Who do you hope will be celebrating World Series title: Cubs or Indians? New poll. Vote now!; plus Joe Public hates the Miami Heat (quantified), new SOPY standings & more
GREG COTE'S RANDOM EVIDENCE BLOG: MIAMI. SPORTS. AND BEYOND.
1) It is MONDAY, OCTOBER 24. Click on 30 Greatest Sports Movies for Rolling Stone's list. 2) A computer simulator I like, makenflplayoffs.com, has the Dolphins playoff chances at 20.8 percent at 3-4. At 1-4, it was 0.7%. 3) Miami Herald's new book on Dolphins' first half century is now available -- just in time for the holidays! Click on Fins At 50 for more info or to order through Amazon. 4) In The Previous Blogpost (ITPB): Dolphins beat Buffalo with DSM poll, Hot Button Top 10 & more. 5) Join us on Twitter @gregcote. Also Facebook, Instagram, Vine, Periscope and Snapchat.
On Cubs-Indians World Series: Cubs seek their first World Series title since 1908 and Indians their first since 1948 -- the two longest championship droughts among the 122 teams in the major Big Four sports. Click on The Perfect World Series for my column.
Dolphins get physical as Ajayi leads way: Click on The 200-Yard Man for my column from Sunday's big Dolphins home win over Buffalo.
DSM voting continues: Voting continues in the latest Dolfan Satisfaction Meter poll. Find it in the blogpost immediately below this new one and vote now.
CUBS-INDIANS: WHO DO YOU HOPE WINS THE 'PERFECT WORLD SERIES'?: I call Cubs-Indians "The Perfect World Series," because it matches the two teams -- of the 122 in the Big Four sports -- whose fans have waited longest to cheer a championship. With Cubs fans it has famously been since 1908, which, someone just told me, was literally before the invention of sliced bread. For Indians fans it has been since 1948. Imagine: Cleveland's near 70-year-old championship means the Indians have won recently, relatively speaking. In a perfect world, they could both win. In the real one, one fandom's misery will end and the others' will continue. Chicago and Cleveland are only about 300 miles apart (closer than Miami to Jacksonville), so this Series has a regional feel as well as an historic one that should make it highly rated nationally as we await Game 1 Tuesday night. Cubs are the betting favorites -- at 10-19 to Cleveland's 17-10, per Bovada -- so the Indians are the literal underdogs even if the Cubs are the historical ones. (We have two Lists below here that both are World Series-related). ESPN's 32-person panel of baseball experts, which sounds like about two dozen experts too many, goes 26-6 for the Cubbies. I'm curious who our readers are rooting for and why. Only one way to find out. Take a dip in our poll and vote.
IT'S OFFICIAL: JOE PUBLIC HATES THE MIAMI HEAT: Former betting darlings in the Big 3 era, the Heat have become the team America is now betting against as the team prepares to open the new season Wednesday night. Our friends at Bovada tell us Miami is attracting the highest percentage of "under" bets in the NBA, meaning bets placed on the team to fall short of the over/under on victories, which for the Heat is around 36. The "under" percentage on Miami is running 88 percent, topping Detroit's 82% and Memphis' 81%. Teams most being bet "over" are Lakers at 92%, Trail Blazers at 90% and Rockets at 87%. In terms of money being bet on who'll win the championship, it's 38.4% on Golden State and 15.6% on Cleveland. Only others over five percent are San Antonio 8.7, Boston 5.3 and Oklahoma City 4.4.
SOPY RANKINGS / 'STATE HEISMAN': BYES WREAK HAVOC AS FLOWERS GROWS LEAD, KAAYA CLIMBS TO 7TH: South Florida QB Quinton Flowers (out of Miami Jackson High) has expanded his season lead in the fifth year of our blog's SOPY rankings --State Offensive Player of the Year. Second place Dalvin Cook, the Florida state running back, has played one fewer game, but even with that factored in, Flowers' lead is huge. Our rankings are cumulative, so players whose team had a bye week take a temporary hit in the rankings that evens out over the course of a season. Our weekly rankings measure the most productive quarterbacks, running backs and receivers for the state's seven FBS teams: Miami, Florida, Florida State, FIU, FAU, UCF and South Florida. The number of games played for each school is listed parenthetically. Our simple formula awards a half-point for every passing yard and one point for every rushing or receiving yard, with six points for every TD scored or thrown. Here is the SOPY Top 10 entering Collball Week 9, followed by our updated 'Cote's State of the State' team rankings:
SOPY TOP 10 AFTER WEEK 8:
RK LW Player, Team-pos. (games) Wk8 Year
1 1 Quinton Flowers, SoFla-qb (8) 201.5 1,741.5
2 2 Dalvin Cook, FSU-rb (7) BYE 1,304
3 3 Deondre Francois, FSU-qb (7) BYE 1,160
4 5 Alex McGough, FIU-qb (8) 153.5 936
5 7 Marlon Mack, SoFla-rb (8) 106 840
6 4 Jason Driskel, FAU-qb (7) BYE 838
7 9 Brad Kaaya, Miami-qb (7) 118.5 821
8 6 Alex Gardner, FIU-rb (8) 66 814
9 8 Mark Walton, Miami-rb (7) 49 756
10 10 Gregory Howell, FAU-rb (7) BYE 700
Bubble: Rodney Adams, SoFla-rec, 659. Other team leaders: McKenzie Milton, UCF-qb, 605 (7); and Luke Del Rio, Florida-qb, 552 (6), Week 8 best: Flowers, 201.5. Season best: Cook, 341, Week 4.
Cote's State of the State team rankings: 1. Florida State (5-2); 2. Florida (5-1); 3. Miami (4-3); 4. South Florida (6-2); 5. UCF (4-3); 6. FIU (3-5); 7. FAU (1-6).
THE LIST I: CHAMPIONSHIP DROUGHTS: The five longest ongoing championship droughts in each of the Big Four sports. Teams whose fans have waited the most years to cheer another or a first championship:
MLB: Cubs 108 years, Indians 68, Astros 55, Padres 48, Brewers 47.
NFL: Lions 59 years, Eagles 55, Vikings 55, Browns 52, Chargers 52.
NBA: Nuggets 49 years, Hawks 48, Suns 48, Bucks 45, Knicks/Pacers 43.
NHL: Maple Leafs 48 years, Blues 47, Canucks 45, Sabres 45, Capitals 41.
SOUTH FLORIDA: Dolphins 42 years, Panthers 22, Marlins 13, Heat 3.
Note: Dolphins' wait is only 11th-longest in NFL.
THE LIST II: CUBS/INDIANS TITLE DROUGHTS: Times both teams have been in a World Series since last winning one:
Cubs, since 1908
Year Opponent Result Cubs HR leader
1945 Detroit Tigers L4-3 Bill Nicholson, 13
1938 New York Yankees L4-0 Ripper Collins, 13
1935 Detroit Tigers L4-2 Chuck Klein, 21
1932 New York Yankees L4-0 Johnny Moore, 13
1929 Philadelphia A's L4-1 Rogers Hornsby/Hack Wilson, 39
1918 Boston Red Sox L4-2 Max Flack, 4
1910 Philadelphia A's L4-1 Frank Schulte, 10
Indians, since 1948
Year Opponent Result Indians HR leader
1997 Florida Marlins L4-3 Jim Thome, 40
1995 Atlanta Braves L4-2 Albert Belle, 50
1954 New York Giants L4-0 Larry Doby, 32
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