins Need a Better Tannehill, Not Just A Healthy OneTo The Good-Guy Grinder In The Shades (death of Tony Sparano). Dolphins Results Will Exceed Brutal OffseasonSoccer Stadium Progress, But Much Work LeftReasons For Hope As Jeter Plan Takes RootTime to Flip the Old Narrative On Miami As a Sports TownCan Riley Rescue Heat From Purgatory? When 3 World Cup Legends Were Ours.

Revisit our blog often because we update and add to our latest posts throughout the day.

Twitter @gregcote